WNBA Predictions

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
LVA	Jewell Loyd	Teammates out: +4.1 min, 8% usage boost	4.1	1.1	7.6	8.0	+6.1%	2.2	2.2	+2.3%	1.5	1.7	+9.7%	15.1	16.1	+6.6%
LVA	Stephanie Talbot	Teammates out: +1.5 min, 3% usage boost	1.5	1.0	3.1	3.3	+5.1%	2.2	2.2	+1.4%	0.8	0.8	+3.8%	8.8	9.2	+4.0%
LVA	NaLyssa Smith	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 2% usage boost	1.2	1.0	13.3	13.9	+4.3%	7.6	7.8	+2.1%	1.2	1.2	0.0%	27.0	27.8	+2.9%
LVA	Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	5.4	5.6	+4.1%	2.7	2.7	0.0%	0.5	0.5	+4.2%	11.3	11.7	+2.9%
LVA	Kierstan Bell	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	2.7	2.8	+4.1%	2.1	2.1	+0.5%	0.8	0.8	+3.7%	8.1	8.3	+3.2%
LVA	Brianna Turner	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	2.2	2.3	+4.5%	2.9	2.9	+0.3%	0.3	0.3	+3.1%	8.0	8.1	+2.4%
PHX	Jovana Nogic	Teammates out: +3.5 min, 0% usage boost	3.5	1.0	8.1	8.7	+6.8%	0.8	0.8	+2.5%	1.3	1.4	+11.1%	12.3	13.3	+8.0%
PHX	Lexi Held	Teammates out: +3.5 min, 0% usage boost	3.5	1.0	5.8	6.2	+6.7%	1.4	1.5	+2.8%	1.6	1.8	+17.2%	10.8	11.8	+9.8%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
A'ja Wilson	star	32.6	26.3	9.6	3.1	1.4	1.9	2.5	1.0	39.0	48.8	high	20%	20%
Jackie Young	star	32.8	20.8	4.3	6.5	0.9	0.2	2.7	2.7	31.6	38.1	high	30%	10%
NaLyssa Smith	rotation	27.6	13.9	7.8	1.2	0.8	0.6	0.9	0.0	22.9	27.8	medium	0%	40%
Chelsea Gray	star	33.3	11.6	2.7	6.8	1.1	0.3	2.7	1.7	21.1	27.5	medium	10%	20%
Jewell Loyd	starter	24.9	8.0	2.2	1.7	1.0	0.2	1.0	1.6	12.0	16.1	medium	10%	20%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	bench	10.7	5.6	2.7	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.2	8.8	11.7	low	30%	0%
Stephanie Talbot	rotation	14.7	3.3	2.2	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.5	0.5	6.3	9.2	medium	20%	10%
Kierstan Bell	bench	12.6	2.8	2.1	0.8	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.6	5.8	8.3	low	10%	0%
Brianna Turner	bench	16.9	2.3	2.9	0.3	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.0	5.5	8.1	low	10%	0%
Justine Pissott	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.2	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Dana Evans	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Mai Yamamoto	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Ta'Niya Latson	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Alyssa Thomas	star	32.0	14.3	7.5	7.4	1.2	0.5	3.3	0.0	29.2	36.4	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

A'ja Wilson — 32.58 MIN · 26.33 PTS · 48.84 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	26.09	23.00	27.30	24.33	26.14	26.33
REB	9.61	9.40	9.60	9.67	9.51	9.58
AST	3.06	2.20	3.40	3.33	3.15	3.07
FG3M	1.00	0.80	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.01
FTM	6.73	6.20	8.10	5.33	7.04	7.07
STL	1.45	1.20	1.30	2.67	1.46	1.42
BLK	2.03	2.20	2.00	1.67	1.99	1.92
TOV	2.48	3.40	2.60	1.67	2.51	2.52
MIN	32.20	34.63	33.83	28.40	32.75	32.58

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.995
Minute scale: 0.995
Def adj (PTS): 1.009
Opp DefRtg: 108.90 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Jackie Young — 32.84 MIN · 20.75 PTS · 38.13 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.43	22.00	23.40	13.33	20.37	20.75
REB	4.40	2.80	4.70	3.00	4.21	4.30
AST	6.71	6.40	6.50	6.00	6.63	6.54
FG3M	2.23	3.20	2.80

Alyssa Thomas — 32.03 MIN · 14.32 PTS · 36.44 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.82	14.40	15.70	12.33	14.88	14.32
REB	7.36	9.00	8.50	5.67	7.83	7.50
AST	8.21	7.80	8.60	7.00	8.07	7.41
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Kelsey Plum — 28.39 MIN · 20.59 PTS · 32.25 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	22.25	16.20	19.50	32.50	21.10	20.59
REB	2.19	2.40	2.40	4.00	2.40	2.35
AST	5.63	4.00	5.20	5.50	5.17	4.81
FG3M	2.44	1.80	1.90

NaLyssa Smith — 27.64 MIN · 13.92 PTS · 27.76 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.97	11.00	11.50	15.33	12.14	13.92
REB	6.46	9.60	7.40	4.67	7.02	7.78
AST	0.94	1.80	1.10	1.00	1.06	1.16
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Chelsea Gray — 33.25 MIN · 11.63 PTS · 27.51 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.29	9.60	12.20	8.00	11.47	11.63
REB	3.23	2.60	2.20	2.00	2.67	2.70
AST	7.06	6.40	6.20	9.00	6.90	6.78
FG3M	1.86	1.60	1.60

DeWanna Bonner — 26.46 MIN · 11.23 PTS · 26.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.23	10.40	13.20	8.33	11.40	11.23
REB	6.00	7.40	7.70	4.67	6.69	6.58
AST	1.54	2.00	2.10	2.00	1.82	1.71
FG3M	1.14	1.40	1.30

Kahleah Copper — 29.95 MIN · 18.50 PTS · 25.72 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.56	18.80	20.60	16.00	19.82	18.50
REB	3.50	2.40	2.70	2.67	3.02	2.80
AST	1.94	2.80	2.60	1.67	2.20	1.96
FG3M	1.71	1.80	1.50

Natasha Mack — 19.69 MIN · 7.25 PTS · 18.99 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.33	6.40	6.30	5.00	7.14	7.25
REB	6.81	4.20	4.20	11.50	6.12	6.20
AST	1.30	0.80	0.90	0.50	1.06	1.03
FG3M	0.07	0.00	0.00

Jewell Loyd — 24.94 MIN · 8.04 PTS · 16.06 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.06	7.80	7.40	5.00	7.52	8.04
REB	2.32	1.60	2.30	1.67	2.19	2.23
AST	1.44	1.60	1.50	2.00	1.53	1.69
FG3M	1.71	1.40	1.50

Noemie Brochant — 24.39 MIN · 7.50 PTS · 14.95 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.06	10.40	7.30	6.00	6.82	7.50
REB	2.06	1.60	1.30	2.33	1.78	1.96
AST	1.76	2.00	1.50	0.67	1.55	1.62
FG3M	1.03	1.40	1.00

Jovana Nogic — 15.36 MIN · 8.68 PTS · 13.31 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.38	6.80	7.40	15.50	9.42	8.68
REB	1.06	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.95	0.83
AST	1.63	1.80	1.30	2.00	1.47	1.40
FG3M	2.00	1.00	1.40

Lexi Held — 17.80 MIN · 6.20 PTS · 11.81 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.67	2.20	2.60	9.00	4.14	6.20
REB	1.18	1.00	0.70	2.00	1.04	1.49
AST	1.33	0.40	1.00	1.00	1.13	1.84
FG3M	0.70	0.20	0.20

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus — 10.65 MIN · 5.63 PTS · 11.67 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.91	3.80	6.00	6.33	5.28	5.63
REB	2.48	2.80	2.60	4.00	2.69	2.72
AST	0.61	0.00	0.40	0.00	0.47	0.50
FG3M	0.17	0.00	0.20

Stephanie Talbot — 14.68 MIN · 3.31 PTS · 9.19 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.36	2.60	2.90	3.00	3.05	3.31
REB	2.50	1.20	1.10	3.67	2.13	2.20
AST	1.00	0.00	0.40	0.67	0.76	0.81
FG3M	0.44	0.40	0.40

Kierstan Bell — 12.59 MIN · 2.81 PTS · 8.31 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.04	1.80	3.20	1.00	2.36	2.81
REB	1.61	2.00	1.80	3.00	1.89	2.15
AST	0.70	0.80	0.50	1.67	0.71	0.84
FG3M	0.43	0.40	0.70

Brianna Turner — 16.92 MIN · 2.32 PTS · 8.14 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.76	1.60	2.60	0.67	1.91	2.32
REB	2.24	2.00	2.50	4.00	2.50	2.87
AST	0.24	0.40	0.40	0.00	0.28	0.33
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

LVA

PHX

Best value plays

LVA

PHX

Per-player detail