Predictions

Fri, Jun 26, 2026

3 days behind — through Aug 13

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Matchup

Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Portland FireAway

91.9

13-209thL10 3-7

Chicago SkyHome

93.3

12-2212thL10 4-6

Total

185.2

📺 ION

Game lines unavailable: No event for PDX @ CHI

Injury report

5 Out applied to these projections.

PDX

Injury impact on predictions15 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
CHI	Sydney Taylor	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 5% usage boost	8.0	1.0	24.8	25.9	+4.7%	2.6	2.6	+1.5%	3.0	3.7	+26.0%	35.8	38.8	+8.3%
CHI	Jacy Sheldon	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 5% usage boost	8.0	1.0	7.5	7.9	+4.8%	1.3	1.4	+2.3%	1.5	1.9	+24.7%	14.3	15.9	+10.8%
CHI	Gabriela Jaquez	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 5% usage boost	8.0	1.0	6.5	6.8	+4.6%	2.9	3.0	+1.7%	1.0	1.3	+27.5%	12.9	14.1	+8.6%
CHI	Elizabeth Williams	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 1% usage boost	1.6	1.0	5.5	5.8	+4.3%	3.2	3.3	+1.9%	1.6	1.6	-0.6%	13.9	14.2	+1.7%
CHI	Azura Stevens	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 1% usage boost	1.3	1.0	14.1	14.1	+0.3%	8.9	9.1	+2.1%	3.1	3.0	-4.2%	33.0	32.9	-0.5%
CHI	Kamilla Cardoso	Teammates out: +0.4 min, 0% usage boost	0.4	1.0	17.1	16.4	-3.8%	9.4	9.2	-1.7%	2.4	2.2	-7.8%	35.5	34.0	-4.2%
PDX	Carla Leite	Teammates out: +3.8 min, 4% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.8	1.0	20.9	21.6	+3.8%	2.6	2.6	+1.5%	8.7	9.0	+3.1%	37.0	38.3	+3.6%
PDX	Teja Oblak	Teammates out: +3.3 min, 4% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.3	1.0	7.3	7.4	+1.8%	1.9	1.9	-0.5%	3.3	3.7	+11.6%	15.5	16.4	+6.3%
PDX	Frieda Buhner	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.1	1.0	8.9	9.2	+2.8%	3.6	3.6	+0.6%	1.3	1.3	+1.6%	16.5	16.9	+2.4%
PDX	Nyadiew Puoch	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.1	1.0	4.5	4.6	+2.9%	1.8	1.8	+0.6%	0.6	0.6	0.0%	9.9	10.1	+2.3%
PDX	Serah Williams	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.8	1.0	6.7	6.8	+1.9%	3.1	3.1	-0.3%	0.9	0.9	+3.4%	13.2	13.5	+2.1%
PDX	Emily Engstler	Teammates out: +1.1 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.1	1.0	10.4	10.5	+0.9%	6.0	6.1	+1.3%	3.0	2.8	-6.4%	28.4	28.2	-0.8%
PDX	Luisa Geiselsoder	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.7	1.0	4.3	4.3	0.0%	2.7	2.7	+0.4%	1.2	1.2	-6.5%	10.9	10.8	-1.1%
PDX	Megan DiLeo	Teammates out: +0.4 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.4	1.0	19.7	19.2	-2.7%	5.8	5.8	-0.2%	1.5	1.3	-8.8%	32.8	31.9	-2.7%
PDX	Bridget Carleton	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	20.3	19.4	-4.8%	6.3	6.2	-2.1%	2.9	2.6	-10.5%	38.4	36.4	-5.2%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Carla Leite	starter	31.2	21.6	2.6	9.0	0.7	0.0	4.2	1.1	33.3	38.3	medium	0%	50%
Bridget Carleton	starter	36.3	19.4	6.2	2.6	1.6	0.6	1.3	3.7	28.1	36.4	medium	0%	40%
Megan DiLeo	rotation	33.6	19.2	5.8	1.3	0.6	1.0	1.1	1.8	26.3	31.9	high	0%	40%
Emily Engstler	rotation	27.2	10.5	6.1	2.8	1.7	1.4	1.9	1.3	19.4	28.2	high	10%	40%
Frieda Buhner	bench	20.0	9.2	3.6	1.3	0.5	0.1	1.0	1.2	14.1	16.9	low	20%	40%
Teja Oblak	bench	14.1	7.4	1.9	3.7	1.0	0.1	2.9	1.0	12.9	16.4	low	10%	40%
Serah Williams	bench	17.7	6.8	3.1	0.9	0.6	0.4	1.3	0.0	10.9	13.5	low	10%	40%
Luisa Geiselsoder	rotation	14.6	4.3	2.7	1.2	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.7	8.1	10.8	low	10%	30%
Nyadiew Puoch	rotation	17.1	4.6	1.8	0.6	0.9	0.2	0.4	0.5	7.1	10.1	low	10%	0%
Jordan Harrison	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Karlie Samuelson	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Holly Winterburn	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Amy Okonkwo	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Sania Feagin	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Sydney Taylor	rotation	31.4	25.9	2.6	3.7	1.2	0.4	2.0	3.7	32.3	38.8	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Sydney Taylor — 31.41 MIN · 25.94 PTS · 38.78 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	21.20	19.30	14.33	16.81	25.94
REB	1.57	2.40	2.10	1.33	1.78	2.63
AST	1.68	3.20	2.30	2.33	2.02	3.73
FG3M	2.11	3.40	2.90	2.67	2.50	3.72
FTM	2.25	2.60	2.20	3.00	2.33	3.48
STL	0.71	1.00	0.60	0.33	0.67	1.16
BLK	0.25	0.40	0.20	0.00	0.23	0.40
TOV	1.50	1.00	1.50	1.00	1.39	2.05
MIN	20.64	26.30	25.14	16.14	22.48	31.41

Factors

Games played: 28
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.010
Minute scale: 1.397
Def adj (PTS): 1.043
Opp DefRtg: 112.60 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.30

L50.25

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.10

Carla Leite — 31.23 MIN · 21.65 PTS · 38.34 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.53	16.60	16.10	15.33	15.81	21.65
REB	2.23	1.40	1.90	1.67	1.99	2.64
AST	6.23	7.20	7.50	4.33	6.66	8.99
FG3M	0.80	1.00	0.80

Bridget Carleton — 36.25 MIN · 19.36 PTS · 36.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.66	20.00	17.10	13.33	16.12	19.36
REB	4.38	7.20	5.90	3.33	5.05	6.16
AST	2.13	1.80	2.50	2.33	2.29	2.56
FG3M	2.84	4.20	3.60

Kamilla Cardoso — 26.24 MIN · 16.45 PTS · 33.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.55	16.00	15.20	21.67	15.86	16.45
REB	8.61	9.60	8.60	10.00	8.83	9.24
AST	2.45	2.20	2.40	1.67	2.28	2.25
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Azura Stevens — 30.74 MIN · 14.10 PTS · 32.85 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.04	9.60	11.70	11.50	11.12	14.10
REB	6.68	6.40	7.70	8.50	7.12	9.09
AST	2.32	1.40	2.30	5.50	2.48	2.98
FG3M	0.92	0.60	1.10

Megan DiLeo — 33.60 MIN · 19.20 PTS · 31.92 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.84	12.80	14.80	13.33	13.83	19.20
REB	4.03	4.80	4.40	1.33	4.12	5.80
AST	1.00	1.20	0.90	1.67	1.04	1.34
FG3M	1.23	1.00	1.30

Skylar Diggins — 29.75 MIN · 14.36 PTS · 28.64 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.16	10.80	13.20	15.33	13.79	14.36
REB	3.16	2.80	2.40	5.67	3.08	3.24
AST	4.89	5.60	4.90	7.33	5.27	5.23
FG3M	1.37	1.20	1.60

Emily Engstler — 27.18 MIN · 10.52 PTS · 28.21 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.40	8.90	6.00	8.55	10.52
REB	5.27	4.40	4.80	3.67	4.98	6.08
AST	2.06	2.60	3.00	2.33	2.47	2.80
FG3M	1.06	1.40	1.10

Natasha Cloud — 30.01 MIN · 10.88 PTS · 25.45 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.24	12.20	11.40	5.50	10.61	10.88
REB	3.21	3.60	3.00	2.50	3.05	3.17
AST	5.03	7.40	6.60	4.00	5.83	5.71
FG3M	1.03	0.80	1.10

Frieda Buhner — 20.03 MIN · 9.17 PTS · 16.92 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.33	5.00	7.40	5.33	6.74	9.17
REB	2.23	3.00	2.90	3.67	2.74	3.61
AST	0.77	1.00	1.10	1.33	0.96	1.28
FG3M	0.77	0.80	1.30

Teja Oblak — 14.12 MIN · 7.39 PTS · 16.44 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.16	6.80	6.80	4.00	6.43	7.39
REB	1.64	2.20	1.40	1.50	1.67	1.85
AST	3.00	3.60	3.00	0.00	2.93	3.66
FG3M	0.84	0.80	0.90

Jacy Sheldon — 20.15 MIN · 7.89 PTS · 15.90 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.85	8.60	7.20	12.67	7.75	7.89
REB	1.29	1.00	1.30	2.33	1.37	1.35
AST	1.65	1.60	1.40	2.33	1.59	1.92
FG3M	0.91	1.60	1.00

Elizabeth Williams — 16.82 MIN · 5.76 PTS · 14.15 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.24	4.20	5.60	6.67	5.29	5.76
REB	3.68	3.00	2.80	2.67	3.14	3.29
AST	1.50	2.00	1.30	2.00	1.56	1.60
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Gabriela Jaquez — 18.32 MIN · 6.78 PTS · 14.05 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.07	3.00	3.60	8.00	5.92	6.78
REB	3.10	1.00	1.70	4.33	2.69	2.96
AST	0.93	0.60	0.70	2.00	0.94	1.30
FG3M	0.53	0.40	0.50

Serah Williams — 17.69 MIN · 6.84 PTS · 13.46 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.38	4.60	5.70	4.00	4.86	6.84
REB	2.45	1.80	2.40	1.67	2.31	3.14
AST	0.55	0.80	0.70	0.67	0.63	0.90
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Luisa Geiselsoder — 14.63 MIN · 4.26 PTS · 10.78 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.48	1.20	3.70	5.00	4.08	4.26
REB	2.62	1.80	2.30	5.00	2.59	2.68
AST	1.29	0.60	0.90	2.50	1.20	1.16
FG3M	0.76	0.20	0.70

Nyadiew Puoch — 17.14 MIN · 4.64 PTS · 10.13 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	9.20	4.90	2.33	4.36	4.64
REB	1.72	2.00	2.00	0.67	1.77	1.82
AST	0.66	0.40	0.30	1.67	0.63	0.64
FG3M	0.44	1.20	0.60

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

PDX

CHI

Best value plays

PDX

CHI

Per-player detail