WNBA Predictions

Injury impact on predictions16 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
IND	Tyasha Harris	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.3	1.0	5.3	5.7	+6.0%	1.2	1.2	+0.8%	2.4	2.5	+3.8%	11.4	12.0	+4.8%
IND	Raven Johnson	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.3	1.0	2.7	2.8	+5.6%	1.3	1.3	+0.8%	0.9	1.0	+6.7%	6.0	6.3	+5.4%
IND	Lexie Hull	Teammates out: +1.1 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.1	1.0	4.7	4.9	+4.7%	2.9	2.9	+1.4%	0.6	0.6	0.0%	10.7	11.0	+3.3%
IND	Myisha Hines-Allen	Teammates out: +0.4 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.4	1.0	2.7	2.8	+1.8%	2.5	2.5	+0.8%	1.1	1.1	-2.7%	8.7	8.7	+0.6%
IND	Makayla Timpson	Teammates out: +0.3 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.3	1.0	6.8	6.8	+0.6%	5.9	5.9	+0.9%	0.5	0.5	-3.8%	17.9	18.0	+0.4%
IND	Monique Billings	Teammates out: +0.3 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.3	1.0	7.5	7.5	+0.4%	4.8	4.9	+0.6%	1.0	1.0	-4.0%	17.6	17.6	+0.1%
IND	Caitlin Clark	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	24.4	24.1	-1.1%	3.8	3.8	-0.8%	9.4	9.0	-5.0%	45.4	44.3	-2.3%
IND	Aliyah Boston	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.7	17.5	-1.1%	9.4	9.3	-0.9%	3.5	3.4	-5.1%	40.5	39.8	-1.6%
IND	Kelsey Mitchell	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	26.1	25.8	-1.1%	1.8	1.7	-1.1%	2.4	2.3	-5.0%	34.9	34.4	-1.5%
IND	Sophie Cunningham	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	7.6	7.5	-1.1%	2.5	2.5	-0.8%	1.0	1.0	-4.9%	13.9	13.7	-1.5%
TOR	Laura Juskaite	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 16% usage boost	8.0	1.2	13.8	14.8	+7.0%	4.8	4.9	+2.7%	1.8	2.1	+20.2%	25.1	27.3	+8.9%
TOR	Isabelle Harrison	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 16% usage boost	8.0	1.2	12.4	13.3	+6.9%	6.1	6.3	+2.8%	1.8	2.2	+22.3%	24.7	26.9	+8.7%
TOR	Maria Conde	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 16% usage boost	8.0	1.2	10.3	11.1	+7.1%	4.9	5.0	+2.9%	3.1	3.7	+16.9%	22.8	24.8	+8.6%
TOR	Kia Nurse	Teammates out: +2.6 min, 5% usage boost	2.6	1.1	5.6	5.9	+5.0%	0.9	0.9	+1.1%	1.1	1.2	+9.3%	9.1	9.6	+5.5%
TOR	Teonni Key	Teammates out: +2.5 min, 5% usage boost	2.5	1.1	1.5	1.6	+5.3%	1.3	1.3	+0.8%	0.3	0.3	+18.5%	4.8	5.2	+7.6%
TOR	Temi Fagbenle	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 4% usage boost	1.8	1.0	4.4	4.7	+6.1%	3.4	3.5	+2.1%	1.0	1.0	+1.0%	10.8	11.2	+3.1%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Marina Mabrey	starter	32.9	22.1	3.1	4.1	0.8	0.3	3.5	3.2	29.3	34.3	medium	10%	40%
Brittney Sykes	star	33.3	19.9	3.7	3.2	1.1	0.5	2.6	1.0	26.8	31.6	medium	10%	40%
Laura Juskaite	rotation	30.1	14.8	4.9	2.1	1.6	0.3	2.5	1.2	21.8	27.3	medium	0%	30%
Isabelle Harrison	rotation	22.9	13.3	6.3	2.2	0.8	0.8	2.0	0.8	21.8	26.9	medium	10%	30%
Maria Conde	rotation	29.1	11.1	5.0	3.7	0.7	0.2	1.5	1.9	19.8	24.8	low	20%	20%
Julie Allemand	starter	32.3	7.4	3.3	6.2	1.4	0.4	2.0	1.6	16.9	24.3	low	10%	30%
Temi Fagbenle	bench	15.0	4.7	3.5	1.0	0.3	0.3	1.0	0.1	9.2	11.2	low	20%	40%
Kia Nurse	bench	13.1	5.9	0.9	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.0	9.6	low	10%	10%
Teonni Key	bench	7.3	1.6	1.3	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.1	3.2	5.2	low	20%	0%
Nyara Sabally	starter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Kiki Rice	starter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Aneesah Morrow	starter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Ornella Bankole	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Caitlin Clark	star	32.0	24.1	3.8	9.0	1.0	0.5	4.7	3.0	36.9	44.3	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Caitlin Clark — 31.99 MIN · 24.15 PTS · 44.34 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	22.03	24.60	24.40	21.00	23.77	24.15
REB	3.87	3.40	3.60	5.00	3.76	3.78
AST	8.29	9.60	9.30	14.00	9.25	8.96
FG3M	2.71	3.20	3.10	1.00	2.91	2.99
FTM	5.52	5.00	6.10	10.00	5.95	6.03
STL	0.94	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.96	0.96
BLK	0.55	0.20	0.40	1.00	0.48	0.47
TOV	4.65	4.80	4.90	6.00	4.68	4.65
MIN	30.86	36.74	33.84	32.20	33.12	31.99

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.966
Def adj (PTS): 1.072
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.80
Injury status: Available

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Aliyah Boston — 27.66 MIN · 17.52 PTS · 39.79 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.97	17.40	16.40	18.00	16.95	17.52
REB	8.66	10.80	8.60	11.00	9.08	9.29
AST	3.00	2.80	3.70	4.00	3.42	3.36
FG3M	1.19	1.20	0.90

Kelsey Mitchell — 31.86 MIN · 25.84 PTS · 34.40 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	24.17	25.20	27.30	27.00	26.03	25.84
REB	1.69	2.20	1.80	1.00	1.77	1.73
AST	2.66	2.40	2.20	2.00	2.39	2.26
FG3M	2.86	2.40	3.30

Marina Mabrey — 32.88 MIN · 22.10 PTS · 34.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.81	19.20	19.90	18.00	20.36	22.10
REB	3.35	2.40	2.90	1.00	2.90	3.15
AST	3.71	3.60	4.00	7.00	3.94	4.08
FG3M	3.23	3.00	2.70

Brittney Sykes — 33.32 MIN · 19.87 PTS · 31.61 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.07	21.00	17.30	11.00	18.37	19.87
REB	3.80	3.40	3.40	2.00	3.44	3.73
AST	3.47	2.80	2.80	3.00	3.08	3.18
FG3M	1.07	1.00	0.70

Laura Juskaite — 30.15 MIN · 14.75 PTS · 27.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.06	11.20	11.40	19.00	11.24	14.75
REB	3.91	4.20	4.10	2.00	3.96	4.93
AST	1.58	1.20	1.20	4.00	1.46	2.14
FG3M	1.00	0.60	0.90

Isabelle Harrison — 22.94 MIN · 13.27 PTS · 26.87 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.00	6.40	10.30	11.00	10.87	13.27
REB	5.71	3.60	5.20	8.00	5.44	6.31
AST	1.62	1.80	1.30	2.00	1.58	2.19
FG3M	0.76	0.20	0.50

Maria Conde — 29.05 MIN · 11.08 PTS · 24.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.00	10.50	12.00	9.68	11.08
REB	4.66	4.00	4.80	4.00	4.62	5.02
AST	2.56	3.20	3.10	5.00	2.96	3.67
FG3M	1.66	1.20	1.70

Julie Allemand — 32.26 MIN · 7.37 PTS · 24.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.62	6.40	7.30	0.00	6.67	7.37
REB	3.12	2.60	3.30	0.00	2.99	3.31
AST	5.73	6.80	6.30	1.00	5.88	6.21
FG3M	1.27	1.60	1.70

Makayla Timpson — 23.41 MIN · 6.85 PTS · 17.99 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.85	8.60	7.50	2.00	5.91	6.85
REB	4.35	6.40	5.70	6.00	5.15	5.91
AST	0.50	0.80	0.40	0.00	0.46	0.51
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Monique Billings — 18.17 MIN · 7.53 PTS · 17.57 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.32	6.20	8.50	5.00	7.67	7.53
REB	5.21	3.60	5.00	7.00	5.03	4.88
AST	1.12	0.80	1.10	0.00	1.04	0.97
FG3M	0.15	0.00	0.00

Sophie Cunningham — 20.20 MIN · 7.52 PTS · 13.73 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.68	5.00	7.10	24.00	8.34	7.52
REB	2.38	2.80	2.70	6.00	2.76	2.46
AST	1.21	0.20	1.10	2.00	1.14	0.98
FG3M	1.68	1.00	1.50

Tyasha Harris — 14.99 MIN · 5.67 PTS · 11.99 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.43	3.80	4.40	0.00	4.44	5.67
REB	1.13	1.00	0.90	0.00	1.03	1.24
AST	2.10	1.20	2.10	0.00	2.00	2.48
FG3M	0.67	1.20	0.80

Temi Fagbenle — 14.97 MIN · 4.69 PTS · 11.19 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.63	1.20	3.30	3.00	3.96	4.69
REB	3.31	2.20	3.00	5.00	3.09	3.47
AST	1.00	0.20	0.80	1.00	0.89	1.00
FG3M	0.19	0.00	0.00

Lexie Hull — 16.79 MIN · 4.90 PTS · 11.03 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.17	2.20	3.60	6.00	4.51	4.90
REB	3.09	3.00	2.50	4.00	2.79	2.90
AST	0.71	0.40	0.60	0.00	0.62	0.64
FG3M	0.80	0.40	0.70

Kia Nurse — 13.13 MIN · 5.87 PTS · 9.64 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.78	5.40	4.70	10.00	5.20	5.87
REB	1.00	0.80	0.80	1.00	0.87	0.93
AST	0.84	1.20	1.30	0.00	1.00	1.17
FG3M	0.91	1.20	0.90

Myisha Hines-Allen — 10.12 MIN · 2.79 PTS · 8.72 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.77	1.80	2.10	0.00	2.99	2.79
REB	3.03	2.40	2.60	2.00	2.73	2.49
AST	1.47	0.60	0.70	2.00	1.21	1.07
FG3M	0.23	0.20	0.30

Raven Johnson — 7.86 MIN · 2.81 PTS · 6.29 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.28	0.80	1.10	6.00	2.62	2.81
REB	1.84	0.20	0.30	0.00	1.26	1.27
AST	1.28	0.20	0.10	1.00	0.89	0.96
FG3M	0.34	0.00	0.10

Teonni Key — 7.33 MIN · 1.58 PTS · 5.22 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.55	0.80	1.10	2.00	1.36	1.58
REB	1.48	1.00	0.70	2.00	1.20	1.32
AST	0.34	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.25	0.32
FG3M	0.10	0.00	0.00

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

TOR

IND

Best value plays

TOR

IND

Per-player detail