WNBA Predictions

Injury impact on predictions12 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
DAL	Aziaha James	Teammates out: +4.6 min, 8% usage boost	4.6	1.1	7.5	7.8	+4.1%	2.9	2.9	+0.7%	1.3	1.8	+32.8%	15.0	16.7	+11.0%
DAL	Awak Kuier	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 3% usage boost	1.8	1.0	7.6	8.0	+5.2%	3.8	3.9	+1.6%	1.1	1.2	+5.4%	17.9	18.6	+3.6%
DAL	Alanna Smith	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 3% usage boost	1.8	1.0	6.2	6.5	+5.2%	4.1	4.2	+1.7%	0.9	0.9	+4.4%	14.7	15.2	+3.5%
DAL	Maddy Siegrist	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 2% usage boost	1.4	1.0	6.8	7.1	+4.3%	3.0	3.0	+0.7%	1.0	1.1	+4.8%	14.1	14.5	+3.0%
DAL	Alysha Clark	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 2% usage boost	1.4	1.0	3.1	3.2	+4.2%	1.6	1.6	+0.6%	0.7	0.8	+8.7%	7.0	7.2	+4.2%
DAL	Li Yueru	Teammates out: +0.5 min, 1% usage boost	0.5	1.0	4.4	4.5	+3.0%	3.3	3.3	+0.6%	0.6	0.6	0.0%	10.3	10.4	+1.2%
LVA	Jewell Loyd	Teammates out: +4.1 min, 8% usage boost	4.1	1.1	8.2	8.7	+6.1%	2.2	2.2	+2.3%	1.4	1.5	+9.3%	15.3	16.4	+6.6%
LVA	Stephanie Talbot	Teammates out: +1.5 min, 3% usage boost	1.5	1.0	3.1	3.3	+5.1%	2.1	2.1	+1.4%	0.9	0.9	+3.5%	8.7	9.1	+3.9%
LVA	NaLyssa Smith	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 2% usage boost	1.2	1.0	12.2	12.7	+4.3%	8.0	8.2	+2.0%	1.0	1.0	0.0%	26.0	26.7	+2.8%
LVA	Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	5.1	5.3	+4.1%	2.4	2.4	+0.4%	0.6	0.6	+3.3%	10.7	11.1	+3.4%
LVA	Brianna Turner	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	2.5	2.6	+4.0%	2.7	2.7	0.0%	0.3	0.4	+2.9%	8.1	8.2	+2.1%
LVA	Kierstan Bell	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	2.8	3.0	+4.2%	1.8	1.8	0.0%	0.7	0.7	+2.9%	7.5	7.7	+3.0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
A'ja Wilson	star	33.4	26.6	9.4	2.9	1.2	1.8	2.6	0.9	39.0	48.0	high	20%	20%
Jackie Young	star	33.9	21.4	4.6	6.7	0.7	0.2	2.9	2.5	32.7	38.8	high	20%	10%
Chelsea Gray	star	33.9	11.5	2.8	6.7	1.2	0.2	2.8	1.6	21.0	27.3	medium	30%	20%
NaLyssa Smith	rotation	27.6	12.7	8.2	1.0	0.7	0.6	0.9	0.0	21.9	26.7	medium	10%	40%
Jewell Loyd	starter	24.8	8.7	2.2	1.5	0.9	0.2	1.0	1.8	12.5	16.4	medium	10%	30%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	bench	10.1	5.3	2.4	0.6	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.2	8.3	11.1	low	30%	0%
Stephanie Talbot	rotation	14.4	3.3	2.1	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.6	0.4	6.3	9.1	medium	20%	10%
Brianna Turner	bench	18.1	2.6	2.7	0.4	0.4	0.7	0.8	0.0	5.6	8.3	low	10%	0%
Kierstan Bell	bench	11.7	3.0	1.8	0.7	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.6	5.4	7.7	low	10%	0%
Justine Pissott	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.2	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Dana Evans	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Mai Yamamoto	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Ta'Niya Latson	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Jessica Shepard	star	28.3	12.7	10.4	4.6	0.6	0.1	1.6	0.0	27.7	34.6	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

A'ja Wilson — 33.36 MIN · 26.63 PTS · 47.95 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	26.09	23.00	27.30	23.67	26.04	26.63
REB	9.61	9.40	9.60	7.00	9.23	9.44
AST	3.06	2.20	3.40	1.67	2.94	2.92
FG3M	1.00	0.80	1.00	0.33	0.91	0.93
FTM	6.73	6.20	8.10	3.33	6.86	6.99
STL	1.45	1.20	1.30	0.67	1.24	1.22
BLK	2.03	2.20	2.00	0.00	1.80	1.76
TOV	2.48	3.40	2.60	2.00	2.52	2.57
MIN	32.20	34.63	33.83	30.74	33.00	33.36

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.994
Minute scale: 1.011
Def adj (PTS): 0.999
Opp DefRtg: 107.80 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Jackie Young — 33.93 MIN · 21.39 PTS · 38.84 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.43	22.00	23.40	13.67	20.37	21.39
REB	4.40	2.80	4.70	5.00	4.41	4.63
AST	6.71	6.40	6.50	6.00	6.55	6.66
FG3M	2.23	3.20	2.80

Jessica Shepard — 28.30 MIN · 12.68 PTS · 34.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.21	10.20	12.80	19.67	13.55	12.68
REB	11.36	7.40	10.60	16.33	11.04	10.37
AST	5.18	3.80	5.10	7.67	5.08	4.61
FG3M	0.00	0.00

Paige Bueckers — 30.71 MIN · 18.84 PTS · 32.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.45	21.60	19.90	18.33	20.22	18.84
REB	4.12	3.80	3.90	3.33	3.95	3.69
AST	5.85	5.40	4.90	6.33	5.42	4.88
FG3M	1.76	1.80	1.80

Chelsea Gray — 33.86 MIN · 11.54 PTS · 27.32 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.29	9.60	12.20	6.67	11.32	11.54
REB	3.23	2.60	2.20	2.67	2.73	2.78
AST	7.06	6.40	6.20	8.67	6.79	6.71
FG3M	1.86	1.60	1.60

NaLyssa Smith — 27.56 MIN · 12.73 PTS · 26.70 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.97	11.00	11.50	7.33	11.32	12.73
REB	6.46	9.60	7.40	9.67	7.52	8.16
AST	0.94	1.80	1.10	0.00	0.95	1.02
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Arike Ogunbowale — 27.57 MIN · 14.30 PTS · 24.41 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.80	13.20	17.80	9.00	15.43	14.30
REB	3.14	3.00	3.60	1.67	3.22	2.99
AST	3.09	3.20	4.00	3.67	3.47	3.12
FG3M	1.71	0.80	1.50

Azzi Fudd — 32.87 MIN · 13.14 PTS · 22.67 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.10	12.00	12.70	16.00	13.01	13.14
REB	1.73	1.40	1.50	1.33	1.57	1.59
AST	1.83	1.60	2.00	1.33	1.81	1.77
FG3M	2.07	2.40	2.40

Awak Kuier — 19.76 MIN · 8.02 PTS · 18.55 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.63	7.00	5.90	9.00	6.32	8.02
REB	3.09	3.60	3.00	3.33	3.22	3.90
AST	0.94	1.20	0.90	0.33	0.93	1.17
FG3M	0.59	0.80	0.40

Aziaha James — 12.93 MIN · 7.78 PTS · 16.70 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.06	8.60	5.40	6.67	6.13	7.78
REB	2.41	3.00	2.20	2.00	2.40	2.91
AST	1.21	1.20	0.90	1.67	1.11	1.78
FG3M	0.35	0.40	0.20

Jewell Loyd — 24.84 MIN · 8.70 PTS · 16.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.06	7.80	7.40	12.67	8.28	8.70
REB	2.32	1.60	2.30	2.00	2.22	2.23
AST	1.44	1.60	1.50	1.00	1.42	1.53
FG3M	1.71	1.40	1.50

Alanna Smith — 16.82 MIN · 6.50 PTS · 15.24 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.70	12.80	8.80	4.00	6.85	6.50
REB	4.00	8.60	5.70	1.00	4.62	4.19
AST	1.07	1.40	0.90	0.00	1.02	0.95
FG3M	0.59	1.40	1.00

Maddy Siegrist — 14.21 MIN · 7.10 PTS · 14.50 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.09	5.20	6.50	5.00	6.10	7.10
REB	2.69	2.80	2.60	3.00	2.68	2.98
AST	0.84	1.40	1.20	0.33	0.94	1.09
FG3M	0.78	0.60	1.00

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus — 10.06 MIN · 5.33 PTS · 11.10 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.91	3.80	6.00	8.67	5.51	5.33
REB	2.48	2.80	2.60	3.00	2.59	2.39
AST	0.61	0.00	0.40	2.00	0.66	0.63
FG3M	0.17	0.00	0.20

Li Yueru — 15.01 MIN · 4.52 PTS · 10.40 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.31	3.40	3.30	2.50	3.17	4.52
REB	2.69	2.00	2.10	2.50	2.39	3.29
AST	0.46	0.00	0.40	1.00	0.46	0.63
FG3M	0.27	0.20	0.20

Stephanie Talbot — 14.45 MIN · 3.29 PTS · 9.05 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.36	2.60	2.90	2.00	2.94	3.29
REB	2.50	1.20	1.10	2.67	2.02	2.15
AST	1.00	0.00	0.40	1.33	0.82	0.89
FG3M	0.44	0.40	0.40

Brianna Turner — 18.14 MIN · 2.58 PTS · 8.25 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.76	1.60	2.60	1.00	1.97	2.58
REB	2.24	2.00	2.50	0.00	2.17	2.69
AST	0.24	0.40	0.40	0.00	0.28	0.36
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Kierstan Bell — 11.74 MIN · 2.95 PTS · 7.67 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.04	1.80	3.20	4.00	2.66	2.95
REB	1.61	2.00	1.80	0.67	1.66	1.75
AST	0.70	0.80	0.50	1.00	0.64	0.70
FG3M	0.43	0.40	0.70

Alysha Clark — 13.90 MIN · 3.23 PTS · 7.25 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.14	2.20	2.60	2.00	2.37	3.23
REB	1.23	1.80	1.30	0.67	1.26	1.64
AST	0.50	0.60	0.60	0.33	0.54	0.75
FG3M	0.36	0.20	0.40

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

LVA

DAL

Best value plays

LVA

DAL

Per-player detail