Predictions

Sun, Jul 19, 2026

2 days behind — through Aug 13

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Matchup

Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Chicago SkyAway

88.2

12-2212thL10 4-6

Atlanta DreamHome

92.9

21-124thL10 8-2

Total

181.1

📺 CBS, Paramount+

Game lines unavailable: No event for CHI @ ATL

Injury report

5 Out applied to these projections.

CHI

Injury impact on predictions19 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
ATL	Isobel Borlase	Teammates out: +3.9 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.9	1.0	5.0	5.3	+5.6%	1.7	1.7	+1.2%	0.9	1.1	+24.1%	8.8	9.6	+9.1%
ATL	Sika Kone	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.2	1.0	2.9	3.1	+5.9%	1.9	1.9	+1.1%	0.3	0.3	+15.4%	5.8	6.1	+5.5%
ATL	Brionna Jones	Teammates out: +0.9 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.9	1.0	8.1	8.4	+4.1%	5.5	5.6	+1.8%	2.0	2.0	0.0%	19.4	19.9	+2.8%
ATL	Madina Okot	Teammates out: +0.4 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.4	1.0	5.9	6.0	+3.1%	3.6	3.6	+1.1%	0.2	0.2	0.0%	10.9	11.2	+2.3%
ATL	Angel Reese	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	16.3	16.1	-1.3%	13.0	12.9	-0.6%	2.3	2.2	-5.1%	41.7	41.1	-1.4%
ATL	Rhyne Howard	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.1	16.8	-1.3%	3.9	3.9	-0.8%	4.1	3.9	-5.1%	35.6	34.9	-1.9%
ATL	Jordin Canada	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	12.6	12.4	-1.3%	3.7	3.7	-0.5%	7.9	7.5	-5.1%	31.9	31.0	-2.7%
ATL	Allisha Gray	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	20.0	19.7	-1.3%	3.1	3.1	-0.6%	2.5	2.4	-4.8%	31.0	30.5	-1.6%
ATL	Naz Hillmon	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	9.4	9.3	-1.3%	4.0	4.0	-0.8%	1.6	1.5	-4.9%	18.5	18.2	-1.6%
CHI	Sydney Taylor	Teammates out: +7.3 min, 11% usage boost	7.3	1.1	19.9	20.2	+1.9%	2.1	2.2	+0.9%	2.3	2.5	+10.1%	28.7	29.7	+3.4%
CHI	Courtney Vandersloot	Teammates out: +7.3 min, 11% usage boost	7.3	1.1	9.8	10.0	+1.8%	3.0	3.0	+1.0%	5.3	5.8	+10.3%	24.1	25.5	+5.9%
CHI	Jacy Sheldon	Teammates out: +7.3 min, 11% usage boost	7.3	1.1	6.7	6.8	+1.8%	1.2	1.2	+0.9%	1.5	1.6	+9.5%	12.7	13.3	+4.5%
CHI	Gabriela Jaquez	Teammates out: +7.3 min, 11% usage boost	7.3	1.1	4.8	4.9	+1.9%	2.2	2.3	+1.3%	0.7	0.7	+10.6%	9.5	9.8	+3.7%
CHI	Natasha Cloud	Teammates out: +5.2 min, 8% usage boost	5.2	1.1	12.2	12.7	+3.6%	3.4	3.5	+2.9%	6.3	6.0	-4.0%	28.6	28.7	+0.3%
CHI	Aicha Coulibaly	Teammates out: +4.2 min, 6% usage boost	4.2	1.1	5.4	5.4	+0.9%	2.3	2.3	0.0%	0.6	0.7	+6.6%	11.0	11.2	+2.1%
CHI	Rachel Banham	Teammates out: +4.2 min, 6% usage boost	4.2	1.1	4.7	4.7	+1.1%	1.0	1.0	0.0%	1.2	1.3	+7.7%	8.9	9.2	+3.2%
CHI	Azura Stevens	Teammates out: +2.2 min, 3% usage boost	2.2	1.0	13.3	13.3	+0.1%	8.2	8.4	+1.9%	2.5	2.2	-11.3%	30.2	29.6	-1.9%
CHI	Elizabeth Williams	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 2% usage boost	1.4	1.0	5.2	5.1	-1.7%	2.9	3.0	+1.0%	1.4	1.2	-11.8%	12.5	12.0	-3.9%
CHI	Kamilla Cardoso	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 1% usage boost	0.7	1.0	15.7	14.5	-7.8%	8.5	8.1	-4.5%	2.5	2.0	-16.7%	33.3	30.4	-8.6%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Kamilla Cardoso	starter	25.6	14.5	8.1	2.0	0.6	1.2	1.8	0.0	24.6	30.4	high	10%	20%
Sydney Taylor	rotation	25.7	20.2	2.2	2.5	0.9	0.3	1.6	2.9	24.9	29.7	medium	20%	0%
Azura Stevens	starter	28.6	13.3	8.4	2.2	0.9	0.6	2.3	1.1	23.9	29.6	medium	20%	20%
Natasha Cloud	starter	31.3	12.7	3.5	6.0	1.2	0.3	2.1	1.1	22.2	28.7	high	10%	20%
Courtney Vandersloot	rotation	21.7	10.0	3.0	5.8	1.3	0.5	2.2	1.0	18.9	25.5	medium	20%	10%
Jacy Sheldon	rotation	19.7	6.8	1.2	1.6	0.9	0.3	0.8	1.0	9.6	13.3	low	20%	20%
Elizabeth Williams	rotation	15.5	5.1	3.0	1.2	0.4	0.5	1.1	0.0	9.2	12.0	low	20%	20%
Aicha Coulibaly	bench	13.3	5.4	2.3	0.7	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.1	8.4	11.2	low	10%	0%
Gabriela Jaquez	rotation	14.0	4.9	2.3	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.9	0.4	7.9	9.8	medium	10%	30%
Rachel Banham	bench	10.0	4.7	1.0	1.3	0.3	0.3	0.6	1.1	7.0	9.2	low	20%	0%
Skylar Diggins	starter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2	n/a	0%	0%
DiJonai Carrington	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Maddy Westbeld	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Angel Reese	star	29.8	16.1	12.9	2.2	1.8	0.9	3.0	0.3	31.3	41.1	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Angel Reese — 29.76 MIN · 16.10 PTS · 41.13 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.59	14.40	16.90	12.50	15.66	16.10
REB	12.00	14.20	12.60	11.00	12.67	12.95
AST	2.41	2.20	2.20	2.50	2.26	2.22
FG3M	0.19	0.20	0.40	0.50	0.28	0.29
FTM	4.59	3.00	4.70	4.00	4.49	4.59
STL	1.69	1.20	1.90	1.50	1.77	1.79
BLK	0.78	1.60	1.00	0.50	0.89	0.88
TOV	3.19	1.80	2.60	4.50	2.93	2.95
MIN	30.61	29.97	30.69	27.56	30.40	29.76

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.018
Minute scale: 0.979
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Rhyne Howard — 30.77 MIN · 16.83 PTS · 34.88 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.78	22.40	16.20	14.00	17.50	16.83
REB	3.88	3.80	4.10	4.50	4.09	3.91
AST	3.63	4.40	4.60	5.50	4.27	3.92
FG3M	3.31	4.60	3.30

Jordin Canada — 32.12 MIN · 12.39 PTS · 31.03 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.45	12.40	11.90	12.00	11.77	12.39
REB	3.70	3.60	3.40	2.00	3.52	3.69
AST	7.48	6.20	7.90	7.50	7.46	7.50
FG3M	0.82	1.40	0.90

Allisha Gray — 30.00 MIN · 19.71 PTS · 30.46 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	19.24	19.40	20.50	21.50	20.24	19.71
REB	3.12	3.20	2.90	5.00	3.23	3.13
AST	2.36	3.00	2.60	2.00	2.54	2.36
FG3M	1.70	2.00	2.00

Kamilla Cardoso — 25.59 MIN · 14.49 PTS · 30.43 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.55	16.00	15.20	14.00	14.98	14.49
REB	8.61	9.60	8.60	3.00	8.18	8.09
AST	2.45	2.20	2.40	3.50	2.37	2.05
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Sydney Taylor — 25.72 MIN · 20.23 PTS · 29.69 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	21.20	19.30	9.00	16.42	20.23
REB	1.57	2.40	2.10	1.50	1.79	2.16
AST	1.68	3.20	2.30	1.00	1.89	2.50
FG3M	2.11	3.40	2.90

Azura Stevens — 28.57 MIN · 13.35 PTS · 29.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.04	9.60	11.70	14.00	11.21	13.35
REB	6.68	6.40	7.70	8.00	7.02	8.41
AST	2.32	1.40	2.30	0.50	2.10	2.19
FG3M	0.92	0.60	1.10

Natasha Cloud — 31.31 MIN · 12.65 PTS · 28.68 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.24	12.20	11.40	12.50	10.98	12.65
REB	3.21	3.60	3.00	4.00	3.11	3.51
AST	5.03	7.40	6.60	4.00	5.71	6.05
FG3M	1.03	0.80	1.10

Courtney Vandersloot — 21.68 MIN · 10.03 PTS · 25.51 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.88	9.60	9.50	11.00	9.16	10.03
REB	2.76	3.00	3.00	1.00	2.81	3.02
AST	4.82	5.60	5.00	6.00	4.93	5.80
FG3M	0.88	1.40	1.00

Brionna Jones — 15.76 MIN · 8.44 PTS · 19.94 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.22	7.40	8.22	6.00	8.12	8.44
REB	5.56	4.40	5.56	10.00	5.57	5.59
AST	2.00	2.40	2.00	1.00	1.98	1.96
FG3M	0.11	0.20	0.11

Naz Hillmon — 25.67 MIN · 9.26 PTS · 18.16 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.13	8.20	10.00	10.50	9.52	9.26
REB	4.41	4.40	3.50	4.00	4.11	3.97
AST	1.53	2.00	1.70	1.00	1.65	1.54
FG3M	1.13	1.20	1.40

Jacy Sheldon — 19.66 MIN · 6.80 PTS · 13.26 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.85	8.60	7.20	4.00	6.91	6.80
REB	1.29	1.00	1.30	1.00	1.23	1.18
AST	1.65	1.60	1.40	2.50	1.54	1.62
FG3M	0.91	1.60	1.00

Elizabeth Williams — 15.47 MIN · 5.07 PTS · 11.99 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.24	4.20	5.60	9.50	5.38	5.07
REB	3.68	3.00	2.80	2.50	3.09	2.95
AST	1.50	2.00	1.30	1.00	1.44	1.20
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Aicha Coulibaly — 13.27 MIN · 5.43 PTS · 11.22 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.09	7.20	5.50	2.00	5.36	5.43
REB	2.57	2.00	2.30	1.00	2.32	2.30
AST	0.61	1.00	0.60	0.00	0.61	0.65
FG3M	0.04	0.20	0.10

Madina Okot — 8.69 MIN · 6.05 PTS · 11.20 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.50	1.60	5.20	7.00	5.19	6.05
REB	3.47	2.20	3.10	3.00	3.20	3.61
AST	0.19	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.14	0.16
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Gabriela Jaquez — 13.97 MIN · 4.90 PTS · 9.83 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.07	3.00	3.60	2.50	5.39	4.90
REB	3.10	1.00	1.70	3.50	2.53	2.26
AST	0.93	0.60	0.70	0.00	0.74	0.73
FG3M	0.53	0.40	0.50

Isobel Borlase — 13.02 MIN · 5.27 PTS · 9.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.45	1.80	5.00	6.00	4.55	5.27
REB	1.45	1.60	1.60	1.50	1.55	1.70
AST	0.91	0.80	0.80	0.50	0.80	1.08
FG3M	0.45	0.40	0.50

Rachel Banham — 9.99 MIN · 4.70 PTS · 9.16 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.70	8.80	5.50	2.50	5.10	4.70
REB	1.10	2.00	1.30	0.00	1.15	1.03
AST	1.13	1.40	1.60	0.50	1.29	1.26
FG3M	1.07	2.00	1.20

Sika Kone — 9.64 MIN · 3.07 PTS · 6.13 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.71	0.00	1.50	0.00	1.50	3.07
REB	1.11	0.40	1.00	0.00	0.99	1.91
AST	0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.14	0.30
FG3M	0.14	0.00	0.20

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

CHI

ATL

Best value plays

CHI

ATL

Per-player detail