WNBA Predictions

Injury impact on predictions15 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
LVA	Jewell Loyd	Teammates out: +4.1 min, 8% usage boost	4.1	1.1	7.9	8.4	+6.2%	2.3	2.3	+2.2%	1.4	1.6	+9.7%	15.4	16.4	+6.6%
LVA	Stephanie Talbot	Teammates out: +1.5 min, 3% usage boost	1.5	1.0	3.2	3.3	+5.0%	2.1	2.1	+1.0%	0.9	0.9	+3.4%	8.9	9.2	+3.8%
LVA	NaLyssa Smith	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 2% usage boost	1.2	1.0	13.5	14.1	+4.4%	8.2	8.4	+2.1%	1.1	1.1	0.0%	27.8	28.6	+2.9%
LVA	Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	5.4	5.6	+4.3%	2.7	2.7	0.0%	0.6	0.6	+3.5%	11.6	11.9	+3.0%
LVA	Brianna Turner	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	2.1	2.2	+4.2%	2.4	2.5	+0.4%	0.3	0.3	+3.1%	7.3	7.5	+2.5%
LVA	Kierstan Bell	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	2.4	2.5	+4.1%	1.8	1.8	0.0%	0.6	0.6	+3.5%	6.7	6.9	+2.8%
SEA	Jordan Horston	Teammates out: +5.8 min, 5% usage boost	5.8	1.1	5.8	5.9	+2.4%	4.3	4.3	+0.2%	1.1	1.4	+24.1%	15.3	16.3	+7.1%
SEA	Mackenzie Holmes	Teammates out: +4.0 min, 4% usage boost	4.0	1.0	2.1	2.2	+1.4%	2.3	2.3	-0.9%	0.4	0.5	+27.8%	6.8	7.3	+7.0%
SEA	Katie Lou Samuelson	Teammates out: +2.5 min, 2% usage boost	2.5	1.0	4.6	4.7	+2.6%	1.8	1.9	+0.5%	0.5	0.5	+8.0%	9.1	9.3	+2.6%
SEA	Stefanie Dolson	Teammates out: +2.3 min, 2% usage boost	2.3	1.0	2.5	2.6	+2.4%	1.7	1.7	0.0%	0.9	0.9	+6.7%	7.1	7.3	+3.1%
SEA	Zia Cooke	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 2% usage boost	2.1	1.0	6.2	6.3	+1.5%	1.1	1.1	-0.9%	0.6	0.6	+6.9%	8.8	9.0	+1.9%
SEA	Taylor Thierry	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 2% usage boost	2.1	1.0	1.0	1.0	+1.0%	1.2	1.2	-0.8%	0.3	0.3	+25.9%	3.3	3.5	+5.8%
SEA	Dominique Malonga	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 2% usage boost	1.8	1.0	17.7	18.2	+3.1%	8.9	9.0	+1.1%	1.8	1.8	0.0%	35.2	35.8	+1.6%
SEA	Awa Fam	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 2% usage boost	1.8	1.0	9.7	10.0	+2.7%	5.8	5.9	+1.2%	1.6	1.6	-0.6%	22.6	22.8	+1.0%
SEA	Jade Melbourne	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 1% usage boost	1.4	1.0	9.0	9.2	+1.7%	1.5	1.5	+0.7%	3.5	3.4	-1.4%	17.8	17.8	-0.1%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Dominique Malonga	rotation	24.1	18.2	9.0	1.8	0.8	1.4	2.3	0.8	29.0	35.8	high	30%	10%
Flau'jae Johnson	starter	25.4	13.4	3.9	2.6	1.3	0.5	2.3	1.0	19.9	25.2	medium	30%	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	starter	28.1	13.0	2.6	4.8	0.8	0.1	1.7	1.6	20.3	25.1	medium	10%	20%
Awa Fam	starter	23.9	10.0	5.9	1.6	0.8	0.7	1.4	1.7	17.5	22.8	medium	20%	20%
Jade Melbourne	rotation	22.4	9.2	1.5	3.4	0.8	0.2	1.6	0.8	14.1	17.8	medium	20%	0%
Jordan Horston	rotation	17.7	5.9	4.3	1.4	1.2	0.4	1.0	0.6	11.6	16.3	low	20%	10%
Katie Lou Samuelson	rotation	13.0	4.7	1.9	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.5	0.8	7.1	9.3	low	30%	0%
Zia Cooke	rotation	11.6	6.3	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.7	0.7	8.0	9.0	low	20%	0%
Mackenzie Holmes	bench	7.9	2.2	2.3	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.3	4.9	7.3	medium	0%	60%
Stefanie Dolson	rotation	11.0	2.6	1.7	0.9	0.3	0.3	0.6	0.5	5.2	7.3	low	10%	50%
Taylor Thierry	deep	5.2	1.0	1.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.2	2.6	3.5	low	10%	0%
Ezi Magbegor	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Taina Mair	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
A'ja Wilson	star	34.6	28.2	10.2	3.4	1.4	2.1	2.7	1.1	41.8	53.6	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

A'ja Wilson — 34.58 MIN · 28.17 PTS · 53.57 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	26.09	23.00	27.30	34.00	26.61	28.17
REB	9.61	9.40	9.60	12.00	9.65	10.21
AST	3.06	2.20	3.40	9.00	3.31	3.39
FG3M	1.00	0.80	1.00	3.00	1.05	1.12
FTM	6.73	6.20	8.10	11.00	7.58	7.98
STL	1.45	1.20	1.30	1.00	1.34	1.36
BLK	2.03	2.20	2.00	3.00	2.04	2.07
TOV	2.48	3.40	2.60	2.00	2.58	2.73
MIN	32.20	34.63	33.83	35.63	33.32	34.58

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.038
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.70 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Jackie Young — 32.64 MIN · 21.57 PTS · 38.49 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.43	22.00	23.40	29.00	21.43	21.57
REB	4.40	2.80	4.70	3.00	4.33	4.36
AST	6.71	6.40	6.50	6.00	6.63	6.46
FG3M	2.23	3.20	2.80

Dominique Malonga — 24.09 MIN · 18.23 PTS · 35.76 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.11	20.80	19.90	19.00	18.59	18.23
REB	8.85	9.40	10.40	5.00	9.52	9.04
AST	1.70	2.40	2.20	0.00	1.88	1.77
FG3M	0.74	1.40	0.90

Chelsea Gray — 34.72 MIN · 12.43 PTS · 28.61 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.29	9.60	12.20	12.00	11.86	12.43
REB	3.23	2.60	2.20	5.00	2.85	2.98
AST	7.06	6.40	6.20	8.00	6.67	6.76
FG3M	1.86	1.60	1.60

NaLyssa Smith — 28.54 MIN · 14.05 PTS · 28.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.97	11.00	11.50	16.00	11.93	14.05
REB	6.46	9.60	7.40	9.00	7.39	8.40
AST	0.94	1.80	1.10	0.00	1.02	1.15
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Flau'jae Johnson — 25.41 MIN · 13.37 PTS · 25.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.74	13.80	16.10	13.00	14.74	13.37
REB	4.91	2.80	4.00	2.00	4.26	3.92
AST	2.88	2.40	3.00	7.00	2.97	2.62
FG3M	1.21	0.80	1.00

Natisha Hiedeman — 28.13 MIN · 12.97 PTS · 25.09 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.42	9.60	14.30	17.00	14.36	12.97
REB	2.69	2.20	2.70	5.00	2.79	2.56
AST	4.78	6.00	6.00	5.00	5.40	4.76
FG3M	1.89	0.80	1.30

Awa Fam — 23.91 MIN · 9.99 PTS · 22.78 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.50	8.00	9.30	16.00	9.94	9.99
REB	5.83	4.80	6.80	3.00	6.03	5.90
AST	1.90	1.20	1.80	1.00	1.70	1.64
FG3M	1.50	1.80	1.70

Jade Melbourne — 22.40 MIN · 9.19 PTS · 17.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.29	12.40	10.30	6.00	10.05	9.19
REB	1.94	1.60	1.60	0.00	1.69	1.52
AST	3.89	3.80	4.10	5.00	3.90	3.43
FG3M	0.69	1.80	1.00

Jewell Loyd — 25.31 MIN · 8.39 PTS · 16.37 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.06	7.80	7.40	5.00	7.70	8.39
REB	2.32	1.60	2.30	2.00	2.26	2.34
AST	1.44	1.60	1.50	0.00	1.42	1.59
FG3M	1.71	1.40	1.50

Jordan Horston — 17.68 MIN · 5.93 PTS · 16.34 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.06	8.00	6.30	0.00	5.62	5.93
REB	3.71	4.80	3.90	7.00	4.19	4.27
AST	1.32	0.80	0.90	1.00	1.10	1.39
FG3M	0.42	1.40	0.80

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus — 11.18 MIN · 5.59 PTS · 11.91 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.91	3.80	6.00	0.00	4.98	5.59
REB	2.48	2.80	2.60	1.00	2.50	2.66
AST	0.61	0.00	0.40	1.00	0.54	0.59
FG3M	0.17	0.00	0.20

Katie Lou Samuelson — 13.04 MIN · 4.70 PTS · 9.31 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.46	4.40	5.40	7.00	4.89	4.70
REB	2.07	1.80	1.90	3.00	1.99	1.85
AST	0.71	0.40	0.30	0.00	0.53	0.54
FG3M	0.86	0.80	0.90

Stephanie Talbot — 14.15 MIN · 3.34 PTS · 9.24 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.36	2.60	2.90	3.00	3.05	3.34
REB	2.50	1.20	1.10	3.00	2.01	2.09
AST	1.00	0.00	0.40	3.00	0.85	0.91
FG3M	0.44	0.40	0.40

Zia Cooke — 11.55 MIN · 6.28 PTS · 8.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.39	7.00	7.70	7.00	7.49	6.28
REB	1.67	1.00	1.10	0.00	1.35	1.09
AST	0.86	0.60	0.50	1.00	0.70	0.62
FG3M	0.81	0.40	0.90

Brianna Turner — 15.88 MIN · 2.24 PTS · 7.49 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.76	1.60	2.60	0.00	1.98	2.24
REB	2.24	2.00	2.50	0.00	2.27	2.45
AST	0.24	0.40	0.40	0.00	0.30	0.33
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Mackenzie Holmes — 7.88 MIN · 2.17 PTS · 7.29 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.86	0.60	0.90	3.00	2.19	2.17
REB	3.14	1.40	1.10	2.00	2.39	2.28
AST	0.55	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.37	0.46
FG3M	0.27	0.00	0.20

Stefanie Dolson — 11.02 MIN · 2.61 PTS · 7.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.50	2.20	2.10	3.00	2.88	2.61
REB	2.33	1.40	1.60	0.00	1.91	1.67
AST	1.14	0.80	0.90	2.00	1.02	0.95
FG3M	0.53	0.60	0.50

Kierstan Bell — 10.41 MIN · 2.54 PTS · 6.91 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.04	1.80	3.20	2.00	2.49	2.54
REB	1.61	2.00	1.80	4.00	1.86	1.80
AST	0.70	0.80	0.50	0.00	0.58	0.59
FG3M	0.43	0.40	0.70

Taylor Thierry — 5.15 MIN · 1.03 PTS · 3.49 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.18	1.40	0.70	0.00	1.07	1.03
REB	1.27	1.40	1.20	0.00	1.28	1.19
AST	0.27	0.60	0.30	0.00	0.29	0.34
FG3M	0.27	0.20	0.10

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

SEA

LVA

Best value plays

SEA

LVA

Per-player detail