Predictions

Wed, Jul 22, 2026

Data current — through Aug 16

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Minnesota LynxAway

90.7

Record: 29-7 | 1st in standingsL10 Record: 9-1📺 Victory+ (MIN), KARE 11

Seattle StormHome

83.3

Record: 7-30 | 15th in standingsL10 Record: 1-9📺 Amazon Prime Video - Seattle, CW Seattle

Total

174.1

Game lines unavailable: No event for MIN @ SEA

Injury report

3 Out applied to these projections.

MIN

Injury impact on predictions11 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
MIN	Dorka Juhasz	Teammates out: +2.3 min, 0% usage boost	2.3	1.0	3.2	3.4	+5.6%	2.2	2.2	+1.4%	1.3	1.4	+9.8%	9.9	10.6	+6.7%
MIN	Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	Teammates out: +2.3 min, 0% usage boost	2.3	1.0	4.0	4.3	+5.7%	2.0	2.0	+1.0%	0.8	0.9	+14.5%	9.4	10.2	+8.4%
MIN	Maya Caldwell	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 0% usage boost	0.7	1.0	2.8	2.9	+3.9%	1.7	1.8	+1.1%	0.7	0.7	0.0%	7.0	7.2	+2.4%
MIN	Eliska Joklova	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 0% usage boost	0.7	1.0	2.2	2.4	+5.8%	1.3	1.3	+0.8%	1.0	1.1	+6.0%	5.9	6.1	+4.6%
MIN	Antonia Delaere	Teammates out: +0.7 min, 0% usage boost	0.7	1.0	2.4	2.5	+4.7%	0.8	0.8	+1.2%	0.9	0.9	+1.1%	5.6	5.7	+3.1%
SEA	Jordan Horston	Teammates out: +6.0 min, 7% usage boost	6.0	1.1	5.3	5.4	+3.4%	3.5	3.5	+0.6%	1.0	1.2	+27.6%	13.1	14.3	+8.8%
SEA	Katie Lou Samuelson	Teammates out: +2.5 min, 3% usage boost	2.5	1.0	4.7	4.8	+3.4%	2.0	2.0	+0.5%	0.6	0.6	+10.3%	9.6	10.0	+4.1%
SEA	Stefanie Dolson	Teammates out: +2.4 min, 3% usage boost	2.4	1.0	2.2	2.3	+3.6%	1.6	1.6	+0.6%	0.9	1.0	+10.2%	6.4	6.7	+4.7%
SEA	Zia Cooke	Teammates out: +2.2 min, 2% usage boost	2.2	1.0	7.4	7.6	+2.6%	1.3	1.3	0.0%	0.6	0.7	+9.8%	10.2	10.5	+3.1%
SEA	Dominique Malonga	Teammates out: +1.9 min, 2% usage boost	1.9	1.0	20.0	20.8	+4.4%	10.4	10.5	+1.7%	2.0	2.0	+2.0%	42.2	43.4	+2.8%
SEA	Jade Melbourne	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 2% usage boost	1.4	1.0	10.9	11.2	+2.7%	2.4	2.4	+1.7%	4.3	4.3	+0.2%	22.2	22.6	+1.6%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Olivia Miles	star	30.2	20.4	4.6	6.3	1.1	0.4	2.9	1.8	31.3	37.9	high	20%	20%
Natasha Howard	starter	26.0	12.9	7.6	3.0	1.8	0.7	2.0	0.1	23.6	30.9	high	10%	30%
Kayla McBride	star	29.7	18.7	2.5	1.6	1.9	0.2	1.0	3.4	22.9	29.7	medium	20%	0%
Courtney Williams	star	29.3	13.0	4.7	4.2	1.1	0.2	1.6	1.0	21.8	27.4	medium	10%	20%
Nia Coffey	starter	18.5	5.3	3.6	1.5	0.9	0.7	0.6	1.1	10.4	15.4	medium	10%	20%
Dorka Juhasz	rotation	12.6	3.4	2.2	1.4	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.7	7.0	10.6	low	10%	0%
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	bench	10.3	4.3	2.0	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.7	0.1	7.1	10.2	low	20%	30%
Maya Caldwell	bench	9.7	2.9	1.8	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.6	0.6	5.3	7.2	low	30%	20%
Eliska Joklova	deep	6.0	2.4	1.3	1.1	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.0	4.8	6.1	low	10%	0%
Antonia Delaere	bench	8.9	2.5	0.8	0.9	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.6	4.2	5.7	low	20%	0%
Napheesa Collier	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2	medium	0%	0%
Chloe Bibby	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Liatu King	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Dominique Malonga	starter	27.7	20.8	10.5	2.0	1.1	1.9	2.9	0.9	33.4	43.4

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Dominique Malonga — 27.71 MIN · 20.84 PTS · 43.40 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.18	21.20	20.20	14.00	18.16	20.84
REB	9.00	10.80	10.50	6.67	9.55	10.54
AST	1.71	2.60	2.00	1.00	1.82	2.03
FG3M	0.71	1.20	0.90	0.33	0.77	0.90
FTM	2.96	4.80	3.50	2.33	3.20	3.62
STL	0.93	1.20	0.90	1.33	0.98	1.06
BLK	1.50	2.40	2.00	2.00	1.75	1.87
TOV	2.75	2.20	2.80	2.67	2.75	2.94
MIN	26.30	28.16	27.67	22.45	26.60	27.71

Factors

Games played: 28
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.009
Minute scale: 1.042
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.30

L50.25

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.10

Olivia Miles — 30.17 MIN · 20.45 PTS · 37.92 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	19.88	21.00	21.80	21.33	20.91	20.45
REB	4.65	4.40	4.60	5.67	4.69	4.56
AST	6.15	8.00	6.80	6.67	6.71	6.25
FG3M	1.65	3.00	2.30

Natasha Howard — 25.97 MIN · 12.93 PTS · 30.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.11	12.80	11.60	14.67	13.36	12.93
REB	7.83	8.20	7.60	7.33	7.87	7.58
AST	3.25	3.40	3.60	2.33	3.30	3.05
FG3M	0.08	0.20	0.10

Kayla McBride — 29.69 MIN · 18.74 PTS · 29.71 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.22	21.00	19.90	21.33	19.40	18.74
REB	3.19	1.80	1.80	2.33	2.60	2.50
AST	2.08	1.00	1.50	1.67	1.77	1.63
FG3M	2.92	4.40	4.00

Natisha Hiedeman — 32.23 MIN · 14.82 PTS · 29.00 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.42	9.60	14.30	12.67	14.02	14.82
REB	2.69	2.20	2.70	2.33	2.65	2.84
AST	4.78	6.00	6.00	6.00	5.53	5.76
FG3M	1.89	0.80	1.30

Flau'jae Johnson — 29.12 MIN · 15.00 PTS · 28.79 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.49	11.60	15.70	17.33	14.30	15.00
REB	4.89	3.00	3.70	4.33	4.22	4.49
AST	2.97	3.20	3.30	2.33	3.09	3.19
FG3M	1.20	1.00	1.10

Courtney Williams — 29.32 MIN · 13.02 PTS · 27.41 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.58	10.00	11.90	10.67	12.65	13.02
REB	5.08	4.20	4.10	4.67	4.55	4.65
AST	4.17	3.80	4.20	5.33	4.25	4.16
FG3M	1.17	0.60	0.80

Awa Fam — 26.99 MIN · 10.04 PTS · 24.00 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.61	10.00	9.10	7.67	9.63	10.04
REB	5.81	4.00	6.40	8.33	6.14	6.48
AST	1.90	1.40	1.60	3.00	1.82	1.87
FG3M	1.52	2.00	1.50

Jade Melbourne — 28.07 MIN · 11.21 PTS · 22.55 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.33	13.60	9.90	7.67	9.76	11.21
REB	2.03	2.40	2.00	2.33	2.13	2.39
AST	3.94	4.20	4.20	2.33	3.91	4.35
FG3M	0.72	2.00	1.20

Nia Coffey — 18.47 MIN · 5.29 PTS · 15.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.75	4.20	3.80	5.33	5.47	5.29
REB	4.61	3.00	2.40	3.67	3.74	3.59
AST	1.89	0.60	1.00	3.00	1.67	1.54
FG3M	1.31	1.00	0.80

Jordan Horston — 14.44 MIN · 5.44 PTS · 14.27 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.97	8.40	6.30	6.33	5.78	5.44
REB	3.66	4.60	3.90	4.00	3.93	3.55
AST	1.28	0.60	0.80	1.33	1.09	1.25
FG3M	0.41	1.40	0.80

Dorka Juhasz — 12.56 MIN · 3.37 PTS · 10.56 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.71	1.00	2.50	2.00	3.30	3.37
REB	2.50	0.80	1.70	3.00	2.30	2.23
AST	1.50	0.60	1.10	1.50	1.37	1.45
FG3M	0.79	0.20	0.60

Zia Cooke — 13.40 MIN · 7.56 PTS · 10.47 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.46	8.20	8.20	9.67	8.00	7.56
REB	1.62	1.00	1.10	1.67	1.39	1.27
AST	0.86	0.80	0.50	0.33	0.67	0.67
FG3M	0.78	0.40	0.80

Anastasiia Olairi Kosu — 10.30 MIN · 4.26 PTS · 10.19 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	4.00	3.70	4.00	3.86	4.26
REB	2.19	2.00	1.70	1.50	1.92	2.00
AST	0.70	0.40	0.80	1.00	0.73	0.87
FG3M	0.07	0.20	0.10

Katie Lou Samuelson — 14.21 MIN · 4.81 PTS · 9.99 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.38	3.80	5.30	3.33	4.47	4.81
REB	2.00	0.80	1.90	2.67	1.94	2.00
AST	0.72	0.40	0.40	0.33	0.57	0.64
FG3M	0.83	0.60	0.80

Maya Caldwell — 9.70 MIN · 2.92 PTS · 7.16 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.03	1.40	3.70	6.33	3.94	2.92
REB	2.19	1.20	2.70	3.33	2.46	1.76
AST	1.06	0.60	0.80	1.00	0.92	0.65
FG3M	0.69	0.20	0.60

Stefanie Dolson — 9.97 MIN · 2.33 PTS · 6.72 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.41	1.20	1.90	3.00	2.76	2.33
REB	2.30	1.60	1.70	2.33	2.01	1.62
AST	1.14	0.80	1.00	1.67	1.09	0.97
FG3M	0.51	0.40	0.50

Eliska Joklova — 5.99 MIN · 2.37 PTS · 6.14 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.00	2.20	1.90	0.00	1.74	2.37
REB	1.17	1.60	1.00	0.00	1.05	1.34
AST	1.06	0.80	0.50	0.00	0.79	1.06
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Antonia Delaere — 8.89 MIN · 2.47 PTS · 5.73 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.06	0.40	2.60	0.00	2.46	2.47
REB	0.74	0.40	0.90	1.33	0.85	0.82
AST	1.11	0.20	0.60	1.00	0.91	0.88
FG3M	0.71	0.00	0.60

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

MIN

SEA

Best value plays

MIN

SEA

Per-player detail