WNBA Predictions

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
ATL	Isobel Borlase	Teammates out: +3.1 min, 0% usage boost	3.1	1.0	4.7	5.0	+5.7%	1.7	1.7	+1.2%	0.9	1.1	+18.7%	8.6	9.3	+7.8%
ATL	Jaylyn Sherrod	Teammates out: +3.1 min, 0% usage boost	3.1	1.0	2.7	2.8	+6.0%	0.8	0.8	0.0%	1.1	1.5	+37.0%	6.7	8.1	+20.4%
ATL	Brionna Jones	Teammates out: +0.8 min, 0% usage boost	0.8	1.0	8.4	8.7	+3.6%	5.5	5.7	+1.8%	2.0	2.0	-0.5%	19.8	20.2	+2.2%
ATL	Madina Okot	Teammates out: +0.3 min, 0% usage boost	0.3	1.0	6.2	6.4	+2.2%	4.1	4.1	+1.0%	0.2	0.2	0.0%	12.1	12.3	+1.6%
LVA	Brianna Turner	Teammates out: +2.6 min, 0% usage boost	2.6	1.0	3.2	3.4	+6.0%	3.1	3.2	+1.0%	0.4	0.5	+15.0%	9.9	10.6	+7.5%
LVA	Stephanie Talbot	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 0% usage boost	2.1	1.0	2.3	2.4	+7.1%	1.5	1.5	+2.0%	0.6	0.7	+6.3%	6.3	6.7	+6.2%
LVA	Justine Pissott	Teammates out: +0.8 min, 0% usage boost	0.8	1.0	6.2	6.5	+5.5%	1.4	1.4	+0.7%	0.7	0.7	+1.5%	10.5	10.9	+4.0%
LVA	Dana Evans	Teammates out: +0.6 min, 0% usage boost	0.6	1.0	3.4	3.5	+2.6%	1.8	1.8	+2.3%	2.0	2.0	-1.5%	9.1	9.2	+1.2%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
A'ja Wilson	star	32.4	25.9	9.4	3.2	1.2	2.2	2.7	1.1	38.5	48.3	high	20%	20%
Jackie Young	star	32.1	21.6	4.9	6.4	0.7	0.3	2.5	2.6	32.9	39.4	high	30%	0%
Chelsea Gray	star	33.0	12.6	2.9	6.1	1.3	0.3	2.6	1.8	21.6	28.1	medium	10%	20%
NaLyssa Smith	rotation	24.1	11.3	6.4	1.0	0.6	0.6	0.9	0.0	18.7	22.7	medium	30%	20%
Jewell Loyd	starter	23.7	7.2	2.1	1.4	0.9	0.1	0.9	1.5	10.7	14.3	medium	20%	20%
Justine Pissott	bench	12.2	6.5	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.8	8.6	10.9	medium	17%	0%
Brianna Turner	bench	20.3	3.4	3.2	0.5	0.6	1.0	1.0	0.0	7.0	10.6	low	10%	20%
Dana Evans	rotation	15.9	3.5	1.8	2.0	0.1	0.2	1.1	0.8	7.3	9.2	low	20%	0%
Stephanie Talbot	rotation	10.2	2.4	1.5	0.7	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.3	4.6	6.7	medium	20%	10%
Mai Yamamoto	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%
Ta'Niya Latson	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Kierstan Bell	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Angel Reese	star	29.7	16.1	12.7	2.2	1.6	0.9	2.9	0.3	30.9	40.2	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

A'ja Wilson — 32.43 MIN · 25.91 PTS · 48.34 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	25.91	21.20	26.70	21.50	25.22	25.91
REB	9.69	9.20	9.50	6.00	9.19	9.37
AST	3.13	2.80	3.70	2.50	3.27	3.20
FG3M	1.00	0.80	1.20	1.50	1.09	1.12
FTM	6.59	5.20	7.10	6.00	6.54	6.74
STL	1.44	0.80	1.20	0.00	1.17	1.16
BLK	2.06	2.60	2.30	2.50	2.29	2.20
TOV	2.53	3.40	2.50	2.50	2.71	2.72
MIN	32.16	33.90	33.24	30.63	32.80	32.43

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.004
Minute scale: 0.989
Def adj (PTS): 0.974
Opp DefRtg: 105.10 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Angel Reese — 29.69 MIN · 16.07 PTS · 40.23 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.59	14.40	16.90	16.00	15.89	16.07
REB	12.00	14.20	12.60	12.00	12.59	12.65
AST	2.41	2.20	2.20	2.50	2.24	2.17
FG3M	0.19	0.20	0.40

Jackie Young — 32.13 MIN · 21.61 PTS · 39.42 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.74	26.00	25.00	14.00	21.41	21.61
REB	4.50	4.80	5.00	9.00	4.91	4.92
AST	6.65	6.60	6.80	8.50	6.67	6.41
FG3M	2.24	3.60	3.00

Rhyne Howard — 31.31 MIN · 17.25 PTS · 34.73 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.78	22.40	16.20	19.00	17.78	17.25
REB	3.88	3.80	4.10	1.00	3.90	3.77
AST	3.63	4.40	4.60	2.00	4.08	3.77
FG3M	3.31	4.60	3.30

Allisha Gray — 30.80 MIN · 19.65 PTS · 30.15 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	19.24	19.40	20.50	16.00	19.84	19.65
REB	3.12	3.20	2.90	5.00	3.19	3.14
AST	2.36	3.00	2.60	1.50	2.48	2.35
FG3M	1.70	2.00	2.00

Jordin Canada — 31.79 MIN · 11.91 PTS · 30.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.45	12.40	11.90	9.00	11.55	11.91
REB	3.70	3.60	3.40	2.50	3.51	3.60
AST	7.48	6.20	7.90	6.00	7.30	7.18
FG3M	0.82	1.40	0.90

Chelsea Gray — 33.01 MIN · 12.63 PTS · 28.06 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.29	10.60	12.40	19.00	12.31	12.63
REB	3.24	2.60	2.30	4.00	2.80	2.86
AST	7.00	5.80	6.00	6.00	6.26	6.12
FG3M	1.85	1.40	1.70

NaLyssa Smith — 24.13 MIN · 11.35 PTS · 22.72 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.82	10.40	11.60	15.50	11.68	11.35
REB	6.29	9.00	6.70	5.00	6.61	6.38
AST	0.94	1.80	1.20	0.50	1.04	0.97
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Brionna Jones — 16.49 MIN · 8.69 PTS · 20.25 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.22	7.40	8.22	9.00	8.16	8.69
REB	5.56	4.40	5.56	7.00	5.47	5.65
AST	2.00	2.40	2.00	0.00	1.95	1.98
FG3M	0.11	0.20	0.11

Naz Hillmon — 24.94 MIN · 8.78 PTS · 17.25 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.13	8.20	10.00	6.50	9.23	8.78
REB	4.41	4.40	3.50	3.00	3.99	3.77
AST	1.53	2.00	1.70	1.00	1.64	1.48
FG3M	1.13	1.20	1.40

Jewell Loyd — 23.68 MIN · 7.18 PTS · 14.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.00	7.60	7.20	6.50	7.45	7.18
REB	2.30	2.00	2.20	3.00	2.16	2.07
AST	1.48	2.00	1.50	1.00	1.52	1.40
FG3M	1.70	1.00	1.50

Madina Okot — 9.70 MIN · 6.39 PTS · 12.29 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.50	1.60	5.20	7.00	5.18	6.39
REB	3.47	2.20	3.10	7.00	3.43	4.13
AST	0.19	0.00	0.10	0.50	0.17	0.21
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Justine Pissott — 12.24 MIN · 6.52 PTS · 10.90 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.00	3.80	6.00	3.00	5.91	6.52
REB	1.33	1.20	1.33	0.00	1.31	1.36
AST	0.67	0.40	0.67	0.00	0.64	0.68
FG3M	1.67	1.00	1.67

Brianna Turner — 20.26 MIN · 3.35 PTS · 10.64 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.81	1.60	3.00	2.00	2.27	3.35
REB	2.25	2.20	2.50	2.00	2.29	3.18
AST	0.25	0.40	0.40	0.00	0.29	0.46
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Isobel Borlase — 13.51 MIN · 5.01 PTS · 9.30 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.45	1.80	5.00	0.00	4.13	5.01
REB	1.45	1.60	1.60	1.00	1.50	1.72
AST	0.91	0.80	0.80	0.50	0.79	1.08
FG3M	0.45	0.40	0.50

Dana Evans — 15.92 MIN · 3.51 PTS · 9.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.40	3.00	3.40	2.00	3.37	3.51
REB	1.80	2.00	1.80	0.00	1.76	1.81
AST	2.00	2.00	2.00	1.00	1.98	1.97
FG3M	0.80	0.60	0.80

Jaylyn Sherrod — 6.72 MIN · 2.82 PTS · 8.10 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.56	2.80	2.56	7.00	2.64	2.82
REB	0.78	0.80	0.78	0.00	0.78	0.78
AST	1.11	0.80	1.11	1.00	1.08	1.48
FG3M	0.22	0.20	0.22

Stephanie Talbot — 10.24 MIN · 2.42 PTS · 6.66 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.40	3.00	2.90	1.00	2.95	2.42
REB	2.54	1.40	1.00	2.50	1.95	1.50
AST	1.03	0.00	0.40	1.50	0.82	0.67
FG3M	0.46	0.40	0.40

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

LVA

ATL

Best value plays

LVA

ATL

Per-player detail