WNBA Predictions

Injury impact on predictions19 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
MIN	Natasha Howard	Teammates out: +5.3 min, 13% usage boost	5.3	1.1	13.0	13.2	+2.2%	7.1	7.1	+0.7%	3.6	3.9	+8.1%	31.3	32.4	+3.4%
MIN	Dorka Juhasz	Teammates out: +3.3 min, 8% usage boost	3.3	1.1	3.5	3.6	+0.3%	2.2	2.2	-1.3%	1.4	1.6	+11.0%	10.6	11.0	+3.6%
MIN	Nia Coffey	Teammates out: +3.0 min, 7% usage boost	3.0	1.1	5.0	5.1	+1.2%	3.5	3.5	0.0%	1.3	1.3	+3.1%	14.2	14.4	+0.9%
MIN	Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	Teammates out: +2.3 min, 5% usage boost	2.3	1.1	3.9	3.9	-0.5%	2.0	1.9	-2.0%	0.7	0.8	+10.1%	9.0	9.2	+1.9%
MIN	Kayla McBride	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 4% usage boost	1.8	1.0	20.2	20.3	+0.2%	2.6	2.6	+1.1%	1.9	1.8	-3.7%	31.6	31.4	-0.7%
MIN	Olivia Miles	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 4% usage boost	1.6	1.0	19.7	19.6	-0.6%	4.3	4.3	+0.5%	6.6	6.3	-4.1%	37.5	36.8	-1.8%
MIN	Courtney Williams	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 4% usage boost	1.6	1.0	13.0	12.9	-0.5%	4.4	4.5	+0.7%	4.3	4.2	-3.9%	27.6	27.1	-1.6%
MIN	Maya Caldwell	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 2% usage boost	0.7	1.0	3.3	3.2	-3.0%	2.1	2.1	-1.9%	0.9	0.8	-3.4%	8.6	8.4	-3.2%
MIN	Antonia Delaere	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 2% usage boost	0.7	1.0	3.2	3.1	-1.9%	0.8	0.8	-1.3%	1.1	1.0	-2.9%	6.6	6.5	-2.1%
MIN	Eliska Joklova	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 2% usage boost	0.7	1.0	2.4	2.4	-0.8%	1.3	1.3	-1.6%	0.9	0.9	+2.2%	5.8	5.8	-0.2%
PHX	DeWanna Bonner	Teammates out: +7.8 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	7.8	1.1	13.3	13.9	+4.3%	7.6	7.7	+1.7%	2.0	2.4	+16.1%	31.1	32.9	+5.7%
PHX	Noemie Brochant	Teammates out: +7.8 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	7.8	1.1	7.3	7.6	+4.3%	1.8	1.8	+1.7%	1.8	2.1	+22.3%	14.9	16.2	+9.1%
PHX	Valeriane Ayayi	Teammates out: +3.6 min, 3% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.6	1.0	9.1	9.4	+3.3%	3.9	3.9	+0.8%	1.9	2.1	+10.3%	18.6	19.4	+4.1%
PHX	Marta Suarez	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.1	1.0	3.8	3.9	+2.4%	1.2	1.2	0.0%	0.5	0.6	+11.1%	6.5	6.7	+3.4%
PHX	Lexi Held	Teammates out: +2.0 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.0	1.0	5.3	5.5	+3.2%	1.2	1.3	+0.8%	1.7	1.8	+2.3%	10.1	10.3	+2.5%
PHX	Sami Whitcomb	Teammates out: +1.7 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.7	1.0	4.8	4.9	+2.3%	1.7	1.7	0.0%	1.8	1.8	+1.1%	11.2	11.3	+0.8%
PHX	Kyara Linskens	Teammates out: +0.8 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.8	1.0	3.4	3.5	+2.4%	2.9	2.9	0.0%	0.8	0.8	-2.5%	11.1	10.9	-1.5%
PHX	Alyssa Thomas	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	15.4	14.8	-4.3%	8.0	7.9	-1.8%	8.6	7.8	-9.4%	40.2	37.6	-6.4%
PHX	Kahleah Copper	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	22.1	21.1	-4.3%	3.1	3.1	-1.6%	2.3	2.1	-9.4%	30.9	29.2	-5.4%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Alyssa Thomas	star	34.5	14.8	7.9	7.8	1.1	0.5	3.7	0.0	30.5	37.6	high	10%	30%
DeWanna Bonner	starter	30.3	13.9	7.7	2.4	1.6	1.1	0.8	1.5	24.0	32.9	medium	20%	10%
Kahleah Copper	star	34.1	21.1	3.1	2.1	0.8	0.1	3.0	1.8	26.3	29.2	high	10%	30%
Valeriane Ayayi	rotation	24.8	9.4	3.9	2.1	1.0	0.3	2.2	0.9	15.4	19.4	low	0%	40%
Noemie Brochant	rotation	23.9	7.6	1.8	2.1	1.3	0.2	1.0	1.3	11.6	16.2	low	10%	0%
Sami Whitcomb	bench	15.4	4.9	1.7	1.8	0.6	0.0	0.8	1.3	8.5	11.3	low	20%	20%
Kyara Linskens	bench	11.7	3.5	2.9	0.8	0.6	0.8	0.6	0.5	7.1	10.9	low	10%	40%
Lexi Held	rotation	17.6	5.5	1.3	1.8	0.3	0.1	1.0	0.7	8.5	10.3	low	10%	70%
Marta Suarez	bench	9.3	3.9	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.7	0.3	5.7	6.7	low	10%	30%
Kelsey Plum	star	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.3	0.2	0.0	0.3	medium	0%	0%
Jovana Nogic	rotation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.2	0.0	0.2	high	0%	0%
Natasha Mack	starter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%
Shay Ciezki	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Olivia Miles	star	29.0	19.6	4.3	6.3	1.0	0.5	2.8	1.9	30.2	36.8	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Alyssa Thomas — 34.49 MIN · 14.78 PTS · 37.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.82	14.40	15.70	11.67	14.72	14.78
REB	7.36	9.00	8.50	5.00	7.72	7.86
AST	8.21	7.80	8.60	8.33	8.29	7.83
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
FTM	3.61	4.40	4.50	4.33	4.07	4.06
STL	1.39	1.20	1.20	1.00	1.25	1.11
BLK	0.48	0.60	0.70	0.00	0.52	0.46
TOV	3.61	4.00	3.50	3.67	3.67	3.74
MIN	33.99	34.89	35.38	32.15	34.39	34.49

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.002
Minute scale: 1.003
Def adj (PTS): 0.956
Opp DefRtg: 103.20 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Olivia Miles — 28.96 MIN · 19.55 PTS · 36.83 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	19.79	22.00	20.90	21.67	20.50	19.55
REB	4.67	4.40	4.60	4.33	4.54	4.33
AST	6.09	7.60	7.00	8.33	6.93	6.33
FG3M	1.61	3.00	2.20

DeWanna Bonner — 30.29 MIN · 13.87 PTS · 32.87 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.23	10.40	13.20	11.67	11.67	13.87
REB	6.00	7.40	7.70	5.67	6.76	7.74
AST	1.54	2.00	2.10	1.67	1.81	2.38
FG3M	1.14	1.40	1.30

Natasha Howard — 25.45 MIN · 13.25 PTS · 32.42 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.17	12.80	11.90	12.67	13.27	13.25
REB	7.74	6.80	7.20	6.00	7.34	7.13
AST	3.31	4.20	3.80	4.00	3.71	3.89
FG3M	0.09	0.20	0.10

Kayla McBride — 30.80 MIN · 20.27 PTS · 31.39 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.37	20.40	21.00	19.33	20.04	20.27
REB	3.20	1.80	1.80	2.67	2.62	2.64
AST	2.11	1.00	1.40	3.00	1.91	1.84
FG3M	2.94	4.40	4.20

Kahleah Copper — 34.09 MIN · 21.15 PTS · 29.20 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.56	18.80	20.60	24.67	20.55	21.15
REB	3.50	2.40	2.70	2.00	2.93	3.07
AST	1.94	2.80	2.60	1.33	2.19	2.12
FG3M	1.71	1.80	1.50

Courtney Williams — 28.34 MIN · 12.94 PTS · 27.12 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.66	13.00	12.20	16.33	13.35	12.94
REB	5.17	4.60	4.10	5.00	4.59	4.45
AST	4.26	4.60	4.80	3.33	4.49	4.18
FG3M	1.20	1.00	0.90

Valeriane Ayayi — 24.77 MIN · 9.40 PTS · 19.42 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.66	4.40	5.80	3.33	5.75	9.40
REB	2.83	2.00	2.30	2.00	2.48	3.91
AST	1.24	0.60	0.90	2.67	1.24	2.14
FG3M	0.62	0.60	0.50

Noemie Brochant — 23.85 MIN · 7.59 PTS · 16.22 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.06	10.40	7.30	4.33	6.61	7.59
REB	2.06	1.60	1.30	1.33	1.67	1.84
AST	1.76	2.00	1.50	1.00	1.60	2.14
FG3M	1.03	1.40	1.00

Nia Coffey — 16.84 MIN · 5.09 PTS · 14.38 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.60	2.60	3.50	8.67	5.64	5.09
REB	4.63	2.60	2.30	6.33	3.96	3.48
AST	1.91	0.40	1.00	0.67	1.46	1.33
FG3M	1.23	0.20	0.50

Sami Whitcomb — 15.42 MIN · 4.94 PTS · 11.27 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.25	4.80	4.90	9.00	4.55	4.94
REB	1.75	1.60	1.40	1.00	1.64	1.72
AST	1.67	2.00	1.60	2.00	1.69	1.80
FG3M	1.08	1.40	1.30

Dorka Juhasz — 12.83 MIN · 3.56 PTS · 10.97 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	1.40	3.70	0.00	3.81	3.56
REB	2.62	0.80	2.10	0.00	2.43	2.21
AST	1.62	0.80	1.60	0.00	1.57	1.61
FG3M	0.85	0.20	0.60

Kyara Linskens — 11.72 MIN · 3.47 PTS · 10.88 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.06	1.40	2.40	7.50	3.02	3.47
REB	2.44	2.60	2.50	3.50	2.62	2.90
AST	0.67	1.40	0.70	0.50	0.71	0.77
FG3M	0.39	0.20	0.30

Lexi Held — 17.57 MIN · 5.45 PTS · 10.35 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.67	2.20	2.60	4.00	3.77	5.45
REB	1.18	1.00	0.70	0.33	0.90	1.26
AST	1.33	0.40	1.00	2.00	1.24	1.76
FG3M	0.70	0.20	0.20

Anastasiia Olairi Kosu — 9.76 MIN · 3.85 PTS · 9.21 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	4.00	3.70	4.67	3.94	3.85
REB	2.19	2.00	1.70	2.67	2.01	1.92
AST	0.70	0.40	0.80	0.67	0.71	0.76
FG3M	0.07	0.20	0.10

Maya Caldwell — 11.69 MIN · 3.20 PTS · 8.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.14	2.60	3.90	1.67	3.61	3.20
REB	2.23	2.40	2.70	1.67	2.36	2.09
AST	1.09	1.00	1.00	0.33	0.95	0.84
FG3M	0.71	0.40	0.60

Marta Suarez — 9.35 MIN · 3.91 PTS · 6.70 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.38	2.40	3.80	2.00	3.38	3.91
REB	1.15	0.60	1.10	1.00	1.10	1.23
AST	0.46	1.00	0.50	0.00	0.48	0.60
FG3M	0.31	0.00	0.20

Antonia Delaere — 10.39 MIN · 3.14 PTS · 6.47 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.06	0.40	2.60	7.00	3.16	3.14
REB	0.74	0.40	0.90	0.67	0.78	0.77
AST	1.11	0.20	0.60	2.33	1.05	1.02
FG3M	0.71	0.00	0.60

Eliska Joklova — 5.93 MIN · 2.42 PTS · 5.79 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.00	2.20	1.90	5.00	2.09	2.42
REB	1.17	1.60	1.00	1.00	1.11	1.26
AST	1.06	0.80	0.50	0.00	0.79	0.94
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

PHX

MIN

Best value plays

PHX

MIN

Per-player detail