Predictions

Sun, Jul 19, 2026

2 days behind — through Aug 16

← Prev Today Next →

Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Los Angeles SparksAway

89.5

Record: 12-22 | 12th in standingsL10 Record: 2-8

Dallas WingsHome

95.3

Record: 20-15 | 8th in standingsL10 Record: 3-7

Total

184.8

📺 ABC

Game lines unavailable: No event for LAS @ DAL

Injury report

5 Out applied to these projections.

LAS

Tonie Morgan

Injury impact on predictions13 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
DAL	Awak Kuier	Teammates out: +7.3 min, 6% usage boost	7.3	1.1	6.3	6.7	+6.0%	3.3	3.4	+2.1%	1.0	1.4	+35.0%	15.2	16.9	+11.0%
DAL	Maddy Siegrist	Teammates out: +6.0 min, 5% usage boost	6.0	1.0	6.8	7.2	+5.1%	2.8	2.8	+1.4%	1.0	1.3	+34.0%	14.2	15.6	+10.0%
DAL	Odyssey Sims	Teammates out: +3.2 min, 3% usage boost	3.2	1.0	4.9	5.2	+5.9%	1.0	1.1	+1.9%	1.8	2.0	+12.0%	9.7	10.4	+7.6%
DAL	Aziaha James	Teammates out: +3.1 min, 3% usage boost	3.1	1.0	5.5	5.8	+5.1%	2.2	2.2	+0.9%	1.0	1.2	+18.6%	11.2	11.9	+6.7%
DAL	Li Yueru	Teammates out: +2.4 min, 2% usage boost	2.4	1.0	5.1	5.4	+5.1%	3.8	3.9	+1.3%	0.6	0.7	+15.6%	12.1	12.6	+4.3%
LAS	Jihyun Park	Teammates out: +3.3 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.3	1.0	3.0	3.2	+5.3%	0.9	0.9	+1.2%	0.6	0.8	+30.0%	6.0	6.8	+13.0%
LAS	Emma Cannon	Teammates out: +2.4 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.4	1.0	6.4	6.7	+5.3%	2.0	2.0	+1.0%	0.6	0.8	+28.8%	10.3	11.1	+7.6%
LAS	Cameron Brink	Teammates out: +1.9 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.9	1.0	10.0	10.7	+6.4%	6.1	6.2	+2.0%	1.6	1.6	+5.1%	24.5	25.7	+4.6%
LAS	Nneka Ogwumike	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	17.8	17.5	-1.5%	9.6	9.5	-0.5%	3.8	3.6	-4.9%	38.6	37.9	-1.9%
LAS	Dearica Hamby	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	18.1	17.8	-1.5%	7.7	7.6	-0.5%	3.1	3.0	-5.1%	35.6	34.9	-2.0%
LAS	Rae Burrell	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	19.2	18.9	-1.5%	3.1	3.1	-0.6%	3.6	3.4	-5.0%	31.8	31.0	-2.3%
LAS	Ariel Atkins	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	10.6	10.4	-1.5%	3.8	3.8	-0.5%	4.1	3.9	-5.1%	26.7	26.0	-2.5%
LAS	Erica Wheeler	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	11.1	11.0	-1.5%	2.6	2.6	-0.4%	6.7	6.3	-4.9%	26.6	25.8	-2.8%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Nneka Ogwumike	star	32.9	17.5	9.5	3.6	1.4	0.4	2.4	1.4	30.6	37.9	high	10%	30%
Dearica Hamby	starter	32.4	17.8	7.6	3.0	1.6	0.4	2.1	0.2	28.4	34.9	high	10%	30%
Rae Burrell	starter	36.0	18.9	3.1	3.4	1.2	0.6	3.0	2.3	25.4	31.0	medium	10%	30%
Ariel Atkins	starter	34.6	10.4	3.8	3.9	2.1	0.4	1.8	1.8	18.1	26.0	medium	10%	30%
Erica Wheeler	starter	31.2	11.0	2.6	6.3	1.1	0.0	2.0	1.6	19.9	25.8	medium	10%	30%
Cameron Brink	rotation	19.9	10.7	6.3	1.6	0.6	2.1	2.3	1.0	18.6	25.7	high	0%	40%
Emma Cannon	deep	10.7	6.7	2.0	0.8	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.1	9.5	11.1	low	10%	40%
Jihyun Park	bench	9.5	3.2	0.9	0.8	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.4	4.8	6.8	low	20%	0%
Monique Akoa Makani	rotation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Tonie Morgan	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Chance Gray	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Alissa Pili	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Kate Martin	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Jessica Shepard	star	32.7	14.5	11.9	5.2	0.7	0.1	2.0	0.0	31.5	39.1	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Jessica Shepard — 32.67 MIN · 14.49 PTS · 39.14 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.21	10.20	12.80	16.50	13.21	14.49
REB	11.36	7.40	10.60	14.50	10.81	11.87
AST	5.18	3.80	5.10	5.50	4.99	5.17
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
FTM	2.45	1.00	1.80	3.50	2.19	2.37
STL	0.70	0.60	0.60	1.50	0.69	0.69
BLK	0.06	0.40	0.20	0.00	0.10	0.09
TOV	1.85	0.80	1.60	4.00	1.82	2.00
MIN	32.20	24.56	30.82	38.04	30.68	32.67

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.007
Minute scale: 1.065
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Paige Bueckers — 35.33 MIN · 22.46 PTS · 39.00 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.45	21.60	19.90	21.50	20.64	22.46
REB	4.12	3.80	3.90	3.50	4.01	4.37
AST	5.85	5.40	4.90	9.50	5.76	5.93
FG3M	1.76	1.80	1.80

Nneka Ogwumike — 32.86 MIN · 17.48 PTS · 37.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.85	15.00	15.80	15.00	15.95	17.48
REB	8.79	8.20	8.50	10.00	8.69	9.50
AST	3.09	3.60	3.60	4.00	3.47	3.65
FG3M	1.45	1.20	1.30

Dearica Hamby — 32.38 MIN · 17.83 PTS · 34.92 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.15	14.80	16.50	15.50	15.74	17.83
REB	7.32	5.40	6.80	5.00	6.76	7.64
AST	2.50	2.20	3.10	2.00	2.72	2.95
FG3M	0.26	0.20	0.20

Rae Burrell — 35.97 MIN · 18.95 PTS · 31.02 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.12	18.60	17.10	6.00	15.43	18.95
REB	2.38	2.80	2.60	2.00	2.52	3.08
AST	2.47	3.00	3.20	3.50	2.91	3.42
FG3M	1.65	2.40	2.40

Arike Ogunbowale — 31.54 MIN · 17.81 PTS · 29.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.80	13.20	17.80	25.00	16.86	17.81
REB	3.14	3.00	3.60	4.00	3.45	3.65
AST	3.09	3.20	4.00	3.50	3.54	3.53
FG3M	1.71	0.80	1.50

Ariel Atkins — 34.63 MIN · 10.42 PTS · 26.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.78	5.00	8.50	12.50	8.42	10.42
REB	2.94	3.20	3.10	3.50	3.07	3.79
AST	2.94	3.40	3.70	3.00	3.29	3.89
FG3M	1.28	1.00	1.70

Erica Wheeler — 31.23 MIN · 10.96 PTS · 25.80 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.24	9.20	10.30	8.00	9.53	10.96
REB	2.03	3.00	2.30	2.00	2.25	2.58
AST	5.32	5.20	6.20	8.00	5.77	6.35
FG3M	1.26	1.60	1.60

Cameron Brink — 19.87 MIN · 10.65 PTS · 25.67 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.08	9.20	8.80	10.00	8.98	10.65
REB	4.92	6.60	6.00	5.50	5.57	6.25
AST	1.28	1.80	1.70	0.50	1.42	1.65
FG3M	0.84	0.60	0.90

Azzi Fudd — 35.73 MIN · 14.11 PTS · 24.99 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.10	12.00	12.70	11.00	12.65	14.11
REB	1.73	1.40	1.50	2.50	1.67	1.86
AST	1.83	1.60	2.00	2.00	1.92	2.03
FG3M	2.07	2.40	2.40

Awak Kuier — 16.14 MIN · 6.70 PTS · 16.91 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.63	7.00	5.90	4.00	5.98	6.70
REB	3.09	3.60	3.00	1.00	3.15	3.36
AST	0.94	1.20	0.90	0.00	0.98	1.39
FG3M	0.59	0.80	0.40

Maddy Siegrist — 13.61 MIN · 7.18 PTS · 15.58 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.09	5.20	6.50	9.50	6.49	7.18
REB	2.69	2.80	2.60	3.00	2.69	2.83
AST	0.84	1.40	1.20	0.00	0.96	1.34
FG3M	0.78	0.60	1.00

Li Yueru — 17.54 MIN · 5.40 PTS · 12.64 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.31	3.40	3.30	4.00	3.26	5.40
REB	2.69	2.00	2.10	4.00	2.45	3.87
AST	0.46	0.00	0.40	0.00	0.41	0.74
FG3M	0.27	0.20	0.20

Aziaha James — 9.60 MIN · 5.80 PTS · 11.94 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.06	8.60	5.40	4.00	5.96	5.80
REB	2.41	3.00	2.20	1.00	2.36	2.18
AST	1.21	1.20	0.90	1.50	1.11	1.21
FG3M	0.35	0.40	0.20

Emma Cannon — 10.66 MIN · 6.74 PTS · 11.14 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	2.20	4.40	2.00	3.97	6.74
REB	1.15	1.00	1.40	0.00	1.23	1.98
AST	0.38	0.00	0.40	0.00	0.37	0.76
FG3M	0.69	0.20	0.70

Odyssey Sims — 13.45 MIN · 5.19 PTS · 10.45 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.62	8.00	5.60	3.50	5.85	5.19
REB	1.08	2.20	1.60	0.50	1.25	1.05
AST	2.19	3.00	1.90	3.00	2.21	2.05
FG3M	0.58	1.20	0.70

Jihyun Park — 9.52 MIN · 3.19 PTS · 6.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.45	1.60	3.30	4.00	2.84	3.19
REB	1.00	0.20	0.50	1.00	0.81	0.87
AST	0.52	0.40	0.70	0.00	0.57	0.78
FG3M	0.31	0.40	0.60

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

LAS

DAL

Best value plays

LAS

DAL

Per-player detail