WNBA Predictions

Injury impact on predictions16 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
ATL	Madina Okot	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.4	1.1	5.7	6.0	+5.8%	3.4	3.5	+1.5%	0.2	0.2	+9.5%	10.7	11.2	+5.1%
ATL	Isobel Borlase	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.0	1.0	6.3	6.6	+5.9%	2.1	2.2	+1.4%	1.1	1.1	+2.7%	11.2	11.7	+4.8%
ATL	Te-Hina Paopao	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.0	1.0	3.0	3.1	+5.7%	0.6	0.6	+1.8%	1.4	1.4	+2.9%	6.5	6.8	+5.1%
ATL	Angel Reese	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.4	17.2	-1.1%	13.1	13.1	-0.3%	2.5	2.3	-4.9%	43.3	42.8	-1.2%
ATL	Rhyne Howard	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	18.9	18.7	-1.1%	4.1	4.1	-0.2%	4.4	4.1	-5.0%	38.7	38.1	-1.7%
ATL	Allisha Gray	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	21.4	21.1	-1.1%	3.2	3.2	-0.3%	2.7	2.6	-5.1%	33.0	32.5	-1.5%
ATL	Jordin Canada	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	12.4	12.3	-1.1%	3.8	3.8	-0.3%	8.1	7.7	-5.1%	32.3	31.5	-2.5%
ATL	Naz Hillmon	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	10.2	10.1	-1.1%	4.2	4.2	-0.2%	1.9	1.8	-5.2%	20.1	19.9	-1.5%
NYL	Pauline Astier	Teammates out: +3.1 min, 12% usage boost	3.1	1.1	9.9	10.0	+1.2%	2.4	2.4	+0.9%	3.8	4.0	+4.7%	19.9	20.4	+2.6%
NYL	Satou Sabally	Teammates out: +2.2 min, 9% usage boost	2.2	1.1	12.9	13.0	+0.3%	3.4	3.4	0.0%	2.4	2.5	+4.6%	21.2	21.5	+1.1%
NYL	Marine Johannes	Teammates out: +2.0 min, 8% usage boost	2.0	1.1	10.1	10.2	+0.3%	1.7	1.7	0.0%	2.0	2.0	+1.0%	17.8	17.9	+0.5%
NYL	Rebekah Gardner	Teammates out: +2.0 min, 8% usage boost	2.0	1.1	5.4	5.4	+0.4%	2.8	2.8	0.0%	1.3	1.4	+4.7%	12.0	12.2	+1.8%
NYL	Breanna Stewart	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 7% usage boost	1.8	1.1	21.1	21.7	+2.7%	8.0	8.2	+2.9%	3.9	3.8	-2.3%	41.7	42.4	+1.7%
NYL	Leonie Fiebich	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 6% usage boost	1.6	1.1	11.5	11.7	+2.0%	2.8	2.9	+1.8%	2.0	2.0	-2.5%	20.9	21.1	+1.0%
NYL	Han Xu	Teammates out: +0.9 min, 4% usage boost	0.9	1.0	7.6	7.5	-0.5%	3.1	3.1	-1.0%	0.8	0.8	-1.3%	15.1	15.1	-0.5%
NYL	Jonquel Jones	Teammates out: +0.5 min, 2% usage boost	0.5	1.0	17.1	16.1	-5.7%	11.3	11.1	-2.4%	3.8	3.6	-5.8%	42.2	40.4	-4.4%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Breanna Stewart	star	34.0	21.7	8.2	3.8	1.3	1.4	2.1	0.8	33.7	42.4	high	10%	40%
Jonquel Jones	starter	31.9	16.1	11.1	3.6	0.7	1.3	2.6	2.0	30.8	40.4	high	10%	30%
Satou Sabally	bench	19.7	13.0	3.4	2.5	0.1	0.2	2.1	2.0	18.9	21.5	medium	10%	30%
Leonie Fiebich	starter	30.8	11.7	2.9	2.0	1.3	0.1	1.9	2.3	16.6	21.1	medium	20%	30%
Pauline Astier	starter	23.3	10.0	2.4	4.0	0.9	0.1	1.6	0.4	16.4	20.4	medium	10%	20%
Marine Johannes	starter	19.5	10.2	1.7	2.0	0.9	0.1	1.6	2.5	13.9	17.9	low	10%	20%
Han Xu	bench	16.0	7.5	3.1	0.8	0.5	0.7	0.5	1.0	11.4	15.1	low	30%	10%
Rebekah Gardner	rotation	13.7	5.4	2.8	1.4	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.3	9.6	12.2	low	20%	10%
Sabrina Ionescu	star	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.3	0.2	0.0	0.3	n/a	0%	0%
Marine Fauthoux	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Rebecca Allen	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.2	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Raquel Carrera	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Anneli Maley	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Angel Reese	star	31.4	17.2	13.1	2.3	1.9	0.9	2.9	0.3	32.6	42.8	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Angel Reese — 31.44 MIN · 17.23 PTS · 42.79 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.59	14.40	16.90	25.00	16.21	17.23
REB	12.00	14.20	12.60	9.00	12.34	13.05
AST	2.41	2.20	2.20	3.00	2.30	2.33
FG3M	0.19	0.20	0.40	0.00	0.26	0.27
FTM	4.59	3.00	4.70	3.00	4.33	4.56
STL	1.69	1.20	1.90	2.00	1.78	1.85
BLK	0.78	1.60	1.00	1.00	0.90	0.92
TOV	3.19	1.80	2.60	2.00	2.73	2.85
MIN	30.61	29.97	30.69	33.28	30.71	31.44

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.004
Minute scale: 1.024
Def adj (PTS): 0.997
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Breanna Stewart — 34.04 MIN · 21.72 PTS · 42.40 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.69	16.60	19.60	19.00	19.25	21.72
REB	8.17	5.80	7.20	11.00	7.38	8.23
AST	3.20	3.60	3.80	5.00	3.56	3.79
FG3M	0.80	0.60	0.80

Jonquel Jones — 31.89 MIN · 16.12 PTS · 40.35 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	15.40	14.40	16.00	14.82	16.12
REB	9.43	12.40	10.00	10.00	9.96	11.07
AST	2.86	3.40	3.70	5.00	3.31	3.56
FG3M	1.83	2.00	1.70

Rhyne Howard — 33.65 MIN · 18.70 PTS · 38.07 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.78	22.40	16.20	24.00	17.96	18.70
REB	3.88	3.80	4.10	4.00	3.96	4.10
AST	3.63	4.40	4.60	3.00	4.18	4.14
FG3M	3.31	4.60	3.30

Allisha Gray — 32.64 MIN · 21.15 PTS · 32.48 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	19.24	19.40	20.50	18.00	20.05	21.15
REB	3.12	3.20	2.90	3.00	3.01	3.16
AST	2.36	3.00	2.60	2.00	2.58	2.59
FG3M	1.70	2.00	2.00

Jordin Canada — 32.94 MIN · 12.27 PTS · 31.48 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.45	12.40	11.90	3.00	11.43	12.27
REB	3.70	3.60	3.40	3.00	3.51	3.75
AST	7.48	6.20	7.90	7.00	7.52	7.70
FG3M	0.82	1.40	0.90

Satou Sabally — 19.69 MIN · 12.96 PTS · 21.48 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.38	10.20	10.80	19.00	10.59	12.96
REB	2.77	2.40	3.00	3.00	2.81	3.38
AST	1.92	3.40	2.10	0.00	1.99	2.52
FG3M	1.54	1.60	1.60

Leonie Fiebich — 30.81 MIN · 11.74 PTS · 21.13 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.00	12.60	11.00	6.00	10.39	11.74
REB	2.57	1.60	2.80	3.00	2.56	2.85
AST	1.86	1.80	1.80	1.00	1.84	1.97
FG3M	1.86	2.60	2.20

Pauline Astier — 23.34 MIN · 10.01 PTS · 20.40 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.39	7.00	8.50	16.00	8.88	10.01
REB	2.39	2.00	1.40	8.00	2.14	2.37
AST	3.50	3.60	3.30	5.00	3.44	3.98
FG3M	0.42	0.00	0.20

Naz Hillmon — 28.40 MIN · 10.14 PTS · 19.85 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.13	8.20	10.00	7.00	9.35	10.14
REB	4.41	4.40	3.50	1.00	3.89	4.20
AST	1.53	2.00	1.70	3.00	1.76	1.82
FG3M	1.13	1.20	1.40

Marine Johannes — 19.47 MIN · 10.16 PTS · 17.87 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.30	12.40	9.20	17.00	9.96	10.16
REB	2.18	1.40	1.20	1.00	1.70	1.71
AST	2.48	2.20	1.60	0.00	1.98	2.01
FG3M	2.30	3.20	2.40

Han Xu — 16.00 MIN · 7.55 PTS · 15.05 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.03	7.60	8.20	0.00	6.85	7.55
REB	2.47	3.20	3.50	0.00	2.82	3.06
AST	0.72	0.80	0.60	2.00	0.70	0.76
FG3M	0.83	0.60	1.20

Rebekah Gardner — 13.74 MIN · 5.43 PTS · 12.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.21	5.60	6.10	8.00	5.76	5.43
REB	2.56	3.80	3.60	3.00	3.02	2.80
AST	1.26	1.20	1.50	2.00	1.39	1.35
FG3M	0.26	0.20	0.30

Isobel Borlase — 17.41 MIN · 6.63 PTS · 11.69 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.45	1.80	5.00	5.00	4.45	6.63
REB	1.45	1.60	1.60	2.00	1.53	2.16
AST	0.91	0.80	0.80	0.00	0.80	1.15
FG3M	0.45	0.40	0.50

Madina Okot — 8.92 MIN · 6.03 PTS · 11.24 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.50	1.60	5.20	3.00	4.97	6.03
REB	3.47	2.20	3.10	1.00	3.04	3.49
AST	0.19	0.00	0.10	1.00	0.18	0.23
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Te-Hina Paopao — 9.65 MIN · 3.13 PTS · 6.82 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.88	1.00	2.40	3.00	3.24	3.13
REB	0.92	0.20	0.20	0.00	0.64	0.58
AST	1.58	1.00	1.50	2.00	1.55	1.44
FG3M	0.92	0.20	0.60

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

NYL

ATL

Best value plays

NYL

ATL

Per-player detail