WNBA Predictions

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
ATL	Sika Kone	Teammates out: +4.1 min, 6% usage boost	4.1	1.1	2.9	3.0	+5.6%	1.9	1.9	+1.1%	0.3	0.4	+69.2%	5.7	6.4	+11.7%
ATL	Isobel Borlase	Teammates out: +3.5 min, 5% usage boost	3.5	1.1	4.7	4.9	+5.8%	1.5	1.5	+0.7%	0.8	1.0	+21.4%	8.2	8.9	+8.3%
ATL	Te-Hina Paopao	Teammates out: +3.5 min, 5% usage boost	3.5	1.1	2.9	3.0	+5.6%	0.6	0.6	+1.8%	1.4	1.7	+21.2%	6.3	7.1	+12.0%
ATL	Madina Okot	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 2% usage boost	1.6	1.0	6.0	6.4	+5.6%	3.8	3.8	+1.3%	0.2	0.2	+9.5%	11.5	12.1	+5.0%
LAS	Emma Cannon	Teammates out: +3.6 min, 7% usage boost	3.6	1.1	6.2	6.4	+3.7%	1.4	1.4	+0.7%	0.6	0.9	+48.4%	9.3	10.1	+8.8%
LAS	Erica Wheeler	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 3% usage boost	1.4	1.0	11.2	11.7	+4.4%	2.5	2.5	+2.9%	6.2	6.2	-0.3%	25.3	26.0	+2.4%
LAS	Ariel Atkins	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 3% usage boost	1.4	1.0	9.5	9.9	+4.5%	3.3	3.4	+2.7%	3.5	3.5	-0.3%	23.4	24.1	+2.6%
LAS	Jihyun Park	Teammates out: +1.1 min, 2% usage boost	1.1	1.0	4.6	4.7	+3.7%	1.4	1.5	+0.7%	0.9	1.0	+6.4%	9.0	9.3	+4.0%
LAS	Kiana Williams	Teammates out: +1.1 min, 2% usage boost	1.1	1.0	4.3	4.4	+3.8%	0.6	0.6	0.0%	1.8	1.8	+4.0%	8.7	9.0	+4.2%
LAS	Chance Gray	Teammates out: +1.1 min, 2% usage boost	1.1	1.0	3.9	4.0	+3.6%	1.3	1.3	+0.8%	1.4	1.5	+5.0%	8.1	8.4	+3.6%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Nneka Ogwumike	star	31.2	16.8	9.0	3.6	1.0	0.4	2.4	1.4	29.4	35.8	high	10%	30%
Dearica Hamby	starter	31.4	17.7	7.3	2.9	1.6	0.6	2.3	0.3	27.9	34.4	high	20%	20%
Rae Burrell	starter	35.0	18.5	2.9	3.4	1.2	0.5	3.0	2.2	24.8	30.1	medium	10%	40%
Erica Wheeler	starter	28.6	11.7	2.5	6.2	1.0	0.0	2.0	1.6	20.4	26.0	medium	10%	30%
Ariel Atkins	starter	29.3	9.9	3.4	3.5	1.9	0.5	1.6	1.7	16.7	24.1	medium	20%	20%
Emma Cannon	deep	9.5	6.4	1.4	0.9	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	8.7	10.1	low	10%	30%
Jihyun Park	bench	13.6	4.7	1.5	1.0	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.6	7.2	9.3	low	10%	30%
Kiana Williams	bench	13.1	4.4	0.6	1.8	0.5	0.1	1.1	0.8	6.8	9.0	low	10%	40%
Chance Gray	bench	12.6	4.0	1.3	1.5	0.2	0.0	0.9	0.9	6.8	8.4	low	0%	20%
Monique Akoa Makani	rotation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	low	0%	0%
Cameron Brink	rotation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	n/a	0%	0%
Tonie Morgan	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	low	0%	0%
Kate Martin	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Alissa Pili	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Angel Reese	star	30.1	16.8	13.1	2.2	1.8	0.9	2.9	0.3	32.1	42.1	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Angel Reese — 30.11 MIN · 16.77 PTS · 42.12 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.59	14.40	16.90	23.00	16.25	16.77
REB	12.00	14.20	12.60	13.00	12.72	13.08
AST	2.41	2.20	2.20	2.00	2.28	2.24
FG3M	0.19	0.20	0.40	1.00	0.29	0.31
FTM	4.59	3.00	4.70	8.00	4.57	4.70
STL	1.69	1.20	1.90	3.00	1.85	1.84
BLK	0.78	1.60	1.00	0.00	0.88	0.87
TOV	3.19	1.80	2.60	3.00	2.83	2.87
MIN	30.61	29.97	30.69	32.63	30.67	30.11

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.018
Minute scale: 0.982
Def adj (PTS): 1.043
Opp DefRtg: 112.60 vs league 107.90
Injury status: Available

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Rhyne Howard — 32.50 MIN · 17.98 PTS · 36.95 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.78	22.40	16.20	11.00	17.63	17.98
REB	3.88	3.80	4.10	5.00	4.07	4.14
AST	3.63	4.40	4.60	3.00	4.21	4.09
FG3M	3.31	4.60	3.30

Nneka Ogwumike — 31.20 MIN · 16.83 PTS · 35.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.91	14.00	16.10	19.00	16.22	16.83
REB	8.84	8.20	9.00	5.00	8.61	9.02
AST	3.09	3.60	3.70	5.00	3.54	3.57
FG3M	1.44	0.80	1.30

Dearica Hamby — 31.39 MIN · 17.73 PTS · 34.43 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.27	17.00	17.20	12.00	16.17	17.73
REB	7.33	6.80	6.70	5.00	6.63	7.33
AST	2.48	2.40	3.00	2.00	2.68	2.85
FG3M	0.27	0.40	0.20

Jordin Canada — 33.08 MIN · 13.00 PTS · 32.70 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.45	12.40	11.90	16.00	11.97	13.00
REB	3.70	3.60	3.40	3.00	3.58	3.88
AST	7.48	6.20	7.90	9.00	7.65	7.92
FG3M	0.82	1.40	0.90

Allisha Gray — 31.06 MIN · 20.55 PTS · 31.67 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	19.24	19.40	20.50	20.00	20.27	20.55
REB	3.12	3.20	2.90	1.00	3.01	3.04
AST	2.36	3.00	2.60	2.00	2.60	2.52
FG3M	1.70	2.00	2.00

Rae Burrell — 35.01 MIN · 18.47 PTS · 30.09 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.94	17.20	16.00	18.00	15.69	18.47
REB	2.36	2.60	2.40	4.00	2.46	2.92
AST	2.45	3.40	3.40	4.00	2.94	3.36
FG3M	1.61	2.20	2.10

Erica Wheeler — 28.56 MIN · 11.74 PTS · 25.96 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.33	10.80	11.10	20.00	10.54	11.74
REB	2.03	3.00	2.50	3.00	2.32	2.52
AST	5.42	5.80	6.40	4.00	5.83	6.15
FG3M	1.24	1.60	1.50

Ariel Atkins — 29.31 MIN · 9.89 PTS · 24.05 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	6.40	9.30	13.00	8.88	9.89
REB	2.97	3.00	3.30	3.00	3.14	3.40
AST	2.94	3.40	3.70	2.00	3.27	3.45
FG3M	1.32	1.40	1.80

Naz Hillmon — 25.41 MIN · 9.34 PTS · 18.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.13	8.20	10.00	10.00	9.52	9.34
REB	4.41	4.40	3.50	5.00	4.12	4.03
AST	1.53	2.00	1.70	2.00	1.74	1.62
FG3M	1.13	1.20	1.40

Madina Okot — 8.98 MIN · 6.39 PTS · 12.07 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.50	1.60	5.20	9.00	5.23	6.39
REB	3.47	2.20	3.10	6.00	3.29	3.80
AST	0.19	0.00	0.10	1.00	0.18	0.23
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Emma Cannon — 9.47 MIN · 6.39 PTS · 10.13 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	3.20	4.50	5.00	4.03	6.39
REB	0.92	1.00	1.10	1.00	0.94	1.43
AST	0.42	0.00	0.50	0.00	0.41	0.92
FG3M	0.75	0.40	0.80

Jihyun Park — 13.58 MIN · 4.74 PTS · 9.35 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.54	3.00	3.50	0.00	2.87	4.74
REB	1.04	0.40	0.60	3.00	0.92	1.46
AST	0.54	0.40	0.70	0.00	0.59	1.00
FG3M	0.32	0.80	0.60

Kiana Williams — 13.12 MIN · 4.42 PTS · 9.01 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.81	2.60	2.80	4.00	3.35	4.42
REB	0.43	0.60	0.40	0.50	0.45	0.56
AST	1.19	1.00	1.90	1.00	1.41	1.84
FG3M	0.76	0.60	0.50

Isobel Borlase — 12.09 MIN · 4.94 PTS · 8.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.45	1.80	5.00	10.00	4.67	4.94
REB	1.45	1.60	1.60	1.00	1.53	1.52
AST	0.91	0.80	0.80	1.00	0.85	1.02
FG3M	0.45	0.40	0.50

Chance Gray — 12.57 MIN · 4.04 PTS · 8.37 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.87	2.40	3.60	0.00	3.15	4.04
REB	1.20	1.60	1.00	0.00	1.09	1.34
AST	0.97	1.60	1.50	0.00	1.14	1.47
FG3M	0.63	0.60	1.00

Te-Hina Paopao — 9.07 MIN · 3.03 PTS · 7.10 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.88	1.00	2.40	2.00	3.22	3.03
REB	0.92	0.20	0.20	0.00	0.65	0.58
AST	1.58	1.00	1.50	2.00	1.55	1.66
FG3M	0.92	0.20	0.60

Sika Kone — 9.67 MIN · 3.01 PTS · 6.41 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.71	0.00	1.50	0.00	1.51	3.01
REB	1.11	0.40	1.00	1.00	1.02	1.92
AST	0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.14	0.44
FG3M	0.14	0.00	0.20

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

LAS

ATL

Best value plays

LAS

ATL

Per-player detail