Predictions

Sat, Aug 1, 2026

3 days behind — through Aug 13

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Matchup

Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Las Vegas AcesAway

92.4

24-113rdL10 6-4

Chicago SkyHome

89.4

12-2212thL10 4-6

Total

181.8

📺 CBS, Paramount+

Game lines unavailable: No event for LVA @ CHI

Injury report

4 Out applied to these projections.

LVA

Injury impact on predictions18 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
CHI	Sydney Taylor	Teammates out: +5.9 min, 8% usage boost	5.9	1.1	26.2	26.1	-0.4%	2.8	2.8	-0.4%	2.9	3.0	+3.9%	37.8	37.9	+0.3%
CHI	Courtney Vandersloot	Teammates out: +5.9 min, 8% usage boost	5.9	1.1	11.9	11.9	-0.3%	4.1	4.0	-0.2%	6.5	6.8	+4.3%	30.1	30.6	+1.7%
CHI	Jacy Sheldon	Teammates out: +5.9 min, 8% usage boost	5.9	1.1	8.1	8.1	-0.4%	1.4	1.4	-0.7%	1.7	1.8	+3.6%	15.1	15.2	+0.6%
CHI	Gabriela Jaquez	Teammates out: +5.9 min, 8% usage boost	5.9	1.1	5.4	5.4	-0.4%	2.5	2.5	-0.4%	0.8	0.9	+4.7%	11.0	11.1	+1.0%
CHI	Natasha Cloud	Teammates out: +5.2 min, 7% usage boost	5.2	1.1	14.7	14.9	+1.4%	4.0	4.1	+1.5%	7.6	7.3	-4.3%	34.1	33.7	-1.2%
CHI	Aicha Coulibaly	Teammates out: +5.0 min, 7% usage boost	5.0	1.1	6.5	6.4	-1.2%	2.9	2.9	-1.4%	0.7	0.8	+10.1%	13.2	13.4	+1.4%
CHI	Kamilla Cardoso	Teammates out: +4.0 min, 5% usage boost	4.0	1.1	18.3	18.4	+0.5%	10.5	10.6	+0.4%	2.8	2.6	-6.9%	40.5	40.0	-1.1%
CHI	Elizabeth Williams	Teammates out: +3.6 min, 5% usage boost	3.6	1.0	7.2	7.1	-0.3%	4.3	4.2	-0.5%	1.9	1.9	-2.1%	17.7	17.5	-1.0%
LVA	Brianna Turner	Teammates out: +2.6 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.6	1.0	2.9	3.1	+5.8%	3.0	3.1	+1.0%	0.4	0.4	+13.2%	9.3	10.0	+6.9%
LVA	Kierstan Bell	Teammates out: +2.6 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.6	1.0	2.5	2.7	+5.9%	1.7	1.7	+1.2%	0.5	0.6	+16.7%	6.9	7.4	+7.9%
LVA	Stephanie Talbot	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.1	1.0	2.4	2.6	+6.7%	1.6	1.6	+1.9%	0.5	0.6	+7.4%	6.5	6.9	+6.0%
LVA	Justine Pissott	Teammates out: +0.8 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.8	1.0	6.0	6.3	+5.3%	1.4	1.4	+0.7%	0.7	0.7	+1.5%	10.3	10.7	+3.7%
LVA	Dana Evans	Teammates out: +0.6 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.6	1.0	3.3	3.4	+2.4%	1.8	1.8	+2.2%	2.0	1.9	-1.5%	8.9	9.0	+1.0%
LVA	A'ja Wilson	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	25.8	25.5	-1.1%	9.7	9.7	-0.5%	3.2	3.1	-5.0%	49.1	48.1	-1.9%
LVA	Jackie Young	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	21.4	21.2	-1.2%	4.8	4.8	-0.6%	6.3	6.0	-5.1%	39.0	38.1	-2.2%
LVA	Chelsea Gray	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	11.8	11.7	-1.2%	2.8	2.8	-0.7%	6.3	6.0	-4.9%	27.1	26.4	-2.8%
LVA	NaLyssa Smith	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	10.6	10.4	-1.1%	5.8	5.8	-0.5%	0.9	0.9	-5.3%	21.2	20.9	-1.6%
LVA	Jewell Loyd	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	7.4	7.3	-1.1%	2.1	2.1	-0.5%	1.5	1.4	-4.8%	14.8	14.5	-2.0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
A'ja Wilson	star	30.9	25.5	9.7	3.1	1.3	2.1	2.6	1.0	38.3	48.1	high	20%	20%
Jackie Young	star	30.9	21.2	4.8	6.0	0.7	0.2	2.5	2.5	32.0	38.1	high	30%	0%
Chelsea Gray	star	31.5	11.7	2.8	6.0	1.1	0.2	2.5	1.5	20.4	26.4	medium	30%	20%
NaLyssa Smith	rotation	21.4	10.4	5.8	0.9	0.6	0.5	0.8	0.0	17.1	20.9	medium	30%	10%
Jewell Loyd	starter	23.5	7.3	2.1	1.4	0.9	0.1	0.9	1.5	10.8	14.5	medium	20%	20%
Justine Pissott	bench	11.9	6.3	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.8	8.4	10.7	medium	17%	0%
Brianna Turner	bench	18.9	3.1	3.1	0.4	0.5	1.0	0.9	0.0	6.6	10.0	low	10%	20%
Dana Evans	rotation	15.4	3.4	1.8	1.9	0.1	0.2	1.0	0.8	7.1	9.0	low	20%	0%
Kierstan Bell	bench	10.5	2.7	1.7	0.6	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.6	5.1	7.4	low	10%	0%
Stephanie Talbot	rotation	10.7	2.6	1.6	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.4	0.3	4.7	6.9	medium	20%	10%
Mai Yamamoto	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Ta'Niya Latson	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Kamilla Cardoso	starter	29.5	18.4	10.6	2.6	0.8	1.3	2.2	0.0	31.5	40.0	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

A'ja Wilson — 30.90 MIN · 25.51 PTS · 48.14 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	25.91	21.20	26.70	33.00	26.13	25.51
REB	9.69	9.20	9.50	13.50	9.99	9.69
AST	3.13	2.80	3.70	2.50	3.29	3.06
FG3M	1.00	0.80	1.20	1.00	1.04	1.02
FTM	6.59	5.20	7.10	11.00	7.06	6.95
STL	1.44	0.80	1.20	2.50	1.37	1.29
BLK	2.06	2.60	2.30	2.50	2.29	2.06
TOV	2.53	3.40	2.50	3.00	2.70	2.57
MIN	32.16	33.90	33.24	34.22	33.08	30.90

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.012
Minute scale: 0.934
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Kamilla Cardoso — 29.51 MIN · 18.38 PTS · 40.01 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.55	16.00	15.20	16.00	15.19	18.38
REB	8.61	9.60	8.60	10.00	8.85	10.56
AST	2.45	2.20	2.40	2.67	2.31	2.58
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Jackie Young — 30.86 MIN · 21.20 PTS · 38.12 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.74	26.00	25.00	20.67	21.91	21.20
REB	4.50	4.80	5.00	7.33	5.00	4.81
AST	6.65	6.60	6.80	6.00	6.52	6.01
FG3M	2.24	3.60	3.00

Sydney Taylor — 34.80 MIN · 26.11 PTS · 37.93 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	21.20	19.30	16.33	16.94	26.11
REB	1.57	2.40	2.10	2.00	1.85	2.81
AST	1.68	3.20	2.30	1.00	1.86	2.96
FG3M	2.11	3.40	2.90

Natasha Cloud — 38.15 MIN · 14.93 PTS · 33.67 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.24	12.20	11.40	10.67	10.89	14.93
REB	3.21	3.60	3.00	2.00	2.99	4.06
AST	5.03	7.40	6.60	4.33	5.67	7.29
FG3M	1.03	0.80	1.10

Courtney Vandersloot — 26.66 MIN · 11.91 PTS · 30.61 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.88	9.60	9.50	7.67	8.97	11.91
REB	2.76	3.00	3.00	4.67	3.09	4.05
AST	4.82	5.60	5.00	5.33	4.93	6.80
FG3M	0.88	1.40	1.00

Chelsea Gray — 31.47 MIN · 11.68 PTS · 26.39 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.29	10.60	12.40	13.67	12.05	11.68
REB	3.24	2.60	2.30	3.67	2.90	2.79
AST	7.00	5.80	6.00	7.67	6.45	5.97
FG3M	1.85	1.40	1.70

NaLyssa Smith — 21.44 MIN · 10.43 PTS · 20.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.82	10.40	11.60	17.33	12.04	10.43
REB	6.29	9.00	6.70	5.00	6.74	5.80
AST	0.94	1.80	1.20	1.00	1.08	0.89
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Elizabeth Williams — 21.73 MIN · 7.13 PTS · 17.50 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.24	4.20	5.60	7.33	5.32	7.13
REB	3.68	3.00	2.80	3.33	3.21	4.24
AST	1.50	2.00	1.30	1.33	1.45	1.90
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Jacy Sheldon — 23.29 MIN · 8.06 PTS · 15.17 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.85	8.60	7.20	4.67	6.90	8.06
REB	1.29	1.00	1.30	1.00	1.24	1.43
AST	1.65	1.60	1.40	1.33	1.45	1.75
FG3M	0.91	1.60	1.00

Jewell Loyd — 23.52 MIN · 7.28 PTS · 14.46 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.00	7.60	7.20	9.33	7.74	7.28
REB	2.30	2.00	2.20	2.67	2.22	2.08
AST	1.48	2.00	1.50	1.33	1.55	1.39
FG3M	1.70	1.00	1.50

Aicha Coulibaly — 16.66 MIN · 6.40 PTS · 13.42 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.09	7.20	5.50	3.33	5.28	6.40
REB	2.57	2.00	2.30	2.67	2.43	2.90
AST	0.61	1.00	0.60	0.00	0.57	0.76
FG3M	0.04	0.20	0.10

Gabriela Jaquez — 15.77 MIN · 5.42 PTS · 11.12 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.07	3.00	3.60	1.33	5.20	5.42
REB	3.10	1.00	1.70	1.67	2.43	2.50
AST	0.93	0.60	0.70	1.00	0.81	0.89
FG3M	0.53	0.40	0.50

Justine Pissott — 11.87 MIN · 6.35 PTS · 10.66 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.00	3.80	6.00	0.00	5.98	6.35
REB	1.33	1.20	1.33	0.00	1.36	1.36
AST	0.67	0.40	0.67	0.00	0.66	0.67
FG3M	1.67	1.00	1.67

Brianna Turner — 18.85 MIN · 3.09 PTS · 9.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.81	1.60	3.00	1.00	2.21	3.09
REB	2.25	2.20	2.50	1.50	2.32	3.06
AST	0.25	0.40	0.40	0.00	0.29	0.43
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Dana Evans — 15.42 MIN · 3.37 PTS · 9.02 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.40	3.00	3.40	0.00	3.34	3.37
REB	1.80	2.00	1.80	3.00	1.85	1.84
AST	2.00	2.00	2.00	2.00	2.01	1.93
FG3M	0.80	0.60	0.80

Kierstan Bell — 10.51 MIN · 2.69 PTS · 7.41 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.04	1.80	3.20	2.67	2.52	2.69
REB	1.61	2.00	1.80	1.33	1.74	1.74
AST	0.70	0.80	0.50	0.00	0.54	0.63
FG3M	0.43	0.40	0.70

Stephanie Talbot — 10.69 MIN · 2.56 PTS · 6.90 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.40	3.00	2.90	3.00	3.10	2.56
REB	2.54	1.40	1.00	2.67	2.06	1.60
AST	1.03	0.00	0.40	0.00	0.70	0.58
FG3M	0.46	0.40	0.40

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

LVA

CHI

Best value plays

LVA

CHI

Per-player detail