WNBA Predictions

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
PDX	Holly Winterburn	Teammates out: +3.8 min, 0% usage boost	3.8	1.0	5.5	5.8	+4.4%	1.9	1.9	+0.5%	3.1	3.9	+25.9%	13.4	15.3	+14.1%
PDX	Teja Oblak	Teammates out: +3.8 min, 0% usage boost	3.8	1.0	5.7	6.0	+4.2%	1.6	1.6	+1.2%	3.1	3.6	+16.2%	12.9	14.2	+10.0%
PDX	Karlie Samuelson	Teammates out: +3.0 min, 0% usage boost	3.0	1.0	5.3	5.6	+5.2%	1.4	1.5	+2.1%	0.9	1.0	+8.4%	10.2	10.7	+5.8%
PDX	Serah Williams	Teammates out: +1.9 min, 0% usage boost	1.9	1.0	5.4	5.6	+4.3%	2.8	2.8	+1.1%	0.7	0.8	+4.1%	11.2	11.7	+4.2%
PDX	Frieda Buhner	Teammates out: +1.5 min, 0% usage boost	1.5	1.0	8.0	8.4	+5.3%	2.9	3.0	+1.7%	1.0	1.0	-1.0%	14.3	14.8	+3.5%
PDX	Nyadiew Puoch	Teammates out: +1.5 min, 0% usage boost	1.5	1.0	4.5	4.8	+5.3%	1.9	2.0	+1.5%	0.5	0.5	-1.9%	9.7	10.0	+2.8%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Bridget Carleton	star	34.1	17.6	5.8	2.3	1.4	0.5	1.1	3.7	25.7	33.3	medium	10%	20%
Carla Leite	starter	28.9	18.1	2.4	6.9	0.7	0.1	3.8	1.1	27.4	31.7	medium	10%	30%
Megan DiLeo	rotation	33.1	17.9	6.0	1.3	0.5	0.9	1.3	1.8	25.2	30.4	high	0%	30%
Emily Engstler	rotation	28.0	9.7	5.8	2.5	1.4	1.3	1.9	1.1	18.0	25.7	high	10%	60%
Holly Winterburn	bench	15.1	5.8	1.9	3.9	1.0	0.0	1.4	0.4	11.5	15.3	low	10%	0%
Frieda Buhner	bench	17.6	8.4	3.0	1.0	0.4	0.1	1.0	1.3	12.3	14.8	low	20%	20%
Teja Oblak	bench	12.9	6.0	1.6	3.6	0.8	0.1	2.5	0.7	11.2	14.2	low	20%	10%
Serah Williams	bench	15.8	5.6	2.8	0.8	0.5	0.5	1.1	0.0	9.2	11.7	low	20%	10%
Karlie Samuelson	bench	15.9	5.6	1.5	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.4	8.1	10.7	low	20%	0%
Nyadiew Puoch	rotation	17.1	4.8	2.0	0.5	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.6	7.3	10.0	low	10%	0%
Jordan Harrison	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Luisa Geiselsoder	rotation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Amy Okonkwo	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Sania Feagin	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Shakira Austin	starter	28.1	17.9	9.1	2.4	0.6	1.3	2.5	0.5	29.4	35.5	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Shakira Austin — 28.10 MIN · 17.92 PTS · 35.46 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.73	21.20	21.80	14.00	19.25	17.92
REB	9.58	9.80	9.90	11.00	9.87	9.07
AST	2.52	2.20	2.30	5.00	2.56	2.36
FG3M	0.52	0.60	0.60	0.50	0.56	0.53
FTM	4.09	3.80	4.40	4.50	4.30	4.02
STL	0.64	0.60	0.70	0.00	0.63	0.57
BLK	1.36	1.80	1.10	3.00	1.39	1.25
TOV	2.91	3.20	2.70	2.00	2.78	2.49
MIN	29.73	28.96	30.94	40.31	31.09	28.10

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.985
Minute scale: 0.904
Def adj (PTS): 1.041
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Bridget Carleton — 34.09 MIN · 17.57 PTS · 33.25 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.64	17.60	17.30	11.00	15.83	17.57
REB	4.52	8.40	6.50	3.00	5.22	5.82
AST	2.12	1.80	2.40	2.50	2.24	2.28
FG3M	2.88	3.60	3.80

Carla Leite — 28.89 MIN · 18.12 PTS · 31.68 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.48	17.20	16.20	23.00	16.16	18.12
REB	2.26	2.00	1.90	3.50	2.13	2.40
AST	6.23	7.80	7.10	7.00	6.69	6.89
FG3M	0.84	1.20	0.90

Megan DiLeo — 33.12 MIN · 17.88 PTS · 30.40 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.88	14.60	15.10	20.00	14.11	17.88
REB	4.19	6.20	5.00	5.00	4.72	6.01
AST	1.00	1.40	1.00	4.00	1.11	1.30
FG3M	1.25	1.20	1.40

Sonia Citron — 29.49 MIN · 16.01 PTS · 29.65 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.26	18.00	17.70	20.00	17.88	16.01
REB	3.90	4.60	3.90	6.00	4.17	3.69
AST	4.03	5.40	5.30	3.50	4.70	4.18
FG3M	1.32	2.60	1.70

Kiki Iriafen — 27.11 MIN · 14.43 PTS · 29.61 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.81	13.20	15.40	14.50	14.93	14.43
REB	9.06	8.80	9.10	8.00	8.95	8.55
AST	1.71	2.20	2.10	3.00	2.02	1.94
FG3M	0.35	0.20	0.30

Emily Engstler — 28.01 MIN · 9.70 PTS · 25.71 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.20	8.40	7.00	8.47	9.70
REB	5.26	5.00	4.70	7.00	5.07	5.83
AST	2.06	2.00	2.50	3.50	2.33	2.45
FG3M	1.03	1.00	1.00

Michaela Onyenwere — 23.79 MIN · 8.03 PTS · 15.85 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.90	4.40	6.60	17.50	8.40	8.03
REB	3.07	2.80	2.80	5.50	3.10	2.92
AST	1.73	1.60	1.90	3.00	1.94	1.84
FG3M	1.33	0.80	1.30

Holly Winterburn — 15.06 MIN · 5.75 PTS · 15.34 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.29	7.20	4.40	3.00	3.78	5.75
REB	1.14	2.80	1.60	0.00	1.29	1.87
AST	2.00	3.20	2.30	0.00	2.13	3.89
FG3M	0.19	0.20	0.30

Frieda Buhner — 17.62 MIN · 8.41 PTS · 14.84 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.39	6.60	7.50	9.00	7.09	8.41
REB	2.23	2.80	3.00	3.00	2.62	2.97
AST	0.74	0.60	1.00	1.00	0.87	0.96
FG3M	0.81	1.20	1.30

Cotie McMahon — 18.70 MIN · 6.77 PTS · 14.78 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.75	8.20	8.20	3.00	7.33	6.77
REB	3.16	3.80	3.80	2.50	3.53	3.22
AST	1.97	1.40	1.90	1.00	1.86	1.71
FG3M	0.56	0.40	0.30

Teja Oblak — 12.90 MIN · 5.97 PTS · 14.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.92	6.40	5.70	5.50	5.74	5.97
REB	1.62	2.20	1.40	2.00	1.63	1.62
AST	3.00	4.00	3.10	2.50	3.11	3.58
FG3M	0.81	0.80	0.60

Lauren Betts — 13.93 MIN · 5.06 PTS · 13.46 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.38	5.40	6.10	5.00	6.09	5.06
REB	4.32	6.40	5.90	3.00	4.99	4.09
AST	0.94	1.20	1.10	0.50	1.02	0.84
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Serah Williams — 15.78 MIN · 5.59 PTS · 11.71 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.23	2.60	5.50	8.00	4.81	5.59
REB	2.43	1.40	2.40	6.00	2.55	2.84
AST	0.57	1.00	0.80	0.50	0.66	0.76
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Karlie Samuelson — 15.92 MIN · 5.62 PTS · 10.74 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.64	5.00	6.20	3.00	5.28	5.62
REB	1.32	1.80	1.50	1.00	1.43	1.46
AST	0.91	0.80	1.00	1.00	0.95	1.03
FG3M	1.09	1.40	1.60

Nyadiew Puoch — 17.08 MIN · 4.75 PTS · 10.00 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.94	7.60	5.10	4.50	4.55	4.75
REB	1.76	2.20	2.20	2.00	1.99	1.98
AST	0.67	0.60	0.40	0.50	0.54	0.52
FG3M	0.42	1.20	0.60

Alicia Florez — 10.98 MIN · 3.13 PTS · 8.35 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.60	2.80	2.20	6.50	3.27	3.13
REB	1.56	1.00	0.60	3.50	1.37	1.29
AST	2.24	0.80	0.80	2.50	1.79	1.71
FG3M	0.32	0.20	0.30

Georgia Amoore — 14.72 MIN · 3.47 PTS · 8.01 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.59	0.60	4.40	2.50	4.76	3.47
REB	1.15	0.60	0.90	0.50	0.97	0.70
AST	3.44	2.40	3.30	2.50	3.20	2.32
FG3M	1.09	0.20	1.20

Lucy Olsen — 8.56 MIN · 3.54 PTS · 6.69 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.06	3.80	2.80	2.00	2.98	3.54
REB	0.65	0.20	0.60	1.50	0.66	0.78
AST	1.06	0.60	0.80	0.50	0.91	1.07
FG3M	0.47	1.00	0.60

Angela Dugalic — 5.72 MIN · 1.62 PTS · 4.69 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.21	1.00	0.70	2.50	2.36	1.62
REB	2.76	1.60	1.50	2.50	2.28	1.55
AST	0.72	0.80	0.40	0.00	0.56	0.38
FG3M	0.14	0.20	0.10

Cassandre Prosper — 7.30 MIN · 1.77 PTS · 4.03 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.43	3.40	2.10	3.00	2.33	1.77
REB	1.20	1.20	0.90	2.00	1.07	0.81
AST	0.50	0.80	0.50	0.00	0.53	0.40
FG3M	0.23	0.20	0.10

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

PDX

WAS

Best value plays

PDX

WAS

Per-player detail