WNBA Predictions

Injury impact on predictions17 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
NYL	Rebecca Allen	Teammates out: +8.7 min, 15% usage boost	8.7	1.2	7.6	8.0	+5.1%	3.0	3.2	+4.6%	0.8	1.0	+21.0%	15.5	16.8	+8.7%
NYL	Marine Johannes	Teammates out: +8.6 min, 15% usage boost	8.6	1.2	11.8	12.4	+5.1%	2.1	2.2	+4.3%	2.5	2.9	+13.9%	21.3	22.9	+7.4%
NYL	Rebekah Gardner	Teammates out: +8.6 min, 15% usage boost	8.6	1.2	6.5	6.8	+5.1%	3.4	3.5	+4.4%	1.5	2.0	+27.9%	14.5	16.1	+11.1%
NYL	Pauline Astier	Teammates out: +6.8 min, 12% usage boost	6.8	1.1	10.7	11.3	+5.9%	2.5	2.7	+5.5%	4.2	4.5	+5.5%	21.7	23.0	+5.8%
NYL	Han Xu	Teammates out: +2.9 min, 5% usage boost	2.9	1.1	9.3	9.7	+4.2%	3.9	4.0	+3.9%	0.8	0.8	-1.2%	18.3	18.9	+3.3%
NYL	Raquel Carrera	Teammates out: +2.9 min, 5% usage boost	2.9	1.1	1.6	1.6	+4.4%	1.1	1.2	+3.5%	0.5	0.7	+24.1%	4.0	4.5	+10.4%
NYL	Breanna Stewart	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 3% usage boost	1.8	1.0	22.3	21.6	-3.3%	8.9	8.8	-0.8%	4.2	3.6	-14.0%	44.5	42.1	-5.5%
NYL	Jonquel Jones	Teammates out: +0.5 min, 1% usage boost	0.5	1.0	19.0	17.3	-8.8%	12.8	12.2	-5.0%	4.2	3.5	-17.0%	47.0	42.7	-9.2%
PHX	Jovana Nogic	Teammates out: +5.6 min, 8% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	5.6	1.1	9.6	10.0	+4.0%	1.1	1.1	+0.9%	1.5	1.8	+21.1%	14.4	15.5	+7.6%
PHX	Valeriane Ayayi	Teammates out: +1.7 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.7	1.0	5.2	5.4	+3.9%	2.1	2.1	+0.9%	1.0	1.0	+5.2%	10.4	10.8	+3.8%
PHX	Marta Suarez	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.3	1.0	3.3	3.4	+3.0%	1.2	1.2	0.0%	0.5	0.5	+10.2%	5.8	6.0	+3.8%
PHX	DeWanna Bonner	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.2	1.0	13.3	13.6	+2.2%	6.9	7.0	+1.5%	1.8	1.7	-1.1%	29.6	30.0	+1.2%
PHX	Natasha Mack	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.2	1.0	7.7	8.0	+3.2%	5.7	5.8	+1.6%	1.1	1.1	0.0%	19.3	19.6	+2.0%
PHX	Noemie Brochant	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.2	1.0	6.8	7.0	+3.1%	1.8	1.8	+1.1%	1.7	1.7	0.0%	14.1	14.3	+1.6%
PHX	Kyara Linskens	Teammates out: +0.4 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.4	1.0	3.3	3.3	+0.6%	3.0	3.0	-0.3%	0.9	0.9	-1.1%	11.3	11.3	-0.2%
PHX	Alyssa Thomas	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	16.3	15.7	-3.8%	8.5	8.3	-1.9%	9.1	8.6	-5.0%	42.8	41.1	-4.0%
PHX	Kahleah Copper	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	21.5	20.7	-3.8%	3.4	3.4	-2.0%	2.3	2.2	-4.8%	30.5	29.3	-3.9%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Alyssa Thomas	star	35.8	15.7	8.3	8.6	1.5	0.5	3.9	0.1	32.6	41.1	high	10%	30%
DeWanna Bonner	starter	29.5	13.6	7.0	1.7	1.4	0.9	0.6	1.5	22.3	30.0	medium	30%	10%
Kahleah Copper	star	34.9	20.7	3.4	2.2	0.7	0.1	2.6	1.8	26.2	29.3	high	10%	20%
Natasha Mack	starter	19.6	8.0	5.8	1.1	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.1	14.9	19.6	high	0%	40%
Jovana Nogic	starter	18.5	10.0	1.1	1.8	0.6	0.0	1.4	2.0	12.8	15.5	high	0%	30%
Noemie Brochant	rotation	24.3	7.0	1.8	1.7	1.0	0.2	1.0	1.0	10.5	14.3	low	10%	0%
Kyara Linskens	bench	12.1	3.3	3.0	0.9	0.6	1.0	0.7	0.4	7.1	11.3	low	10%	40%
Valeriane Ayayi	bench	14.1	5.4	2.1	1.0	0.6	0.2	1.2	0.5	8.5	10.8	medium	20%	20%
Marta Suarez	bench	8.3	3.4	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.7	0.3	5.2	6.0	low	10%	30%
Kelsey Plum	star	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.3	0.2	0.0	0.3	medium	0%	0%
Sami Whitcomb	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Lexi Held	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Shay Ciezki	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Jonquel Jones	starter	36.1	17.3	12.2	3.5	0.7	1.1	2.7	2.0	33.0	42.7	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Jonquel Jones — 36.06 MIN · 17.32 PTS · 42.70 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	15.40	14.40	14.00	14.78	17.32
REB	9.43	12.40	10.00	10.00	10.12	12.20
AST	2.86	3.40	3.70	3.67	3.33	3.52
FG3M	1.83	2.00	1.70	1.33	1.79	2.05
FTM	2.89	1.80	2.30	4.00	2.63	3.05
STL	0.69	0.80	0.60	1.00	0.68	0.69
BLK	1.09	1.20	1.10	1.00	1.06	1.15
TOV	2.14	2.00	2.30	1.67	2.14	2.72
MIN	29.40	29.40	28.45	29.69	29.19	36.06

Factors

Games played: 35
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.996
Minute scale: 1.235
Def adj (PTS): 1.011
Opp DefRtg: 108.90 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Breanna Stewart — 37.51 MIN · 21.61 PTS · 42.11 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.69	16.60	19.60	11.33	18.58	21.61
REB	8.17	5.80	7.20	8.33	7.49	8.83
AST	3.20	3.60	3.80	2.67	3.47	3.57
FG3M	0.80	0.60	0.80

Alyssa Thomas — 35.76 MIN · 15.66 PTS · 41.08 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.88	14.00	15.70	13.67	15.12	15.66
REB	7.47	8.20	8.80	5.33	7.95	8.30
AST	8.24	7.20	8.90	8.00	8.47	8.60
FG3M	0.03	0.20	0.10

DeWanna Bonner — 29.51 MIN · 13.64 PTS · 29.99 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.58	12.20	14.70	10.33	12.38	13.64
REB	6.00	7.00	7.30	5.00	6.44	6.96
AST	1.50	1.20	2.00	1.00	1.65	1.74
FG3M	1.22	1.80	1.70

Kahleah Copper — 34.87 MIN · 20.71 PTS · 29.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.51	16.40	20.40	20.00	20.10	20.71
REB	3.60	3.00	3.10	2.33	3.24	3.35
AST	1.91	2.80	2.60	1.00	2.13	2.16
FG3M	1.71	1.40	1.70

Pauline Astier — 25.92 MIN · 11.30 PTS · 22.97 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.39	7.00	8.50	9.67	8.77	11.30
REB	2.39	2.00	1.40	3.33	2.10	2.67
AST	3.50	3.60	3.30	4.00	3.50	4.45
FG3M	0.42	0.00	0.20

Marine Johannes — 22.99 MIN · 12.40 PTS · 22.88 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.30	12.40	9.20	10.67	9.85	12.40
REB	2.18	1.40	1.20	1.67	1.76	2.17
AST	2.48	2.20	1.60	2.33	2.12	2.87
FG3M	2.30	3.20	2.40

Natasha Mack — 19.60 MIN · 7.98 PTS · 19.65 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.29	6.00	6.60	8.33	7.48	7.98
REB	6.71	4.40	3.90	6.00	5.56	5.76
AST	1.29	0.80	0.90	1.00	1.10	1.13
FG3M	0.07	0.00	0.00

Han Xu — 18.50 MIN · 9.74 PTS · 18.88 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.03	7.60	8.20	11.33	7.56	9.74
REB	2.47	3.20	3.50	5.00	3.18	4.03
AST	0.72	0.80	0.60	0.67	0.67	0.81
FG3M	0.83	0.60	1.20

Rebecca Allen — 23.94 MIN · 7.98 PTS · 16.84 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.19	11.00	8.80	2.33	6.14	7.98
REB	2.19	3.40	3.10	1.33	2.47	3.16
AST	0.67	0.80	0.70	0.33	0.66	0.98
FG3M	1.10	2.40	1.90

Rebekah Gardner — 17.42 MIN · 6.79 PTS · 16.08 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.21	5.60	6.10	3.33	5.47	6.79
REB	2.56	3.80	3.60	1.33	2.90	3.53
AST	1.26	1.20	1.50	0.67	1.31	1.97
FG3M	0.26	0.20	0.30

Jovana Nogic — 18.49 MIN · 9.96 PTS · 15.54 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.38	6.80	7.40	8.50	8.94	9.96
REB	1.06	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.01	1.08
AST	1.63	1.80	1.30	0.50	1.39	1.78
FG3M	2.00	1.00	1.40

Noemie Brochant — 24.31 MIN · 6.98 PTS · 14.33 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.89	10.00	6.70	3.33	6.27	6.98
REB	2.06	1.60	1.50	1.00	1.67	1.80
AST	1.77	2.00	1.60	0.67	1.63	1.74
FG3M	1.00	1.40	0.80

Kyara Linskens — 12.13 MIN · 3.28 PTS · 11.30 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.06	1.40	2.40	3.50	2.76	3.28
REB	2.44	2.60	2.50	3.00	2.57	2.99
AST	0.67	1.40	0.70	1.00	0.74	0.86
FG3M	0.39	0.20	0.30

Valeriane Ayayi — 14.05 MIN · 5.36 PTS · 10.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.57	3.00	4.90	2.67	5.36	5.36
REB	2.77	1.80	2.30	0.67	2.25	2.15
AST	1.20	0.40	0.80	1.00	1.01	1.02
FG3M	0.60	0.20	0.40

Marta Suarez — 8.27 MIN · 3.42 PTS · 6.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.21	1.60	3.30	0.00	3.13	3.42
REB	1.21	1.00	1.10	0.00	1.16	1.21
AST	0.43	0.60	0.50	0.00	0.46	0.54
FG3M	0.29	0.00	0.20

Raquel Carrera — 6.34 MIN · 1.65 PTS · 4.45 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.63	0.80	1.00	0.00	1.27	1.65
REB	1.11	1.20	0.70	0.50	0.94	1.19
AST	0.37	0.80	0.50	0.50	0.44	0.67
FG3M	0.11	0.00	0.10

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

PHX

NYL

Best value plays

PHX

NYL

Per-player detail