Predictions

Sun, Jun 14, 2026

2 days behind — through Aug 16

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Atlanta DreamAway

97.0

Record: 21-13 | 5th in standingsL10 Record: 7-3📺 Peachtree TV, Victory+ (ATL)

Toronto TempoHome

90.5

Record: 10-23 | 13th in standingsL10 Record: 0-10📺 TSN

Total

187.5

Game lines unavailable: No event for ATL @ TOR

Injury report

3 Out applied to these projections.

ATL

Injury impact on predictions13 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
ATL	Madina Okot	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.4	1.1	5.7	6.0	+5.8%	3.9	3.9	+1.3%	0.2	0.2	+8.7%	11.5	12.1	+5.2%
ATL	Isobel Borlase	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.0	1.0	7.5	8.0	+5.9%	2.5	2.5	+1.2%	1.5	1.5	+2.1%	13.5	14.1	+4.5%
ATL	Te-Hina Paopao	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.0	1.0	2.8	3.0	+5.7%	0.6	0.6	+1.8%	1.2	1.2	+2.5%	5.9	6.2	+4.2%
ATL	Angel Reese	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.2	17.0	-1.1%	13.7	13.6	-0.3%	2.8	2.6	-5.0%	43.6	43.1	-1.2%
ATL	Rhyne Howard	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	19.3	19.1	-1.1%	3.9	3.9	-0.3%	4.5	4.3	-5.1%	38.6	38.0	-1.8%
ATL	Allisha Gray	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	23.0	22.7	-1.1%	3.7	3.7	-0.3%	3.1	3.0	-5.1%	35.7	35.2	-1.6%
ATL	Jordin Canada	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	13.3	13.1	-1.1%	3.9	3.9	-0.3%	8.7	8.2	-5.0%	34.4	33.5	-2.5%
ATL	Naz Hillmon	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	10.2	10.1	-1.1%	4.4	4.4	-0.2%	1.6	1.5	-5.0%	19.9	19.6	-1.4%
TOR	Isabelle Harrison	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 15% usage boost	8.0	1.2	13.5	14.5	+7.3%	6.2	6.4	+3.0%	1.8	2.2	+21.9%	25.9	28.2	+8.8%
TOR	Laura Juskaite	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 15% usage boost	8.0	1.2	13.7	14.7	+7.3%	5.0	5.2	+3.0%	1.8	2.1	+19.9%	24.9	27.2	+9.0%
TOR	Maria Conde	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 15% usage boost	8.0	1.2	10.8	11.7	+7.4%	5.0	5.2	+3.0%	3.3	3.9	+16.8%	23.7	25.8	+8.8%
TOR	Kia Nurse	Teammates out: +2.6 min, 5% usage boost	2.6	1.1	7.1	7.5	+5.3%	1.2	1.2	+1.7%	1.5	1.7	+9.7%	12.1	12.9	+6.0%
TOR	Teonni Key	Teammates out: +2.5 min, 5% usage boost	2.5	1.0	1.4	1.5	+5.8%	1.3	1.3	+0.8%	0.4	0.5	+18.4%	4.9	5.3	+8.1%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Angel Reese	star	31.9	17.0	13.6	2.6	1.6	0.9	3.0	0.3	33.2	43.1	medium	0%	30%
Rhyne Howard	star	34.6	19.1	3.9	4.3	2.0	1.1	1.0	3.5	27.3	38.0	high	10%	40%
Allisha Gray	star	33.8	22.7	3.7	3.0	1.1	0.5	1.6	2.2	29.4	35.2	high	10%	20%
Jordin Canada	star	33.3	13.1	3.9	8.3	2.0	0.1	3.2	1.1	25.3	33.5	medium	10%	20%
Naz Hillmon	star	28.1	10.1	4.4	1.5	0.6	0.3	1.5	1.3	16.1	19.6	low	20%	10%
Isobel Borlase	bench	19.9	8.0	2.5	1.5	0.3	0.2	1.1	1.1	11.9	14.1	low	0%	40%
Madina Okot	bench	9.5	6.0	3.9	0.3	0.3	0.4	1.3	0.0	10.2	12.1	low	10%	40%
Te-Hina Paopao	bench	9.3	3.0	0.6	1.2	0.2	0.1	0.4	0.7	4.8	6.2	high	0%	30%
Brionna Jones	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Jaylyn Sherrod	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Indya Nivar	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Sika Kone	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Aaliyah Nye	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	medium	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Marina Mabrey	starter	35.9	24.4	3.5	4.2	0.8	0.3	3.8	3.6	32.0	37.1	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Angel Reese — 31.91 MIN · 16.98 PTS · 43.07 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.58	12.80	16.10	17.25	15.88	16.98
REB	12.06	13.80	12.70	13.00	12.79	13.61
AST	2.52	3.00	2.60	1.75	2.59	2.64
FG3M	0.18	0.20	0.30	0.25	0.23	0.25
FTM	4.61	3.40	4.40	5.00	4.50	4.78
STL	1.64	1.20	1.60	1.25	1.51	1.60
BLK	0.76	1.40	1.00	0.75	0.87	0.89
TOV	3.21	2.40	2.70	3.00	2.83	2.98
MIN	30.85	32.33	31.26	29.60	31.13	31.91

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 4 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.025
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Rhyne Howard — 34.61 MIN · 19.10 PTS · 37.97 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.76	22.00	16.80	19.00	18.18	19.10
REB	3.76	3.60	3.60	5.25	3.74	3.92
AST	3.67	5.00	4.80	3.75	4.28	4.28
FG3M	3.24	4.20	3.10

Marina Mabrey — 35.88 MIN · 24.39 PTS · 37.10 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.81	19.20	19.90	23.50	20.67	24.39
REB	3.35	2.40	2.90	3.00	2.96	3.49
AST	3.71	3.60	4.00	3.00	3.72	4.16
FG3M	3.23	3.00	2.70

Allisha Gray — 33.77 MIN · 22.72 PTS · 35.17 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	19.62	24.40	21.70	19.25	21.33	22.72
REB	3.24	4.40	3.50	2.50	3.44	3.66
AST	2.44	3.60	2.90	4.25	2.95	2.99
FG3M	1.76	2.80	2.10

Jordin Canada — 33.33 MIN · 13.13 PTS · 33.52 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.45	12.40	11.90	13.50	12.04	13.13
REB	3.70	3.60	3.40	3.25	3.56	3.87
AST	7.48	6.20	7.90	11.00	7.93	8.25
FG3M	0.82	1.40	0.90

Brittney Sykes — 35.96 MIN · 20.94 PTS · 33.27 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.07	21.00	17.30	11.00	18.32	20.94
REB	3.80	3.40	3.40	2.00	3.44	3.93
AST	3.47	2.80	2.80	4.00	3.10	3.36
FG3M	1.07	1.00	0.70

Isabelle Harrison — 24.15 MIN · 14.48 PTS · 28.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.00	6.40	10.30	15.25	11.27	14.48
REB	5.71	3.60	5.20	4.75	5.28	6.44
AST	1.62	1.80	1.30	1.00	1.50	2.17
FG3M	0.76	0.20	0.50

Laura Juskaite — 32.35 MIN · 14.70 PTS · 27.17 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.06	11.20	11.40	5.25	10.34	14.70
REB	3.91	4.20	4.10	2.25	3.85	5.18
AST	1.58	1.20	1.20	1.25	1.34	2.11
FG3M	1.00	0.60	0.90

Maria Conde — 31.13 MIN · 11.65 PTS · 25.79 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.00	10.50	8.75	9.48	11.65
REB	4.66	4.00	4.80	3.00	4.46	5.20
AST	2.56	3.20	3.10	3.50	2.93	3.89
FG3M	1.66	1.20	1.70

Julie Allemand — 33.48 MIN · 7.75 PTS · 25.06 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.62	6.40	7.30	7.25	6.94	7.75
REB	3.12	2.60	3.30	3.00	3.09	3.44
AST	5.73	6.80	6.30	4.25	5.86	6.21
FG3M	1.27	1.60	1.70

Naz Hillmon — 28.06 MIN · 10.11 PTS · 19.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.00	9.60	12.50	9.51	10.11
REB	4.45	5.40	3.60	3.75	4.18	4.42
AST	1.48	1.60	1.50	1.25	1.51	1.53
FG3M	1.09	1.00	1.30

Isobel Borlase — 19.90 MIN · 7.95 PTS · 14.14 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.62	3.80	5.00	9.75	5.35	7.95
REB	1.50	2.00	1.80	2.25	1.77	2.48
AST	0.97	1.20	1.00	1.00	1.05	1.49
FG3M	0.50	0.80	0.70

Kia Nurse — 17.76 MIN · 7.49 PTS · 12.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.78	5.40	4.70	3.25	4.83	7.49
REB	1.00	0.80	0.80	0.50	0.83	1.22
AST	0.84	1.20	1.30	1.25	1.05	1.69
FG3M	0.91	1.20	0.90

Madina Okot — 9.46 MIN · 6.01 PTS · 12.11 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.58	3.20	4.10	5.00	4.88	6.01
REB	3.58	3.00	3.00	3.00	3.35	3.90
AST	0.21	0.20	0.20	0.00	0.20	0.25
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Te-Hina Paopao — 9.30 MIN · 2.99 PTS · 6.16 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.84	1.60	1.80	4.00	3.15	2.99
REB	0.88	0.00	0.20	0.50	0.64	0.57
AST	1.52	0.80	1.30	0.50	1.33	1.21
FG3M	0.92	0.40	0.40

Teonni Key — 7.14 MIN · 1.47 PTS · 5.34 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.55	0.80	1.10	0.00	1.20	1.47
REB	1.48	1.00	0.70	1.00	1.15	1.32
AST	0.34	0.00	0.10	1.00	0.33	0.45
FG3M	0.10	0.00	0.00

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

ATL

TOR

Best value plays

ATL

TOR

Per-player detail