Predictions

Sun, Jun 7, 2026

2 days behind — through Aug 15

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Chicago SkyAway

93.6

Record: 12-22 | 11th in standingsL10 Record: 4-6📺 The U, WCIU

Toronto TempoHome

93.4

Record: 10-23 | 13th in standingsL10 Record: 0-10📺 TSN

Total

187.0

Game lines unavailable: No event for CHI @ TOR

Injury report

6 Out applied to these projections.

CHI

DiJonai Carrington

Injury impact on predictions17 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
CHI	Rachel Banham	Teammates out: +10.0 min, 9% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	10.0	1.1	5.4	5.6	+4.8%	1.3	1.4	+2.3%	1.4	2.2	+55.3%	10.5	12.5	+19.5%
CHI	Sydney Taylor	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	20.7	21.9	+5.8%	2.1	2.2	+2.8%	2.3	2.8	+21.0%	29.8	32.2	+8.2%
CHI	Jacy Sheldon	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	6.7	7.0	+5.7%	1.2	1.2	+3.4%	1.4	1.6	+20.0%	12.3	13.5	+9.6%
CHI	Gabriela Jaquez	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	5.8	6.1	+5.7%	2.5	2.5	+3.2%	0.8	1.0	+22.2%	11.3	12.3	+8.5%
CHI	Azura Stevens	Teammates out: +2.8 min, 3% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.8	1.0	11.3	11.8	+4.2%	6.8	7.1	+4.1%	2.2	2.1	-2.3%	25.6	26.2	+2.4%
CHI	Elizabeth Williams	Teammates out: +2.2 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.2	1.0	5.9	6.2	+5.1%	3.7	3.8	+3.2%	1.7	1.7	-1.7%	15.3	15.6	+1.8%
CHI	Kamilla Cardoso	Teammates out: +0.9 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.9	1.0	14.8	14.1	-4.9%	8.6	8.4	-2.8%	2.4	2.1	-9.7%	31.8	30.0	-5.5%
CHI	Skylar Diggins	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	14.2	13.0	-8.6%	2.8	2.6	-6.1%	5.2	4.6	-12.6%	28.1	25.2	-10.3%
CHI	Natasha Cloud	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	11.4	10.4	-8.7%	3.2	3.0	-6.2%	6.0	5.3	-12.6%	26.7	23.9	-10.7%
TOR	Nyara Sabally	Teammates out: +4.2 min, 14% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	4.2	1.1	16.4	17.3	+5.9%	6.8	7.0	+2.3%	1.9	2.1	+10.5%	31.8	33.6	+5.8%
TOR	Laura Juskaite	Teammates out: +4.2 min, 14% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	4.2	1.1	14.4	15.2	+5.9%	5.3	5.5	+2.2%	1.8	2.0	+10.5%	26.3	27.9	+5.9%
TOR	Maria Conde	Teammates out: +4.2 min, 14% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	4.2	1.1	11.4	12.1	+5.9%	5.7	5.8	+2.3%	3.3	3.5	+8.6%	25.1	26.5	+5.6%
TOR	Kia Nurse	Teammates out: +2.4 min, 8% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.4	1.1	6.8	7.1	+4.1%	1.3	1.3	0.0%	1.4	1.6	+12.3%	11.5	12.1	+5.4%
TOR	Teonni Key	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 6% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.8	1.1	1.7	1.8	+4.1%	1.6	1.6	+0.6%	0.3	0.3	+17.2%	5.7	6.1	+6.3%
TOR	Marina Mabrey	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	24.5	23.2	-5.2%	3.8	3.6	-3.7%	4.8	4.5	-6.0%	39.1	36.9	-5.7%
TOR	Brittney Sykes	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	22.6	21.5	-5.2%	4.5	4.3	-3.6%	3.6	3.4	-6.1%	36.6	34.6	-5.6%
TOR	Julie Allemand	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	7.3	6.9	-5.2%	3.4	3.3	-3.5%	6.3	5.9	-6.1%	24.7	23.2	-6.0%

Best value plays

Market lines vs model projections · not betting advice

No value plays for this matchup.

No prop lines available for this slate.

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Sydney Taylor	bench	26.1	21.9	2.2	2.8	0.9	0.4	1.6	3.1	26.9	32.2	medium	20%	20%
Kamilla Cardoso	starter	24.3	14.1	8.4	2.1	0.5	1.1	1.7	0.0	24.6	30.0	high	20%	10%
Azura Stevens	rotation	23.6	11.8	7.1	2.1	0.8	0.5	1.8	0.9	21.1	26.2	medium	30%	10%
Skylar Diggins	starter	28.1	13.0	2.6	4.6	0.7	0.4	1.8	1.4	20.2	25.2	medium	10%	30%
Natasha Cloud	starter	28.7	10.4	3.0	5.3	0.9	0.2	2.0	1.0	18.7	23.9	high	30%	20%
Elizabeth Williams	rotation	18.2	6.2	3.8	1.7	0.6	0.7	1.1	0.0	11.7	15.6	low	20%	20%
Jacy Sheldon	starter	18.7	7.0	1.2	1.6	1.0	0.2	0.8	1.0	9.9	13.5	low	20%	20%
Rachel Banham	rotation	12.1	5.6	1.4	2.2	0.5	0.4	0.8	1.3	9.2	12.5	low	20%	0%
Gabriela Jaquez	starter	15.5	6.1	2.5	1.0	0.8	0.1	0.9	0.6	9.7	12.3	medium	0%	50%
Courtney Vandersloot	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	n/a	0%	0%
DiJonai Carrington	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Maddy Westbeld	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%
Aicha Coulibaly	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Marina Mabrey	starter	34.4	23.3	3.6	4.5	0.9	0.4	3.6	3.3	31.4	36.9	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Marina Mabrey — 34.43 MIN · 23.25 PTS · 36.93 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.81	19.20	19.90	16.50	20.19	23.25
REB	3.35	2.40	2.90	4.00	3.13	3.61
AST	3.71	3.60	4.00	6.50	4.00	4.54
FG3M	3.23	3.00	2.70	2.00	2.89	3.31
FTM	3.97	3.40	4.60	2.50	4.22	4.80
STL	0.90	0.20	0.60	1.50	0.82	0.89
BLK	0.35	0.20	0.30	0.50	0.34	0.36
TOV	3.10	2.40	3.30	2.50	3.02	3.60
MIN	29.54	29.82	30.80	29.02	30.12	34.43

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.143
Def adj (PTS): 1.004
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Brittney Sykes — 35.21 MIN · 21.47 PTS · 34.57 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.07	21.00	17.30	22.50	18.92	21.47
REB	3.80	3.40	3.40	6.50	3.77	4.30
AST	3.47	2.80	2.80	2.50	3.04	3.39
FG3M	1.07	1.00	0.70

Nyara Sabally — 26.96 MIN · 17.33 PTS · 33.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.29	15.00	12.90	22.00	13.32	17.33
REB	5.25	7.60	5.30	6.00	5.62	6.98
AST	1.71	1.80	1.40	1.50	1.56	2.11
FG3M	0.83	1.60	1.20

Sydney Taylor — 26.12 MIN · 21.88 PTS · 32.23 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	21.20	19.30	13.50	16.88	21.88
REB	1.57	2.40	2.10	1.00	1.78	2.21
AST	1.68	3.20	2.30	1.00	1.92	2.82
FG3M	2.11	3.40	2.90

Kamilla Cardoso — 24.32 MIN · 14.10 PTS · 30.04 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.55	16.00	15.20	5.50	14.61	14.10
REB	8.61	9.60	8.60	6.50	8.59	8.37
AST	2.45	2.20	2.40	2.50	2.35	2.14
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Laura Juskaite — 32.41 MIN · 15.21 PTS · 27.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.06	11.20	11.40	8.50	10.79	15.21
REB	3.91	4.20	4.10	3.00	4.07	5.47
AST	1.58	1.20	1.20	1.50	1.37	2.00
FG3M	1.00	0.60	0.90

Maria Conde — 31.87 MIN · 12.05 PTS · 26.50 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.00	10.50	8.50	9.53	12.05
REB	4.66	4.00	4.80	5.00	4.78	5.78
AST	2.56	3.20	3.10	1.00	2.75	3.54
FG3M	1.66	1.20	1.70

Azura Stevens — 23.62 MIN · 11.82 PTS · 26.16 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.04	9.60	11.70	14.00	11.32	11.82
REB	6.68	6.40	7.70	5.00	6.90	7.11
AST	2.32	1.40	2.30	1.50	2.20	2.13
FG3M	0.92	0.60	1.10

Skylar Diggins — 28.05 MIN · 12.99 PTS · 25.23 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.16	10.80	13.20	15.00	13.76	12.99
REB	3.16	2.80	2.40	1.50	2.71	2.60
AST	4.89	5.60	4.90	6.00	5.10	4.57
FG3M	1.37	1.20	1.60

Natasha Cloud — 28.69 MIN · 10.37 PTS · 23.85 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.24	12.20	11.40	12.00	11.11	10.37
REB	3.21	3.60	3.00	4.50	3.21	3.04
AST	5.03	7.40	6.60	6.00	5.96	5.28
FG3M	1.03	0.80	1.10

Julie Allemand — 29.70 MIN · 6.88 PTS · 23.22 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.62	6.40	7.30	4.00	6.82	6.88
REB	3.12	2.60	3.30	6.00	3.26	3.31
AST	5.73	6.80	6.30	3.00	5.95	5.90
FG3M	1.27	1.60	1.70

Elizabeth Williams — 18.18 MIN · 6.18 PTS · 15.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.24	4.20	5.60	7.50	5.33	6.18
REB	3.68	3.00	2.80	6.00	3.40	3.83
AST	1.50	2.00	1.30	2.50	1.57	1.69
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Jacy Sheldon — 18.68 MIN · 7.05 PTS · 13.48 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.85	8.60	7.20	7.00	7.22	7.05
REB	1.29	1.00	1.30	1.50	1.29	1.21
AST	1.65	1.60	1.40	1.00	1.47	1.62
FG3M	0.91	1.60	1.00

Rachel Banham — 12.09 MIN · 5.63 PTS · 12.50 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.70	8.80	5.50	1.50	5.10	5.63
REB	1.10	2.00	1.30	1.50	1.27	1.35
AST	1.13	1.40	1.60	1.00	1.35	2.19
FG3M	1.07	2.00	1.20

Gabriela Jaquez — 15.46 MIN · 6.14 PTS · 12.32 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.07	3.00	3.60	11.00	5.90	6.14
REB	3.10	1.00	1.70	3.00	2.54	2.55
AST	0.93	0.60	0.70	1.00	0.82	0.99
FG3M	0.53	0.40	0.50

Kia Nurse — 16.99 MIN · 7.09 PTS · 12.13 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.78	5.40	4.70	1.00	4.75	7.09
REB	1.00	0.80	0.80	1.00	0.90	1.28
AST	0.84	1.20	1.30	0.00	0.97	1.55
FG3M	0.91	1.20	0.90

Teonni Key — 8.32 MIN · 1.77 PTS · 6.09 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.55	0.80	1.10	2.00	1.39	1.77
REB	1.48	1.00	0.70	2.50	1.29	1.57
AST	0.34	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.24	0.34
FG3M	0.10	0.00	0.00

Factors

Games played: 15
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.126
Def adj (PTS): 1.004
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 24
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.155
Def adj (PTS): 1.004
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 28
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.153
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.954
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.252
Def adj (PTS): 1.004
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.124
Def adj (PTS): 1.004
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 25
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.942
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 19
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.972
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.962
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 26
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.001
Def adj (PTS): 1.004
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.039
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.869
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 30
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.990
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 30
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.925
Def adj (PTS): 1.071
Opp DefRtg: 115.50 vs league 107.90
Injury status: Available

Component weights

season0.21

L50.32

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.16

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.350
Def adj (PTS): 1.004
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 1.156
Def adj (PTS): 1.004
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10