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Predictions

Sat, May 30, 2026

Data current — through Aug 17

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Seattle StormAway

86.0

Record: 7-30 | 15th in standingsL10 Record: 1-9📺 Amazon Prime Video - Seattle, KOMO 4/CW Seattle

Toronto TempoHome

90.8

Record: 10-23 | 13th in standingsL10 Record: 0-10📺 TSN

Total

176.9

Game lines unavailable: No event for SEA @ TOR

Injury report

6 Out applied to these projections.

SEA

Injury impact on predictions18 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
SEA	Jordan Horston	Teammates out: +7.9 min, 17% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	7.9	1.2	6.7	7.1	+7.1%	4.3	4.5	+4.0%	1.2	1.6	+31.1%	16.4	18.4	+11.8%
SEA	Stefanie Dolson	Teammates out: +6.4 min, 13% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	6.4	1.1	3.8	4.0	+7.2%	2.3	2.4	+3.9%	1.1	1.5	+28.7%	9.8	11.0	+12.4%
SEA	Mackenzie Holmes	Teammates out: +5.4 min, 11% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	5.4	1.1	2.4	2.6	+6.2%	2.7	2.8	+2.9%	0.5	0.7	+39.2%	8.0	9.0	+12.4%
SEA	Katie Lou Samuelson	Teammates out: +4.1 min, 9% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	4.1	1.1	4.9	5.3	+7.1%	2.1	2.2	+3.8%	0.7	0.8	+15.7%	10.3	11.1	+7.9%
SEA	Zia Cooke	Teammates out: +3.8 min, 8% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.8	1.1	8.7	9.2	+6.1%	1.6	1.6	+3.2%	0.8	0.9	+13.3%	12.2	13.0	+6.8%
SEA	Jade Melbourne	Teammates out: +2.3 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.3	1.0	11.3	12.2	+7.3%	2.3	2.4	+4.8%	4.6	4.6	-1.1%	23.2	24.0	+3.4%
SEA	Natisha Hiedeman	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	16.2	15.2	-6.2%	2.9	2.8	-4.5%	6.3	5.7	-9.4%	31.3	28.9	-7.8%
SEA	Flau'jae Johnson	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	14.5	13.6	-6.3%	4.5	4.3	-4.3%	3.3	3.0	-9.7%	28.8	26.4	-8.1%
SEA	Awa Fam	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	10.7	10.1	-6.3%	6.3	6.0	-4.3%	1.8	1.6	-9.6%	24.6	22.8	-7.4%
TOR	Nyara Sabally	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 9% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	12.2	12.8	+5.0%	5.4	5.5	+1.7%	1.5	1.9	+21.4%	24.5	26.3	+7.3%
TOR	Maria Conde	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 9% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	10.1	10.7	+5.0%	4.9	5.0	+1.8%	2.8	3.3	+17.6%	22.2	23.8	+7.3%
TOR	Laura Juskaite	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 9% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	11.5	12.1	+5.0%	4.3	4.4	+1.6%	1.4	1.7	+20.7%	21.2	22.8	+7.2%
TOR	Teonni Key	Teammates out: +3.0 min, 4% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.0	1.0	1.4	1.5	+3.5%	1.3	1.3	0.0%	0.3	0.3	+26.9%	4.8	5.2	+8.1%
TOR	Kiki Rice	Teammates out: +2.7 min, 3% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.7	1.0	12.2	12.8	+5.0%	4.2	4.3	+1.9%	3.1	3.1	+0.6%	24.2	24.9	+2.7%
TOR	Kia Nurse	Teammates out: +0.8 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.8	1.0	5.2	5.3	+1.7%	1.0	1.0	0.0%	1.1	1.1	-3.6%	9.0	9.0	0.0%
TOR	Marina Mabrey	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	20.4	19.3	-5.4%	3.0	2.9	-3.3%	3.8	3.4	-9.1%	32.2	30.1	-6.6%
TOR	Brittney Sykes	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	18.4	17.4	-5.4%	3.6	3.5	-3.6%	3.1	2.8	-9.3%	30.2	28.1	-6.8%
TOR	Julie Allemand	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	6.7	6.3	-5.4%	3.1	3.0	-3.5%	5.9	5.4	-9.0%	22.9	21.1	-8.0%

Best value plays

Market lines vs model projections · not betting advice

No value plays for this matchup.

No prop lines available for this slate.

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Natisha Hiedeman	starter	32.8	15.2	2.8	5.7	0.8	0.1	2.1	1.8	23.6	28.9	medium	10%	20%
Flau'jae Johnson	starter	28.0	13.6	4.3	3.0	1.3	0.6	2.7	1.1	20.8	26.4	medium	30%	10%
Jade Melbourne	starter	28.3	12.2	2.4	4.6	0.9	0.3	2.1	1.1	19.1	24.0	medium	10%	30%
Awa Fam	rotation	26.2	10.1	6.0	1.6	0.8	0.6	1.5	1.6	17.7	22.8	medium	10%	30%
Jordan Horston	rotation	18.2	7.1	4.5	1.6	1.3	0.5	1.1	0.7	13.2	18.4	low	10%	20%
Zia Cooke	rotation	16.0	9.2	1.6	0.9	0.3	0.0	1.3	0.9	11.8	13.0	low	20%	10%
Katie Lou Samuelson	rotation	14.8	5.3	2.2	0.8	0.9	0.0	0.6	0.9	8.3	11.1	low	30%	0%
Stefanie Dolson	starter	14.2	4.0	2.4	1.5	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.7	7.9	11.0	low	0%	60%
Mackenzie Holmes	bench	8.8	2.6	2.8	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.2	6.1	9.0	high	0%	80%
Dominique Malonga	starter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.3	0.1	0.0	0.2	n/a	0%	0%
Ezi Magbegor	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Taina Mair	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%
Taylor Thierry	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Marina Mabrey	starter	28.3	19.3	2.9	3.4	0.8	0.2	2.9	3.0	25.6	30.1	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Marina Mabrey — 28.26 MIN · 19.27 PTS · 30.08 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.81	19.20	19.90	22.00	20.56	19.27
REB	3.35	2.40	2.90	3.50	3.08	2.91
AST	3.71	3.60	4.00	3.50	3.81	3.41
FG3M	3.23	3.00	2.70	4.50	3.10	2.96
FTM	3.97	3.40	4.60	2.50	4.22	3.96
STL	0.90	0.20	0.60	2.50	0.89	0.76
BLK	0.35	0.20	0.30	0.00	0.30	0.24
TOV	3.10	2.40	3.30	2.00	2.98	2.85
MIN	29.54	29.82	30.80	28.88	30.09	28.26

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 0.939
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Natisha Hiedeman — 32.77 MIN · 15.16 PTS · 28.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.42	9.60	14.30	11.50	14.25	15.16
REB	2.69	2.20	2.70	1.00	2.60	2.78
AST	4.78	6.00	6.00	6.00	5.58	5.69
FG3M	1.89	0.80	1.30

Brittney Sykes — 29.42 MIN · 17.45 PTS · 28.12 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.07	21.00	17.30	16.50	18.51	17.45
REB	3.80	3.40	3.40	5.50	3.69	3.51
AST	3.47	2.80	2.80	4.00	3.15	2.83
FG3M	1.07	1.00	0.70

Flau'jae Johnson — 27.96 MIN · 13.56 PTS · 26.43 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.49	11.60	15.70	7.00	13.72	13.56
REB	4.89	3.00	3.70	4.50	4.28	4.27
AST	2.97	3.20	3.30	2.50	3.17	2.99
FG3M	1.20	1.00	1.10

Nyara Sabally — 21.82 MIN · 12.82 PTS · 26.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.29	15.00	12.90	8.00	12.36	12.82
REB	5.25	7.60	5.30	4.50	5.51	5.47
AST	1.71	1.80	1.40	1.50	1.57	1.87
FG3M	0.83	1.60	1.20

Kiki Rice — 26.63 MIN · 12.81 PTS · 24.89 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.24	10.80	10.40	14.50	11.07	12.81
REB	4.00	2.80	4.00	4.00	3.89	4.31
AST	2.76	3.00	3.10	1.00	2.85	3.14
FG3M	0.76	0.40	0.40

Jade Melbourne — 28.32 MIN · 12.15 PTS · 23.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.33	13.60	9.90	11.00	10.22	12.15
REB	2.03	2.40	2.00	2.00	2.12	2.42
AST	3.94	4.20	4.20	5.00	4.20	4.57
FG3M	0.72	2.00	1.20

Maria Conde — 27.62 MIN · 10.65 PTS · 23.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.00	10.50	14.50	9.94	10.65
REB	4.66	4.00	4.80	7.00	4.91	5.03
AST	2.56	3.20	3.10	1.00	2.76	3.28
FG3M	1.66	1.20	1.70

Awa Fam — 26.22 MIN · 10.06 PTS · 22.80 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.61	10.00	9.10	7.00	9.94	10.06
REB	5.81	4.00	6.40	5.00	5.91	6.04
AST	1.90	1.40	1.60	0.00	1.66	1.61
FG3M	1.52	2.00	1.50

Laura Juskaite — 25.99 MIN · 12.09 PTS · 22.76 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.06	11.20	11.40	7.00	10.68	12.09
REB	3.91	4.20	4.10	3.00	4.05	4.38
AST	1.58	1.20	1.20	0.50	1.31	1.69
FG3M	1.00	0.60	0.90

Julie Allemand — 27.55 MIN · 6.30 PTS · 21.07 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.62	6.40	7.30	4.00	6.72	6.30
REB	3.12	2.60	3.30	3.50	3.17	3.00
AST	5.73	6.80	6.30	5.00	6.00	5.37
FG3M	1.27	1.60	1.70

Jordan Horston — 18.20 MIN · 7.13 PTS · 18.38 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.97	8.40	6.30	8.00	5.96	7.13
REB	3.66	4.60	3.90	3.00	3.89	4.46
AST	1.28	0.60	0.80	1.00	1.07	1.56
FG3M	0.41	1.40	0.80

Zia Cooke — 16.02 MIN · 9.24 PTS · 13.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.46	8.20	8.20	4.50	7.72	9.24
REB	1.62	1.00	1.10	1.50	1.39	1.60
AST	0.86	0.80	0.50	1.00	0.74	0.94
FG3M	0.78	0.40	0.80

Katie Lou Samuelson — 14.77 MIN · 5.28 PTS · 11.10 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.38	3.80	5.30	2.00	4.56	5.28
REB	2.00	0.80	1.90	4.00	1.95	2.16
AST	0.72	0.40	0.40	2.00	0.65	0.81
FG3M	0.83	0.60	0.80

Stefanie Dolson — 14.19 MIN · 4.04 PTS · 11.02 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.41	1.20	1.90	11.50	3.40	4.04
REB	2.30	1.60	1.70	3.50	2.10	2.39
AST	1.14	0.80	1.00	1.00	1.04	1.48
FG3M	0.51	0.40	0.50

Mackenzie Holmes — 8.82 MIN · 2.58 PTS · 9.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.74	0.40	0.60	3.00	2.08	2.58
REB	3.00	1.40	0.90	4.00	2.38	2.82
AST	0.57	0.20	0.20	0.50	0.44	0.71
FG3M	0.26	0.00	0.10

Kia Nurse — 13.20 MIN · 5.27 PTS · 8.96 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.78	5.40	4.70	0.00	4.68	5.27
REB	1.00	0.80	0.80	1.00	0.90	0.98
AST	0.84	1.20	1.30	0.50	1.00	1.06
FG3M	0.91	1.20	0.90

Teonni Key — 7.31 MIN · 1.49 PTS · 5.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.55	0.80	1.10	1.00	1.32	1.49
REB	1.48	1.00	0.70	1.00	1.18	1.28
AST	0.34	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.24	0.33
FG3M	0.10	0.00	0.00

Factors

Games played: 36
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.076
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 15
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 0.945
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 35
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.000
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 24
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 0.937
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 17
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.045
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 36
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.050
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 0.967
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.024
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.021
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 26
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 0.940
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: Available

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.059
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 37
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.070
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.024
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 37
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.051
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 23
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.104
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.049
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.040
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.10 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10