WNBA Predictions

Team	Player	Reasons	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
PHX	Alyssa Thomas	Usage compression 0.94 (returning star)	1.0	14.2	13.4	-5.6%	7.5	7.4	-2.3%	7.7	7.2	-5.7%	36.9	35.3	-4.3%
PHX	Kahleah Copper	Usage compression 0.94 (returning star)	1.0	19.0	17.9	-5.7%	2.7	2.7	-2.2%	2.2	2.0	-5.5%	26.7	25.4	-4.9%
PHX	DeWanna Bonner	Usage compression 0.94 (returning star)	1.0	11.1	10.5	-5.7%	6.2	6.1	-2.3%	1.7	1.6	-5.9%	26.2	25.3	-3.7%
PHX	Natasha Mack	Usage compression 0.94 (returning star)	1.0	5.7	5.4	-5.6%	4.4	4.3	-2.3%	0.8	0.8	-6.0%	14.3	13.8	-3.5%
PHX	Noemie Brochant	Usage compression 0.94 (returning star)	1.0	6.9	6.5	-5.6%	1.6	1.6	-2.4%	1.6	1.5	-5.7%	13.9	13.3	-4.2%
PHX	Valeriane Ayayi	Usage compression 0.94 (returning star)	1.0	5.1	4.8	-5.7%	2.1	2.1	-2.4%	0.9	0.9	-5.4%	10.2	9.8	-4.0%
PHX	Sami Whitcomb	Usage compression 0.94 (returning star)	1.0	4.3	4.1	-5.6%	1.6	1.5	-2.6%	1.6	1.6	-5.5%	10.2	9.7	-4.2%
PHX	Lexi Held	Usage compression 0.94 (returning star)	1.0	3.1	2.9	-5.8%	0.8	0.7	-2.6%	0.9	0.9	-5.5%	5.9	5.6	-4.6%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Shakira Austin	starter	30.1	20.1	10.1	2.4	0.7	1.2	2.7	0.6	32.6	40.6	high	30%	10%
Sonia Citron	star	32.0	17.1	3.7	4.6	1.1	0.8	2.4	1.6	25.4	31.9	high	10%	20%
Kiki Iriafen	starter	28.0	14.3	9.0	1.8	0.6	0.3	1.8	0.3	25.0	29.3	medium	20%	20%
Cotie McMahon	rotation	21.9	8.5	3.2	2.0	0.8	0.2	0.9	0.5	13.8	17.5	low	10%	20%
Lauren Betts	rotation	18.4	6.5	5.5	1.1	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.0	13.1	17.5	medium	10%	10%
Michaela Onyenwere	starter	23.4	7.7	2.8	1.8	0.5	0.1	1.4	1.4	12.3	15.1	medium	20%	20%
Georgia Amoore	rotation	21.6	5.0	1.1	3.5	0.3	0.1	1.8	1.2	9.6	12.0	low	20%	30%
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	rotation	13.4	3.7	1.5	1.4	0.3	0.1	1.2	0.6	6.6	8.2	medium	0%	50%
Cassandre Prosper	bench	8.9	2.0	1.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.5	0.2	3.5	4.6	low	10%	0%
Rori Harmon	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Lucy Olsen	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Alicia Florez	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Angela Dugalic	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	medium	0%	0%
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Alyssa Thomas	star	32.0	13.4	7.4	7.3	1.2	0.5	3.1	0.0	28.0	35.3	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Shakira Austin — 30.08 MIN · 20.08 PTS · 40.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.72	23.20	21.90	19.00	19.55	20.08
REB	9.53	10.20	10.40	11.00	9.95	10.09
AST	2.53	2.20	2.20	3.00	2.35	2.40
FG3M	0.53	0.80	0.60	1.00	0.62	0.64
FTM	4.13	4.80	4.90	2.00	4.36	4.44
STL	0.66	0.60	0.70	0.00	0.68	0.69
BLK	1.38	1.80	1.10	1.00	1.25	1.24
TOV	2.91	3.00	2.70	0.00	2.71	2.70
MIN	29.69	29.94	30.95	25.78	30.14	30.08

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.984
Minute scale: 0.998
Def adj (PTS): 1.009
Opp DefRtg: 108.90 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Alyssa Thomas — 32.03 MIN · 13.36 PTS · 35.33 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.82	14.40	15.70	10.00	14.88	13.36
REB	7.36	9.00	8.50	10.00	8.02	7.37
AST	8.21	7.80	8.60	6.00	8.14	7.25
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Kelsey Plum — 31.35 MIN · 21.82 PTS · 34.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	22.25	16.20	19.50	5.00	19.61	21.82
REB	2.19	2.40	2.40	3.00	2.29	2.52
AST	5.63	4.00	5.20	2.00	5.05	5.58
FG3M	2.44	1.80	1.90

Sonia Citron — 32.03 MIN · 17.14 PTS · 31.93 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.13	16.20	16.80	19.00	17.09	17.14
REB	3.83	3.80	3.40	4.00	3.71	3.68
AST	3.90	4.40	4.90	6.00	4.59	4.56
FG3M	1.23	2.00	1.40

Kiki Iriafen — 27.99 MIN · 14.30 PTS · 29.30 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.67	11.60	14.10	12.00	13.94	14.30
REB	9.10	8.40	8.50	9.00	8.85	8.96
AST	1.67	2.20	1.80	2.00	1.75	1.78
FG3M	0.37	0.20	0.30

Kahleah Copper — 30.93 MIN · 17.91 PTS · 25.42 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.56	18.80	20.60	15.00	19.91	17.91
REB	3.50	2.40	2.70	0.00	2.89	2.66
AST	1.94	2.80	2.60	3.00	2.29	2.05
FG3M	1.71	1.80	1.50

DeWanna Bonner — 26.13 MIN · 10.49 PTS · 25.26 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.23	10.40	13.20	10.00	11.61	10.49
REB	6.00	7.40	7.70	0.00	6.58	6.08
AST	1.54	2.00	2.10	1.00	1.78	1.59
FG3M	1.14	1.40	1.30

Cotie McMahon — 21.94 MIN · 8.48 PTS · 17.49 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.74	10.40	8.10	13.00	7.83	8.48
REB	2.97	2.60	3.40	0.00	3.02	3.23
AST	1.97	1.60	2.00	1.00	1.91	2.05
FG3M	0.58	0.40	0.30

Lauren Betts — 18.37 MIN · 6.45 PTS · 17.46 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.33	5.00	5.90	6.00	5.92	6.45
REB	4.30	6.80	5.80	6.00	5.13	5.52
AST	0.94	1.20	1.10	1.00	1.05	1.14
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Michaela Onyenwere — 23.45 MIN · 7.68 PTS · 15.06 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.14	6.00	7.30	13.00	8.30	7.68
REB	3.14	3.00	3.00	2.00	3.09	2.83
AST	1.72	1.40	2.20	1.00	1.91	1.75
FG3M	1.38	1.20	1.60

Natasha Mack — 15.01 MIN · 5.37 PTS · 13.79 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.33	6.40	6.30	8.00	7.29	5.37
REB	6.81	4.20	4.20	7.00	5.70	4.29
AST	1.30	0.80	0.90	0.00	1.07	0.78
FG3M	0.07	0.00	0.00

Noemie Brochant — 22.08 MIN · 6.55 PTS · 13.34 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.06	10.40	7.30	13.00	7.08	6.55
REB	2.06	1.60	1.30	2.00	1.70	1.60
AST	1.76	2.00	1.50	1.00	1.63	1.49
FG3M	1.03	1.40	1.00

Georgia Amoore — 21.65 MIN · 4.99 PTS · 12.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.76	3.00	5.20	0.00	5.04	4.99
REB	1.18	0.60	1.20	1.00	1.12	1.10
AST	3.52	3.20	3.60	6.00	3.58	3.52
FG3M	1.12	1.00	1.40

Valeriane Ayayi — 13.78 MIN · 4.80 PTS · 9.84 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.66	4.40	5.80	1.00	5.84	4.80
REB	2.83	2.00	2.30	1.00	2.46	2.07
AST	1.24	0.60	0.90	1.00	1.07	0.87
FG3M	0.62	0.60	0.50

Sami Whitcomb — 14.31 MIN · 4.08 PTS · 9.73 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.25	4.80	4.90	3.00	4.44	4.08
REB	1.75	1.60	1.40	1.00	1.63	1.52
AST	1.67	2.00	1.60	3.00	1.70	1.55
FG3M	1.08	1.40	1.30

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton — 13.41 MIN · 3.74 PTS · 8.23 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.68	3.00	2.20	10.00	4.17	3.74
REB	1.84	1.20	1.70	1.50	1.72	1.53
AST	1.58	1.60	1.40	2.00	1.54	1.37
FG3M	0.63	0.60	0.40

Lexi Held — 10.21 MIN · 2.94 PTS · 5.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.67	2.20	2.60	3.50	3.73	2.94
REB	1.18	1.00	0.70	0.50	0.92	0.74
AST	1.33	0.40	1.00	0.50	1.10	0.86
FG3M	0.70	0.20	0.20

Cassandre Prosper — 8.95 MIN · 2.00 PTS · 4.58 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.38	2.60	1.70	3.00	2.09	2.00
REB	1.24	1.40	1.10	2.00	1.17	1.11
AST	0.45	0.40	0.30	1.00	0.41	0.39
FG3M	0.24	0.20	0.10

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

Best value plays

WAS

PHX

Per-player detail