Predictions

Fri, May 29, 2026

Data current — through Aug 16

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Los Angeles SparksAway

85.8

Record: 12-22 | 12th in standingsL10 Record: 2-8

Washington MysticsHome

84.3

Record: 20-14 | 7th in standingsL10 Record: 8-2

Total

170.1

📺 ION

Game lines unavailable: No event for LAS @ WAS

Injury report

1 Out applied to these projections.

LAS

Sania Feagin

Injury impact on predictions3 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
LAS	Chance Gray	Teammates out: +1.7 min, 0% usage boost	1.7	1.0	4.0	4.3	+6.2%	1.7	1.7	+1.2%	1.4	1.5	+10.8%	8.7	9.3	+6.8%
LAS	Jihyun Park	Teammates out: +1.7 min, 0% usage boost	1.7	1.0	3.5	3.7	+6.1%	1.0	1.0	+1.0%	0.7	0.8	+12.3%	7.1	7.7	+8.5%
LAS	Cameron Brink	Teammates out: +0.4 min, 0% usage boost	0.4	1.0	11.4	11.6	+1.4%	6.7	6.8	+1.6%	1.8	1.8	-2.7%	27.6	27.9	+1.0%

Best value plays

Market lines vs model projections · not betting advice

No value plays for this matchup.

No prop lines available for this slate.

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Nneka Ogwumike	star	34.6	18.5	9.7	3.7	1.6	0.4	2.5	1.6	31.9	39.8	high	0%	30%
Dearica Hamby	star	34.0	18.1	7.9	3.3	2.0	0.4	2.2	0.3	29.4	36.9	high	10%	30%
Rae Burrell	starter	34.4	18.0	2.9	3.0	1.0	0.5	2.7	2.2	23.9	29.0	medium	10%	20%
Cameron Brink	rotation	22.6	11.6	6.8	1.8	0.6	2.3	2.7	1.1	20.1	27.9	high	0%	60%
Erica Wheeler	starter	32.6	11.9	2.7	6.4	1.2	0.0	2.1	1.8	20.9	27.0	medium	10%	40%
Ariel Atkins	starter	30.9	8.6	3.2	3.4	1.9	0.4	1.6	1.5	15.2	22.1	medium	20%	20%
Chance Gray	bench	13.8	4.3	1.7	1.5	0.2	0.0	0.9	1.1	7.5	9.3	low	0%	30%
Jihyun Park	deep	11.6	3.7	1.0	0.8	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.5	5.5	7.7	low	10%	0%
Monique Akoa Makani	rotation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	low	0%	0%
Tonie Morgan	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Alissa Pili	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Emma Cannon	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Kate Martin	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Shakira Austin	starter	28.6	19.5	9.7	2.3	0.6	1.2	2.8	0.5	31.5	37.5	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Nneka Ogwumike — 34.60 MIN · 18.52 PTS · 39.78 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.85	15.00	15.80	17.50	16.00	18.52
REB	8.79	8.20	8.50	9.00	8.48	9.73
AST	3.09	3.60	3.60	2.50	3.36	3.69
FG3M	1.45	1.20	1.30	1.50	1.36	1.56
FTM	2.30	1.80	1.90	2.00	2.01	2.28
STL	1.18	1.40	1.40	2.50	1.44	1.62
BLK	0.39	0.20	0.30	0.50	0.36	0.40
TOV	1.85	3.20	2.80	1.50	2.20	2.51
MIN	31.28	30.97	30.62	31.16	30.98	34.60

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.117
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Shakira Austin — 28.57 MIN · 19.50 PTS · 37.50 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.73	21.20	21.80	21.00	19.74	19.50
REB	9.58	9.80	9.90	10.50	9.89	9.65
AST	2.52	2.20	2.30	2.50	2.39	2.34
FG3M	0.52	0.60	0.60

Dearica Hamby — 34.04 MIN · 18.14 PTS · 36.93 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.15	14.80	16.50	12.50	15.43	18.14
REB	7.32	5.40	6.80	7.00	6.79	7.91
AST	2.50	2.20	3.10	6.00	2.99	3.33
FG3M	0.26	0.20	0.20

Sonia Citron — 31.20 MIN · 17.47 PTS · 32.81 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.26	18.00	17.70	21.00	17.95	17.47
REB	3.90	4.60	3.90	3.50	4.03	3.87
AST	4.03	5.40	5.30	8.00	5.01	4.83
FG3M	1.32	2.60	1.70

Kiki Iriafen — 26.54 MIN · 14.76 PTS · 30.09 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.81	13.20	15.40	16.00	15.03	14.76
REB	9.06	8.80	9.10	8.50	9.05	8.77
AST	1.71	2.20	2.10	2.00	1.95	1.90
FG3M	0.35	0.20	0.30

Rae Burrell — 34.43 MIN · 18.03 PTS · 28.97 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.12	18.60	17.10	12.00	15.74	18.03
REB	2.38	2.80	2.60	2.50	2.52	2.85
AST	2.47	3.00	3.20	2.00	2.80	3.05
FG3M	1.65	2.40	2.40

Cameron Brink — 22.57 MIN · 11.59 PTS · 27.88 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.08	9.20	8.80	16.00	9.12	11.59
REB	4.92	6.60	6.00	2.00	5.39	6.79
AST	1.28	1.80	1.70	1.00	1.46	1.77
FG3M	0.84	0.60	0.90

Erica Wheeler — 32.61 MIN · 11.92 PTS · 27.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.24	9.20	10.30	13.50	9.84	11.92
REB	2.03	3.00	2.30	2.00	2.21	2.66
AST	5.32	5.20	6.20	5.00	5.54	6.37
FG3M	1.26	1.60	1.60

Ariel Atkins — 30.87 MIN · 8.59 PTS · 22.15 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.78	5.00	8.50	4.50	7.80	8.59
REB	2.94	3.20	3.10	2.00	2.92	3.18
AST	2.94	3.40	3.70	2.50	3.24	3.39
FG3M	1.28	1.00	1.70

Lauren Betts — 16.71 MIN · 6.09 PTS · 16.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.38	5.40	6.10	5.00	6.10	6.09
REB	4.32	6.40	5.90	3.00	5.02	4.95
AST	0.94	1.20	1.10	0.50	1.02	1.01
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Michaela Onyenwere — 22.84 MIN · 7.25 PTS · 14.72 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.90	4.40	6.60	3.00	7.40	7.25
REB	3.07	2.80	2.80	2.00	2.88	2.78
AST	1.73	1.60	1.90	2.50	1.90	1.85
FG3M	1.33	0.80	1.30

Cotie McMahon — 16.93 MIN · 6.47 PTS · 14.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.75	8.20	8.20	6.00	7.54	6.47
REB	3.16	3.80	3.80	4.50	3.69	3.13
AST	1.97	1.40	1.90	1.00	1.86	1.58
FG3M	0.56	0.40	0.30

Georgia Amoore — 20.08 MIN · 4.61 PTS · 10.72 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.59	0.60	4.40	0.50	4.62	4.61
REB	1.15	0.60	0.90	0.50	0.98	0.96
AST	3.44	2.40	3.30	2.00	3.16	3.14
FG3M	1.09	0.20	1.20

Chance Gray — 13.84 MIN · 4.29 PTS · 9.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.77	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.94	4.29
REB	1.19	1.60	1.10	2.00	1.22	1.68
AST	0.94	0.80	1.30	0.00	1.02	1.54
FG3M	0.61	0.60	0.90

Jihyun Park — 11.63 MIN · 3.68 PTS · 7.69 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.45	1.60	3.30	0.00	2.59	3.68
REB	1.00	0.20	0.50	0.00	0.74	0.99
AST	0.52	0.40	0.70	0.00	0.55	0.82
FG3M	0.31	0.40	0.60

Angela Dugalic — 8.19 MIN · 2.41 PTS · 7.12 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.21	1.00	0.70	6.00	2.48	2.41
REB	2.76	1.60	1.50	5.00	2.37	2.28
AST	0.72	0.80	0.40	1.00	0.62	0.59
FG3M	0.14	0.20	0.10

Cassandre Prosper — 9.19 MIN · 2.46 PTS · 5.54 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.43	3.40	2.10	4.50	2.46	2.46
REB	1.20	1.20	0.90	0.00	0.98	0.96
AST	0.50	0.80	0.50	1.00	0.58	0.58
FG3M	0.23	0.20	0.10

Rori Harmon — 7.73 MIN · 1.22 PTS · 4.92 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.00	0.40	1.00	0.00	0.99	1.22
REB	0.80	0.00	0.80	0.00	0.78	0.95
AST	1.10	0.40	1.10	0.00	1.08	1.32
FG3M	0.10	0.00	0.10

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.946
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.135
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.932
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.940
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.106
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 25
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.201
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.169
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.062
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.956
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 30
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.938
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.821
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.956
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.319
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.280
Def adj (PTS): 0.954
Opp DefRtg: 102.80 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.930
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 30
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 0.956
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 10
h2h sample: 0 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.999
Minute scale: 1.183
Def adj (PTS): 1.042
Opp DefRtg: 112.30 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.53

L50.16

L100.21

h2h0.00

def0.10