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Predictions

Tue, Jun 2, 2026

Data current — through Aug 17

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Chicago SkyAway

87.4

Record: 13-22 | 10th in standingsL10 Record: 4-6📺 The U, WCIU

Washington MysticsHome

80.4

Record: 20-14 | 7th in standingsL10 Record: 8-2📺 Monumental Sports Network

Total

167.9

Game lines unavailable: No event for CHI @ WAS

Injury report

5 Out applied to these projections.

CHI

Injury impact on predictions17 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
CHI	Rachel Banham	Teammates out: +10.0 min, 14% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	10.0	1.1	6.6	7.0	+5.8%	1.6	1.7	+3.7%	1.7	2.7	+55.6%	12.9	15.6	+20.7%
CHI	Sydney Taylor	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 11% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	22.0	23.5	+6.7%	2.3	2.4	+3.9%	2.5	3.0	+21.3%	31.9	34.8	+9.2%
CHI	Jacy Sheldon	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 11% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	7.0	7.5	+6.7%	1.2	1.2	+4.2%	1.5	1.8	+19.9%	13.3	14.8	+10.7%
CHI	Azura Stevens	Teammates out: +4.3 min, 6% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	4.3	1.1	12.1	13.0	+7.6%	7.7	8.1	+4.9%	2.7	2.8	+2.6%	29.1	30.7	+5.3%
CHI	Elizabeth Williams	Teammates out: +2.0 min, 3% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.0	1.0	6.5	6.7	+3.7%	3.9	4.0	+4.1%	1.9	1.9	-2.1%	16.6	16.8	+1.6%
CHI	Kamilla Cardoso	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.4	1.0	18.9	18.3	-3.1%	10.7	10.5	-1.9%	2.8	2.6	-8.2%	42.1	40.5	-3.9%
CHI	Natasha Cloud	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	14.3	12.9	-9.8%	4.2	3.9	-7.4%	7.0	6.1	-12.7%	33.1	29.3	-11.4%
CHI	Skylar Diggins	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	15.5	14.0	-9.8%	3.0	2.8	-7.2%	5.5	4.8	-12.6%	30.4	27.0	-11.1%
WAS	Kiki Iriafen	Teammates out: +2.0 min, 24% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.0	1.2	16.9	17.4	+3.4%	10.3	10.5	+2.1%	2.2	2.2	+1.9%	36.1	37.1	+2.8%
WAS	Georgia Amoore	Teammates out: +2.0 min, 24% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.0	1.2	5.6	5.8	+2.5%	1.2	1.2	+0.8%	3.6	3.8	+3.6%	12.9	13.3	+3.1%
WAS	Shakira Austin	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 8% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.7	1.1	21.7	22.4	+3.4%	10.8	11.0	+1.7%	2.5	2.5	-2.8%	43.6	44.5	+2.0%
WAS	Michaela Onyenwere	Teammates out: +0.6 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.6	1.1	8.9	9.1	+2.2%	3.5	3.5	+1.2%	2.1	2.0	-2.9%	17.7	17.8	+1.0%
WAS	Cotie McMahon	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	8.3	7.7	-6.8%	3.9	3.7	-3.1%	2.1	2.0	-5.2%	18.2	17.2	-5.1%
WAS	Lauren Betts	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	6.8	6.3	-6.8%	5.5	5.4	-3.1%	1.1	1.0	-4.6%	17.9	17.1	-4.5%
WAS	Alicia Florez	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	3.6	3.4	-6.6%	1.3	1.3	-3.0%	2.0	1.9	-5.1%	9.2	8.7	-5.0%
WAS	Angela Dugalic	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	2.9	2.7	-6.8%	2.8	2.7	-3.2%	0.7	0.7	-5.7%	8.3	7.9	-4.8%
WAS	Cassandre Prosper	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	2.6	2.5	-6.8%	1.3	1.2	-3.1%	0.6	0.5	-5.5%	6.1	5.8	-5.1%

Best value plays

Market lines vs model projections · not betting advice

No value plays for this matchup.

No prop lines available for this slate.

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Kamilla Cardoso	starter	30.6	18.3	10.5	2.6	0.8	1.6	2.2	0.0	31.3	40.5	high	10%	20%
Sydney Taylor	bench	28.8	23.5	2.4	3.0	1.2	0.4	1.9	3.3	28.9	34.8	medium	20%	30%
Azura Stevens	rotation	28.9	13.0	8.1	2.8	1.0	0.9	2.2	1.1	23.9	30.7	medium	20%	20%
Natasha Cloud	starter	36.8	12.9	3.9	6.1	1.4	0.3	2.9	1.0	22.9	29.3	medium	10%	40%
Skylar Diggins	starter	31.4	14.0	2.8	4.8	0.8	0.5	2.1	1.5	21.6	27.0	medium	0%	30%
Elizabeth Williams	rotation	20.4	6.7	4.0	1.9	0.7	0.8	1.3	0.0	12.6	16.8	low	20%	20%
Rachel Banham	rotation	14.6	7.0	1.7	2.7	0.7	0.5	1.0	1.5	11.3	15.6	low	10%	30%
Jacy Sheldon	starter	22.3	7.5	1.2	1.8	1.2	0.3	1.1	1.2	10.6	14.8	medium	10%	30%
Courtney Vandersloot	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	n/a	0%	0%
DiJonai Carrington	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Gabriela Jaquez	starter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Aicha Coulibaly	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Shakira Austin	starter	32.1	22.4	11.0	2.5	0.8	1.4	3.2	0.7	35.9	44.5	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Shakira Austin — 32.14 MIN · 22.40 PTS · 44.48 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.73	21.20	21.80	17.00	19.44	22.40
REB	9.58	9.80	9.90	8.00	9.84	11.02
AST	2.52	2.20	2.30	1.00	2.28	2.46
FG3M	0.52	0.60	0.60	1.00	0.56	0.65
FTM	4.09	3.80	4.40	6.00	4.35	4.95
STL	0.64	0.60	0.70	3.00	0.75	0.82
BLK	1.36	1.80	1.10	1.00	1.26	1.37
TOV	2.91	3.20	2.70	5.00	2.91	3.17
MIN	29.73	28.96	30.94	25.07	30.18	32.14

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.065
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Kamilla Cardoso — 30.60 MIN · 18.29 PTS · 40.45 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.76	17.20	16.10	12.00	15.63	18.29
REB	8.71	9.40	8.70	13.00	8.96	10.48
AST	2.44	1.60	2.30	5.00	2.34	2.57
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Kiki Iriafen — 30.60 MIN · 17.42 PTS · 37.07 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.81	13.20	15.40	15.00	14.86	17.42
REB	9.06	8.80	9.10	11.00	9.21	10.54
AST	1.71	2.20	2.10	2.00	1.92	2.20
FG3M	0.35	0.20	0.30

Sydney Taylor — 28.76 MIN · 23.47 PTS · 34.84 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	21.20	19.30	15.00	16.87	23.47
REB	1.57	2.40	2.10	1.00	1.78	2.39
AST	1.68	3.20	2.30	1.00	1.92	3.02
FG3M	2.11	3.40	2.90

Azura Stevens — 28.87 MIN · 13.01 PTS · 30.68 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.73	6.20	11.10	7.00	10.19	13.01
REB	6.62	5.60	7.20	5.00	6.60	8.11
AST	2.35	1.80	2.40	3.00	2.33	2.81
FG3M	0.88	0.20	1.00

Natasha Cloud — 36.82 MIN · 12.93 PTS · 29.32 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.53	13.60	11.90	0.00	11.17	12.93
REB	3.35	4.20	3.20	0.00	3.30	3.87
AST	4.97	6.60	6.00	3.00	5.50	6.11
FG3M	1.03	0.80	0.90

Skylar Diggins — 31.39 MIN · 13.97 PTS · 27.03 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.16	10.80	13.20	14.00	13.50	13.97
REB	3.16	2.80	2.40	1.00	2.70	2.83
AST	4.89	5.60	4.90	1.00	4.82	4.80
FG3M	1.37	1.20	1.60

Michaela Onyenwere — 26.62 MIN · 9.09 PTS · 17.83 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.90	4.40	6.60	13.00	7.86	9.09
REB	3.07	2.80	2.80	7.00	3.11	3.51
AST	1.73	1.60	1.90	2.00	1.83	2.00
FG3M	1.33	0.80	1.30

Cotie McMahon — 22.10 MIN · 7.71 PTS · 17.23 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.75	8.20	8.20	8.00	7.62	7.71
REB	3.16	3.80	3.80	2.00	3.59	3.73
AST	1.97	1.40	1.90	4.00	1.96	2.00
FG3M	0.56	0.40	0.30

Lauren Betts — 18.21 MIN · 6.29 PTS · 17.12 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.38	5.40	6.10	8.00	6.20	6.29
REB	4.32	6.40	5.90	4.00	5.15	5.37
AST	0.94	1.20	1.10	0.00	1.00	1.03
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Elizabeth Williams — 20.35 MIN · 6.70 PTS · 16.81 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.20	4.00	5.60	10.00	5.20	6.70
REB	3.57	1.80	2.70	6.00	3.15	4.02
AST	1.49	1.80	1.40	3.00	1.53	1.85
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Rachel Banham — 14.64 MIN · 6.98 PTS · 15.58 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.71	9.80	5.40	5.00	5.25	6.98
REB	1.19	2.60	1.50	0.00	1.31	1.69
AST	1.13	1.60	1.60	2.00	1.37	2.66
FG3M	1.06	2.20	1.10

Jacy Sheldon — 22.28 MIN · 7.50 PTS · 14.78 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.74	8.00	6.10	9.00	6.49	7.50
REB	1.29	1.00	1.10	0.00	1.11	1.24
AST	1.63	1.60	1.30	1.00	1.40	1.81
FG3M	0.91	1.80	1.00

Georgia Amoore — 23.76 MIN · 5.77 PTS · 13.31 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.59	0.60	4.40	3.00	4.82	5.77
REB	1.15	0.60	0.90	1.00	1.02	1.19
AST	3.44	2.40	3.30	2.00	3.14	3.78
FG3M	1.09	0.20	1.20

Alicia Florez — 11.96 MIN · 3.37 PTS · 8.69 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.60	2.80	2.20	8.00	3.19	3.37
REB	1.56	1.00	0.60	0.00	1.18	1.28
AST	2.24	0.80	0.80	3.00	1.76	1.87
FG3M	0.32	0.20	0.30

Angela Dugalic — 9.60 MIN · 2.74 PTS · 7.94 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.21	1.00	0.70	8.00	2.53	2.74
REB	2.76	1.60	1.50	7.00	2.46	2.72
AST	0.72	0.80	0.40	1.00	0.61	0.66
FG3M	0.14	0.20	0.10

Cassandre Prosper — 10.23 MIN · 2.45 PTS · 5.76 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.43	3.40	2.10	7.00	2.46	2.45
REB	1.20	1.20	0.90	5.00	1.20	1.23
AST	0.50	0.80	0.50	0.00	0.52	0.52
FG3M	0.23	0.20	0.10

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.153
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.083
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 28
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.245
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 26
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.133
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.225
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 19
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.095
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 30
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.081
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.037
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.040
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 35
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.187
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.201
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 35
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.035
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.117
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 25
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.081
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.107
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 30
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.022
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.70
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16