WNBA Predictions

Injury impact on predictions18 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
PDX	Holly Winterburn	Teammates out: +3.5 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.5	1.0	6.6	6.9	+4.7%	2.3	2.3	+0.9%	3.7	4.6	+23.9%	16.2	18.3	+13.0%
PDX	Teja Oblak	Teammates out: +3.5 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.5	1.0	6.3	6.6	+4.8%	1.8	1.8	+0.6%	3.4	3.9	+14.5%	14.4	15.8	+9.6%
PDX	Karlie Samuelson	Teammates out: +2.8 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.8	1.0	6.3	6.6	+5.7%	1.7	1.7	+1.8%	1.0	1.1	+7.1%	11.9	12.5	+5.7%
PDX	Frieda Buhner	Teammates out: +0.8 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.8	1.0	8.4	8.7	+3.2%	3.3	3.4	+1.8%	1.1	1.1	-4.5%	15.3	15.6	+1.6%
PDX	Nyadiew Puoch	Teammates out: +0.8 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.8	1.0	4.5	4.6	+2.5%	1.9	1.9	+1.6%	0.5	0.5	-3.8%	9.7	9.8	+0.5%
PDX	Luisa Geiselsoder	Teammates out: +0.3 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.3	1.0	3.9	3.9	-0.3%	2.3	2.3	+0.9%	1.1	1.0	-8.4%	9.6	9.4	-1.7%
PDX	Bridget Carleton	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	18.7	18.3	-2.1%	6.2	6.2	-0.8%	2.5	2.3	-9.2%	35.4	34.3	-3.1%
PDX	Carla Leite	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	18.3	17.9	-2.1%	2.5	2.4	-0.8%	7.6	6.9	-9.3%	33.0	31.4	-4.9%
PDX	Megan DiLeo	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.8	17.4	-2.1%	6.4	6.3	-0.8%	1.3	1.2	-9.9%	30.6	29.9	-2.3%
PDX	Emily Engstler	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	9.5	9.3	-2.0%	5.5	5.5	-0.9%	2.4	2.2	-9.1%	24.8	23.9	-3.5%
SEA	Mackenzie Holmes	Teammates out: +7.3 min, 10% usage boost	7.3	1.1	2.3	2.3	+1.8%	2.4	2.3	-0.4%	0.4	0.6	+51.3%	7.1	8.1	+13.6%
SEA	Stefanie Dolson	Teammates out: +4.4 min, 6% usage boost	4.4	1.1	2.5	2.5	+2.8%	1.7	1.7	+0.6%	0.9	1.0	+16.1%	7.1	7.5	+6.5%
SEA	Dominique Malonga	Teammates out: +3.6 min, 5% usage boost	3.6	1.0	20.1	20.8	+3.7%	10.2	10.3	+1.5%	2.2	2.3	+3.7%	41.9	42.9	+2.5%
SEA	Awa Fam	Teammates out: +3.6 min, 5% usage boost	3.6	1.0	12.0	12.5	+3.7%	7.0	7.1	+1.6%	1.9	2.0	+2.6%	27.8	28.4	+2.5%
SEA	Katie Lou Samuelson	Teammates out: +3.3 min, 5% usage boost	3.3	1.0	5.0	5.1	+2.8%	2.0	2.0	+0.5%	0.6	0.6	+10.3%	10.0	10.3	+3.6%
SEA	Jade Melbourne	Teammates out: +2.7 min, 4% usage boost	2.7	1.0	10.2	10.5	+3.7%	1.7	1.7	+1.2%	3.9	3.9	+0.8%	20.1	20.5	+2.1%
SEA	Zia Cooke	Teammates out: +2.2 min, 3% usage boost	2.2	1.0	7.0	7.1	+1.7%	1.3	1.3	-0.8%	0.7	0.7	+4.3%	10.0	10.2	+1.6%
SEA	Taina Mair	Teammates out: +2.2 min, 3% usage boost	2.2	1.0	1.6	1.7	+1.8%	0.4	0.4	0.0%	0.6	0.9	+40.6%	3.0	3.5	+13.9%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Dominique Malonga	rotation	27.4	20.8	10.3	2.3	0.9	1.7	2.6	0.9	33.4	42.9	high	20%	10%
Natisha Hiedeman	starter	34.0	15.0	3.0	5.6	1.0	0.1	2.2	1.8	23.6	29.1	medium	10%	20%
Awa Fam	starter	28.9	12.5	7.1	2.0	1.1	0.8	1.8	2.1	21.6	28.4	medium	10%	30%
Flau'jae Johnson	starter	29.6	14.6	4.6	2.8	1.6	0.5	2.8	1.1	22.0	27.9	medium	30%	10%
Jade Melbourne	rotation	24.6	10.5	1.7	3.9	0.9	0.3	1.7	1.0	16.2	20.5	medium	10%	10%
Katie Lou Samuelson	bench	14.8	5.1	2.0	0.6	0.8	0.0	0.5	0.9	7.8	10.3	low	30%	10%
Zia Cooke	bench	13.5	7.1	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.8	0.7	9.2	10.2	low	20%	0%
Mackenzie Holmes	bench	8.1	2.3	2.3	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.3	5.2	8.1	medium	0%	60%
Stefanie Dolson	rotation	11.2	2.5	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.3	0.6	0.5	5.3	7.5	low	30%	50%
Taina Mair	deep	4.2	1.7	0.4	0.9	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.2	3.0	3.5	medium	20%	0%
Jordan Horston	rotation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Ezi Magbegor	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Taylor Thierry	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Bridget Carleton	starter	32.3	18.3	6.2	2.3	1.4	0.4	1.1	3.8	26.7	34.3	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Dominique Malonga — 27.41 MIN · 20.82 PTS · 42.91 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.11	20.80	19.90	20.00	18.79	20.82
REB	8.85	9.40	10.40	9.25	9.65	10.33
AST	1.70	2.40	2.20	2.75	2.06	2.26
FG3M	0.74	1.40	0.90	0.75	0.83	0.92
FTM	2.74	3.80	3.00	4.75	3.17	3.49
STL	0.89	0.80	0.90	0.50	0.85	0.90
BLK	1.41	1.80	1.70	1.75	1.62	1.66
TOV	2.70	2.00	2.60	1.75	2.48	2.58
MIN	26.18	27.83	27.62	26.11	26.85	27.41

Factors

Games played: 27
h2h sample: 4 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.001
Minute scale: 1.021
Def adj (PTS): 1.041
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.30

L50.25

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.10

Bridget Carleton — 32.33 MIN · 18.27 PTS · 34.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.64	17.60	17.30	19.00	16.59	18.27
REB	4.52	8.40	6.50	6.50	5.60	6.17
AST	2.12	1.80	2.40	2.25	2.24	2.27
FG3M	2.88	3.60	3.80

Carla Leite — 27.47 MIN · 17.90 PTS · 31.37 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.48	17.20	16.20	14.50	15.66	17.90
REB	2.26	2.00	1.90	2.50	2.13	2.43
AST	6.23	7.80	7.10	5.50	6.60	6.93
FG3M	0.84	1.20	0.90

Megan DiLeo — 31.78 MIN · 17.45 PTS · 29.92 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.88	14.60	15.10	10.75	13.69	17.45
REB	4.19	6.20	5.00	6.50	4.98	6.35
AST	1.00	1.40	1.00	1.00	1.01	1.18
FG3M	1.25	1.20	1.40

Natisha Hiedeman — 33.99 MIN · 15.01 PTS · 29.06 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.42	9.60	14.30	11.25	14.06	15.01
REB	2.69	2.20	2.70	3.00	2.74	2.97
AST	4.78	6.00	6.00	4.50	5.46	5.59
FG3M	1.89	0.80	1.30

Awa Fam — 28.87 MIN · 12.47 PTS · 28.45 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.50	8.00	9.30	13.25	10.14	12.47
REB	5.83	4.80	6.80	4.50	5.98	7.11
AST	1.90	1.20	1.80	0.50	1.65	1.99
FG3M	1.50	1.80	1.70

Flau'jae Johnson — 29.57 MIN · 14.59 PTS · 27.89 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.74	13.80	16.10	5.67	13.98	14.59
REB	4.91	2.80	4.00	4.67	4.38	4.64
AST	2.88	2.40	3.00	1.67	2.78	2.79
FG3M	1.21	0.80	1.00

Emily Engstler — 25.26 MIN · 9.34 PTS · 23.94 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.20	8.40	9.25	8.72	9.34
REB	5.26	5.00	4.70	5.75	5.13	5.48
AST	2.06	2.00	2.50	2.00	2.24	2.21
FG3M	1.03	1.00	1.00

Jade Melbourne — 24.65 MIN · 10.54 PTS · 20.48 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.29	12.40	10.30	11.50	10.39	10.54
REB	1.94	1.60	1.60	1.50	1.73	1.69
AST	3.89	3.80	4.10	4.50	4.03	3.94
FG3M	0.69	1.80	1.00

Holly Winterburn — 16.31 MIN · 6.88 PTS · 18.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.29	7.20	4.40	9.33	4.38	6.88
REB	1.14	2.80	1.60	3.33	1.56	2.33
AST	2.00	3.20	2.30	4.67	2.47	4.56
FG3M	0.19	0.20	0.30

Teja Oblak — 14.39 MIN · 6.60 PTS · 15.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.92	6.40	5.70	3.33	5.55	6.60
REB	1.62	2.20	1.40	1.00	1.56	1.76
AST	3.00	4.00	3.10	2.00	3.06	3.94
FG3M	0.81	0.80	0.60

Frieda Buhner — 18.39 MIN · 8.72 PTS · 15.57 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.39	6.60	7.50	5.75	6.88	8.72
REB	2.23	2.80	3.00	3.50	2.74	3.38
AST	0.74	0.60	1.00	1.25	0.90	1.05
FG3M	0.81	1.20	1.30

Karlie Samuelson — 17.49 MIN · 6.63 PTS · 12.54 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.64	5.00	6.20	7.33	5.59	6.63
REB	1.32	1.80	1.50	2.00	1.52	1.72
AST	0.91	0.80	1.00	0.33	0.89	1.06
FG3M	1.09	1.40	1.60

Katie Lou Samuelson — 14.79 MIN · 5.13 PTS · 10.33 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.46	4.40	5.40	2.67	4.62	5.13
REB	2.07	1.80	1.90	1.00	1.86	2.00
AST	0.71	0.40	0.30	0.33	0.54	0.64
FG3M	0.86	0.80	0.90

Zia Cooke — 13.50 MIN · 7.13 PTS · 10.20 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.39	7.00	7.70	5.50	7.36	7.13
REB	1.67	1.00	1.10	1.25	1.39	1.30
AST	0.86	0.60	0.50	1.00	0.75	0.73
FG3M	0.81	0.40	0.90

Nyadiew Puoch — 15.84 MIN · 4.57 PTS · 9.78 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.94	7.60	5.10	6.25	4.76	4.57
REB	1.76	2.20	2.20	2.00	2.04	1.91
AST	0.67	0.60	0.40	0.75	0.57	0.51
FG3M	0.42	1.20	0.60

Luisa Geiselsoder — 13.47 MIN · 3.90 PTS · 9.39 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.48	1.20	3.70	0.00	4.02	3.90
REB	2.62	1.80	2.30	0.00	2.40	2.33
AST	1.29	0.60	0.90	0.00	1.11	0.98
FG3M	0.76	0.20	0.70

Mackenzie Holmes — 8.05 MIN · 2.30 PTS · 8.11 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.86	0.60	0.90	3.00	2.20	2.30
REB	3.14	1.40	1.10	0.00	2.32	2.34
AST	0.55	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.38	0.59
FG3M	0.27	0.00	0.20

Stefanie Dolson — 11.18 MIN · 2.55 PTS · 7.53 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.50	2.20	2.10	0.50	2.66	2.55
REB	2.33	1.40	1.60	1.00	1.88	1.74
AST	1.14	0.80	0.90	0.25	0.94	1.01
FG3M	0.53	0.60	0.50

Taina Mair — 4.23 MIN · 1.68 PTS · 3.45 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.40	1.40	1.40	5.00	1.52	1.68
REB	0.40	0.40	0.40	0.00	0.39	0.42
AST	0.60	0.60	0.60	0.00	0.59	0.90
FG3M	0.20	0.20	0.20

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

SEA

PDX

Best value plays

SEA

PDX

Per-player detail