Saved projections scored against the box scores that followed.
Season 2026 · latest snapshot per player-date · 923 scored player-games
| Stat | N | MAE | RMSE | Hit % | Pred | Actual | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 923 | 4.42 | 5.80 | 34.2 | 9.89 | 9.42 | +0.47 |
| REB | 923 | 1.72 | 2.25 | 68.3 | 3.72 | 3.52 | +0.21 |
| AST | 923 | 1.22 | 1.64 | 82.3 | 2.29 | 2.21 | +0.08 |
| STL | 923 | 0.71 | 0.92 | 96.5 | 0.83 | 0.82 | +0.01 |
| BLK | 923 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 98.8 | 0.43 | 0.36 | +0.07 |
| TOV | 923 | 0.96 | 1.23 | 90.4 | 1.45 | 1.46 | -0.01 |
| FG3M | 923 | 0.77 | 1.10 | 93.2 | 0.97 | 0.92 | +0.04 |
| MIN | 923 | 4.64 | 6.06 | 56.1 | 21.95 | 21.51 | +0.44 |
| PRA | 923 | 5.64 | 7.28 | 36.2 | 15.91 | 15.15 | +0.76 |
| FPTS | 923 | 7.30 | 9.34 | 33.5 | 20.60 | 19.32 | +1.28 |
MAE is average absolute error; bias is signed, so a positive value means the model projects high. Hit % is the share landing within the tolerance band for that stat — it is naturally high for low-count stats like blocks and low for points.