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Predictions

Fri, Jun 5, 2026

2 days behind — through Aug 16

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Dallas WingsAway

95.7

Record: 20-15 | 8th in standingsL10 Record: 3-7

Los Angeles SparksHome

88.4

Record: 12-22 | 12th in standingsL10 Record: 2-8

Total

184.1

📺 ION

Game lines unavailable: No event for DAL @ LAS

Injury report

3 Out applied to these projections.

DAL

Awak Kuier

Injury impact on predictions13 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
DAL	Alanna Smith	Teammates out: +6.1 min, 5% usage boost	6.1	1.1	6.6	7.0	+6.2%	4.4	4.5	+2.3%	1.0	1.2	+26.3%	15.8	17.2	+8.7%
DAL	Maddy Siegrist	Teammates out: +4.7 min, 4% usage boost	4.7	1.0	7.0	7.4	+5.1%	2.9	2.9	+1.0%	1.0	1.3	+25.5%	14.5	15.7	+8.0%
DAL	Alysha Clark	Teammates out: +4.7 min, 4% usage boost	4.7	1.0	3.2	3.4	+5.3%	1.9	1.9	+1.1%	0.8	1.1	+36.2%	7.6	8.5	+12.2%
DAL	Odyssey Sims	Teammates out: +2.8 min, 2% usage boost	2.8	1.0	5.8	6.1	+6.2%	1.2	1.2	+2.5%	2.2	2.4	+9.7%	11.4	12.2	+6.9%
DAL	Aziaha James	Teammates out: +2.7 min, 2% usage boost	2.7	1.0	6.7	7.0	+5.2%	2.6	2.6	+1.1%	1.2	1.4	+15.4%	13.5	14.4	+6.3%
LAS	Nneka Ogwumike	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.8	17.8	0.0%	9.6	9.6	0.0%	3.9	3.9	0.0%	38.8	38.8	0.0%
LAS	Dearica Hamby	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.7	17.7	0.0%	7.5	7.5	0.0%	3.0	3.0	0.0%	34.8	34.8	0.0%
LAS	Rae Burrell	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.3	17.3	0.0%	2.8	2.8	0.0%	3.2	3.2	0.0%	28.7	28.7	0.0%
LAS	Erica Wheeler	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	11.3	11.3	0.0%	2.6	2.6	0.0%	6.8	6.8	0.0%	26.9	26.9	0.0%
LAS	Cameron Brink	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	11.0	11.0	0.0%	6.7	6.7	0.0%	1.7	1.7	0.0%	26.8	26.8	0.0%
LAS	Ariel Atkins	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	9.8	9.8	0.0%	3.5	3.5	0.0%	3.8	3.8	0.0%	24.8	24.8	0.0%
LAS	Chance Gray	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	3.7	3.7	0.0%	1.4	1.4	0.0%	1.3	1.3	0.0%	7.7	7.7	0.0%
LAS	Jihyun Park	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	3.7	3.7	0.0%	1.1	1.1	0.0%	0.7	0.7	0.0%	7.4	7.4	0.0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Jessica Shepard	star	33.1	14.7	12.0	5.3	0.7	0.1	2.0	0.0	31.9	39.6	medium	10%	30%
Paige Bueckers	star	35.7	22.7	4.4	6.0	0.9	0.3	2.5	1.9	33.1	39.5	high	0%	20%
Arike Ogunbowale	starter	30.9	17.4	3.6	3.5	1.0	0.1	2.2	1.8	24.5	29.0	medium	10%	20%
Azzi Fudd	starter	38.0	15.0	2.0	2.2	2.0	0.6	1.3	2.7	19.2	26.6	high	10%	40%
Alanna Smith	rotation	17.8	7.0	4.5	1.3	0.8	0.7	1.2	0.7	12.7	17.2	low	20%	10%
Maddy Siegrist	bench	14.0	7.4	2.9	1.3	0.7	0.5	0.3	1.1	11.6	15.7	medium	20%	10%
Aziaha James	bench	11.6	7.0	2.6	1.4	0.7	0.4	0.8	0.3	11.1	14.4	low	20%	10%
Odyssey Sims	rotation	15.9	6.1	1.3	2.4	0.5	0.1	1.1	0.6	9.8	12.2	low	10%	30%
Alysha Clark	bench	14.5	3.4	1.9	1.1	0.4	0.3	0.7	0.5	6.3	8.5	low	10%	0%
Awak Kuier	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Sug Sutton	rotation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Li Yueru	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%
Haley Jones	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	medium	0%	0%
Costanza Verona	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Nneka Ogwumike	star	33.0	17.8	9.6	3.9	1.4	0.4	2.4	1.4	31.3	38.8	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Jessica Shepard — 33.10 MIN · 14.67 PTS · 39.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.21	10.20	12.80	16.50	13.21	14.67
REB	11.36	7.40	10.60	14.50	10.81	12.01
AST	5.18	3.80	5.10	5.50	4.99	5.25
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
FTM	2.45	1.00	1.80	3.50	2.19	2.40
STL	0.70	0.60	0.60	1.50	0.69	0.70
BLK	0.06	0.40	0.20	0.00	0.10	0.09
TOV	1.85	0.80	1.60	4.00	1.82	2.03
MIN	32.20	24.56	30.82	38.04	30.68	33.10

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.007
Minute scale: 1.079
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Paige Bueckers — 35.73 MIN · 22.70 PTS · 39.49 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.45	21.60	19.90	21.50	20.64	22.70
REB	4.12	3.80	3.90	3.50	4.01	4.42
AST	5.85	5.40	4.90	9.50	5.76	6.02
FG3M	1.76	1.80	1.80

Nneka Ogwumike — 33.02 MIN · 17.84 PTS · 38.78 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.85	15.00	15.80	15.00	15.95	17.84
REB	8.79	8.20	8.50	10.00	8.69	9.59
AST	3.09	3.60	3.60	4.00	3.47	3.85
FG3M	1.45	1.20	1.30

Dearica Hamby — 31.61 MIN · 17.67 PTS · 34.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.15	14.80	16.50	15.50	15.74	17.67
REB	7.32	5.40	6.80	5.00	6.76	7.50
AST	2.50	2.20	3.10	2.00	2.72	3.03
FG3M	0.26	0.20	0.20

Arike Ogunbowale — 30.90 MIN · 17.42 PTS · 29.00 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.80	13.20	17.80	25.00	16.86	17.42
REB	3.14	3.00	3.60	4.00	3.45	3.58
AST	3.09	3.20	4.00	3.50	3.54	3.46
FG3M	1.71	0.80	1.50

Rae Burrell — 32.45 MIN · 17.34 PTS · 28.66 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.12	18.60	17.10	6.00	15.43	17.34
REB	2.38	2.80	2.60	2.00	2.52	2.80
AST	2.47	3.00	3.20	3.50	2.91	3.25
FG3M	1.65	2.40	2.40

Erica Wheeler — 31.65 MIN · 11.28 PTS · 26.93 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.24	9.20	10.30	8.00	9.53	11.28
REB	2.03	3.00	2.30	2.00	2.25	2.62
AST	5.32	5.20	6.20	8.00	5.77	6.78
FG3M	1.26	1.60	1.60

Cameron Brink — 21.74 MIN · 10.96 PTS · 26.84 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.08	9.20	8.80	10.00	8.98	10.96
REB	4.92	6.60	6.00	5.50	5.57	6.71
AST	1.28	1.80	1.70	0.50	1.42	1.71
FG3M	0.84	0.60	0.90

Azzi Fudd — 38.04 MIN · 15.01 PTS · 26.64 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.10	12.00	12.70	11.00	12.65	15.01
REB	1.73	1.40	1.50	2.50	1.67	1.99
AST	1.83	1.60	2.00	2.00	1.92	2.16
FG3M	2.07	2.40	2.40

Ariel Atkins — 32.10 MIN · 9.80 PTS · 24.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.78	5.00	8.50	12.50	8.42	9.80
REB	2.94	3.20	3.10	3.50	3.07	3.53
AST	2.94	3.40	3.70	3.00	3.29	3.80
FG3M	1.28	1.00	1.70

Alanna Smith — 17.79 MIN · 6.98 PTS · 17.16 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.70	12.80	8.80	4.00	6.88	6.98
REB	4.00	8.60	5.70	2.00	4.68	4.51
AST	1.07	1.40	0.90	0.00	1.04	1.25
FG3M	0.59	1.40	1.00

Maddy Siegrist — 13.97 MIN · 7.37 PTS · 15.71 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.09	5.20	6.50	9.50	6.49	7.37
REB	2.69	2.80	2.60	3.00	2.69	2.90
AST	0.84	1.40	1.20	0.00	0.96	1.28
FG3M	0.78	0.60	1.00

Aziaha James — 11.64 MIN · 7.04 PTS · 14.37 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.06	8.60	5.40	4.00	5.96	7.04
REB	2.41	3.00	2.20	1.00	2.36	2.64
AST	1.21	1.20	0.90	1.50	1.11	1.42
FG3M	0.35	0.40	0.20

Odyssey Sims — 15.87 MIN · 6.14 PTS · 12.22 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.62	8.00	5.60	3.50	5.85	6.14
REB	1.08	2.20	1.60	0.50	1.25	1.25
AST	2.19	3.00	1.90	3.00	2.21	2.37
FG3M	0.58	1.20	0.70

Alysha Clark — 14.54 MIN · 3.39 PTS · 8.53 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.14	2.20	2.60	0.00	2.26	3.39
REB	1.23	1.80	1.30	1.00	1.31	1.87
AST	0.50	0.60	0.60	0.50	0.56	1.09
FG3M	0.36	0.20	0.40

Chance Gray — 12.16 MIN · 3.67 PTS · 7.72 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.77	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.96	3.67
REB	1.19	1.60	1.10	0.50	1.13	1.39
AST	0.94	0.80	1.30	0.00	1.02	1.26
FG3M	0.61	0.60	0.90

Jihyun Park — 11.69 MIN · 3.73 PTS · 7.38 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.45	1.60	3.30	4.00	2.84	3.73
REB	1.00	0.20	0.50	1.00	0.81	1.05
AST	0.52	0.40	0.70	0.00	0.57	0.74
FG3M	0.31	0.40	0.60

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

DAL

LAS

Best value plays

DAL

LAS

Per-player detail