WNBA Predictions

Injury impact on predictions19 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
DAL	Paige Bueckers	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	19.3	19.3	0.0%	3.9	3.9	0.0%	5.4	5.4	0.0%	34.6	34.6	0.0%
DAL	Jessica Shepard	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	12.6	12.6	0.0%	10.1	10.1	0.0%	5.0	5.0	0.0%	34.6	34.6	0.0%
DAL	Azzi Fudd	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	13.6	13.6	0.0%	1.6	1.6	0.0%	2.0	2.0	0.0%	24.2	24.2	0.0%
DAL	Arike Ogunbowale	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	14.0	14.0	0.0%	2.6	2.6	0.0%	3.2	3.2	0.0%	24.0	24.0	0.0%
DAL	Awak Kuier	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	6.2	6.2	0.0%	3.2	3.2	0.0%	0.9	0.9	0.0%	14.7	14.7	0.0%
DAL	Alanna Smith	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	5.5	5.5	0.0%	3.8	3.8	0.0%	0.9	0.9	0.0%	13.5	13.5	0.0%
DAL	Maddy Siegrist	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	5.7	5.7	0.0%	2.4	2.4	0.0%	0.8	0.8	0.0%	11.6	11.6	0.0%
DAL	Aziaha James	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	5.8	5.8	0.0%	2.2	2.2	0.0%	1.0	1.0	0.0%	11.5	11.5	0.0%
DAL	Li Yueru	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	4.6	4.6	0.0%	3.3	3.3	0.0%	0.5	0.5	0.0%	10.5	10.5	0.0%
DAL	Odyssey Sims	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	4.1	4.1	0.0%	0.9	0.9	0.0%	1.6	1.6	0.0%	8.2	8.2	0.0%
DAL	Sug Sutton	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	2.2	2.2	0.0%	0.7	0.7	0.0%	1.8	1.8	0.0%	6.1	6.1	0.0%
NYL	Breanna Stewart	Teammates out: +5.8 min, 18% usage boost	5.8	1.2	25.6	26.3	+2.6%	9.9	10.1	+2.0%	4.7	5.0	+6.8%	49.9	53.1	+6.4%
NYL	Jonquel Jones	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 7% usage boost	2.1	1.1	17.8	18.0	+0.8%	12.6	12.6	+0.3%	4.0	3.9	-2.7%	45.4	45.3	-0.2%
NYL	Pauline Astier	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 7% usage boost	2.1	1.1	10.3	10.3	-0.1%	2.4	2.4	-0.4%	3.7	3.7	-1.1%	20.5	20.4	-0.5%
NYL	Marine Johannes	Teammates out: +1.9 min, 6% usage boost	1.9	1.1	8.9	8.8	-0.9%	1.9	1.8	-1.6%	2.0	2.0	-1.0%	16.6	16.4	-1.1%
NYL	Rebekah Gardner	Teammates out: +1.9 min, 6% usage boost	1.9	1.1	6.0	5.9	-1.0%	3.3	3.2	-1.5%	1.4	1.4	+2.2%	13.5	13.4	-0.4%
NYL	Sabrina Ionescu	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 5% usage boost	1.6	1.1	21.8	21.3	-2.2%	5.0	5.0	-1.2%	5.8	5.6	-4.4%	38.7	37.6	-2.8%
NYL	Han Xu	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 4% usage boost	1.3	1.0	7.6	7.5	-1.8%	3.2	3.2	-2.2%	0.7	0.7	0.0%	14.9	14.7	-1.8%
NYL	Raquel Carrera	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 4% usage boost	1.3	1.0	2.3	2.3	-1.7%	1.6	1.6	-1.9%	0.8	0.9	+11.9%	5.9	6.0	+1.9%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Paige Bueckers	star	31.7	19.3	3.9	5.4	0.8	0.5	2.0	1.7	28.6	34.6	high	10%	10%
Jessica Shepard	star	28.5	12.6	10.1	5.0	0.5	0.1	1.6	0.0	27.6	34.6	medium	10%	10%
Azzi Fudd	star	33.2	13.6	1.6	2.0	1.8	0.7	1.1	2.5	17.2	24.2	high	10%	20%
Arike Ogunbowale	starter	26.0	14.0	2.6	3.2	1.0	0.1	1.6	1.5	19.7	24.0	medium	30%	20%
Awak Kuier	rotation	15.3	6.2	3.2	0.9	0.3	1.3	0.7	0.6	10.3	14.7	low	10%	10%
Alanna Smith	bench	15.0	5.5	3.8	0.9	0.6	0.5	0.8	0.7	10.2	13.5	low	20%	0%
Maddy Siegrist	bench	11.2	5.7	2.4	0.8	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.8	8.9	11.6	low	20%	10%
Aziaha James	bench	10.2	5.8	2.2	1.0	0.5	0.4	0.7	0.3	9.0	11.5	low	20%	0%
Li Yueru	deep	14.5	4.6	3.3	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.3	8.5	10.5	low	10%	30%
Odyssey Sims	bench	11.9	4.1	0.9	1.6	0.4	0.0	0.7	0.4	6.5	8.2	low	10%	0%
Sug Sutton	bench	7.2	2.3	0.7	1.8	0.2	0.1	0.5	0.2	4.7	6.1	medium	10%	50%
Haley Jones	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Alysha Clark	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Costanza Verona	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Breanna Stewart	star	38.5	26.3	10.1	5.0	1.4	1.5	2.0	0.9	41.4	53.1	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Breanna Stewart — 38.50 MIN · 26.27 PTS · 53.15 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.97	19.20	21.80	25.33	21.21	26.27
REB	8.29	6.60	8.10	11.00	8.28	10.06
AST	3.24	4.40	4.40	5.00	3.94	5.04
FG3M	0.79	0.40	0.90	0.67	0.76	0.93
FTM	5.82	4.00	5.50	6.67	5.41	6.54
STL	1.26	0.80	1.10	0.67	1.10	1.38
BLK	1.38	0.80	1.50	0.67	1.24	1.52
TOV	2.12	0.80	1.30	1.67	1.72	2.04
MIN	33.10	29.65	33.55	36.28	33.16	38.50

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.995
Minute scale: 1.161
Def adj (PTS): 0.995
Opp DefRtg: 107.40 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Jonquel Jones — 35.48 MIN · 17.97 PTS · 45.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.47	14.80	13.50	15.00	14.01	17.97
REB	9.38	11.60	9.90	9.67	10.03	12.64
AST	2.88	3.40	3.70	2.00	3.21	3.94
FG3M	1.79	2.20	1.50

Sabrina Ionescu — 37.29 MIN · 21.32 PTS · 37.65 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.00	15.40	19.60	15.33	17.38	21.32
REB	3.96	3.40	4.30	4.00	4.07	4.99
AST	4.52	4.40	4.90	4.67	4.70	5.59
FG3M	2.09	1.60	2.50

Paige Bueckers — 31.67 MIN · 19.34 PTS · 34.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.19	17.00	19.20	19.50	19.55	19.34
REB	4.06	3.20	3.90	6.50	4.00	3.91
AST	5.84	5.00	5.40	4.00	5.49	5.39
FG3M	1.75	1.40	1.70

Jessica Shepard — 28.52 MIN · 12.62 PTS · 34.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.21	10.20	12.80	15.00	13.08	12.62
REB	11.36	7.40	10.60	13.00	10.56	10.06
AST	5.18	3.80	5.10	7.67	5.18	4.96
FG3M	0.00	0.00

Azzi Fudd — 33.17 MIN · 13.58 PTS · 24.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.10	12.00	12.70	17.00	13.12	13.58
REB	1.73	1.40	1.50	1.00	1.52	1.55
AST	1.83	1.60	2.00	2.67	1.98	2.03
FG3M	2.07	2.40	2.40

Arike Ogunbowale — 25.99 MIN · 13.97 PTS · 24.00 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.65	12.20	17.80	18.67	16.15	13.97
REB	3.06	2.80	3.20	3.33	3.03	2.59
AST	3.15	4.00	4.00	4.00	3.70	3.18
FG3M	1.76	1.00	1.60

Pauline Astier — 25.75 MIN · 10.34 PTS · 20.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.43	7.80	8.40	6.00	8.35	10.34
REB	2.46	2.00	1.60	1.33	1.99	2.43
AST	3.49	3.20	3.00	1.00	3.02	3.67
FG3M	0.43	0.20	0.30

Marine Johannes — 18.77 MIN · 8.84 PTS · 16.37 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.06	10.20	8.90	3.50	8.75	8.84
REB	2.19	1.00	1.30	2.50	1.85	1.83
AST	2.41	1.40	1.20	3.00	1.98	1.98
FG3M	2.22	2.60	2.30

Awak Kuier — 15.30 MIN · 6.17 PTS · 14.68 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.55	6.60	5.50	10.00	6.16	6.17
REB	3.00	2.80	2.50	7.33	3.23	3.19
AST	0.84	0.40	0.50	3.33	0.96	0.95
FG3M	0.58	0.60	0.30

Han Xu — 16.20 MIN · 7.45 PTS · 14.65 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.14	8.40	8.20	3.33	6.83	7.45
REB	2.51	4.40	3.60	2.33	2.96	3.18
AST	0.71	0.60	0.60	0.33	0.61	0.67
FG3M	0.86	1.00	1.20

Alanna Smith — 15.04 MIN · 5.55 PTS · 13.50 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.62	11.80	8.20	4.00	6.54	5.55
REB	3.88	7.80	5.40	3.50	4.47	3.75
AST	1.04	1.20	0.80	2.00	1.05	0.89
FG3M	0.62	1.60	1.00

Rebekah Gardner — 16.63 MIN · 5.91 PTS · 13.42 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.15	5.40	6.00	4.67	5.48	5.91
REB	2.55	3.80	3.70	2.67	3.04	3.22
AST	1.27	1.20	1.40	0.33	1.26	1.39
FG3M	0.24	0.00	0.20

Maddy Siegrist — 11.21 MIN · 5.71 PTS · 11.63 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.13	5.00	6.00	7.50	6.19	5.71
REB	2.74	3.00	2.50	2.00	2.63	2.40
AST	0.81	1.40	1.00	0.00	0.87	0.80
FG3M	0.77	0.40	0.90

Aziaha James — 10.19 MIN · 5.78 PTS · 11.54 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.06	8.60	5.40	3.67	5.83	5.78
REB	2.41	3.00	2.20	1.00	2.27	2.22
AST	1.21	1.20	0.90	0.33	1.00	0.98
FG3M	0.35	0.40	0.20

Li Yueru — 14.48 MIN · 4.64 PTS · 10.48 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.44	3.40	4.30	3.50	3.80	4.64
REB	2.80	2.60	3.10	0.50	2.74	3.29
AST	0.48	0.40	0.40	0.50	0.44	0.53
FG3M	0.28	0.20	0.30

Odyssey Sims — 11.86 MIN · 4.06 PTS · 8.24 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.40	7.60	5.20	4.33	5.48	4.06
REB	1.04	2.20	1.40	1.00	1.18	0.87
AST	2.20	3.00	2.30	1.00	2.18	1.60
FG3M	0.48	0.60	0.40

Sug Sutton — 7.17 MIN · 2.25 PTS · 6.07 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.74	1.40	1.50	5.00	3.05	2.25
REB	0.89	1.00	0.70	2.00	0.89	0.65
AST	2.32	1.40	1.70	7.50	2.40	1.76
FG3M	0.32	0.20	0.10

Raquel Carrera — 9.63 MIN · 2.26 PTS · 5.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.63	0.80	1.00	0.00	1.23	2.26
REB	1.11	1.20	0.70	0.00	0.87	1.58
AST	0.37	0.80	0.50	0.67	0.45	0.94
FG3M	0.11	0.00	0.10

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

DAL

NYL

Best value plays

DAL

NYL

Per-player detail