Predictions

Sat, Jun 20, 2026

Data current — through Aug 16

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Chicago SkyAway

88.9

Record: 13-22 | 10th in standingsL10 Record: 4-6

Dallas WingsHome

91.1

Record: 20-15 | 8th in standingsL10 Record: 3-7

Total

180.0

📺 CBS, Paramount+

Game lines unavailable: No event for CHI @ DAL

Injury report

5 Out applied to these projections.

CHI

DiJonai Carrington

Injury impact on predictions17 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
CHI	Rachel Banham	Teammates out: +10.0 min, 9% usage boost	10.0	1.1	6.4	6.7	+3.9%	1.5	1.5	+1.3%	1.6	2.4	+54.8%	12.3	14.6	+18.4%
CHI	Sydney Taylor	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost	8.0	1.1	20.0	21.0	+4.9%	2.1	2.1	+1.9%	2.2	2.7	+20.9%	28.6	30.8	+7.5%
CHI	Jacy Sheldon	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost	8.0	1.1	5.7	5.9	+4.8%	1.0	1.1	+1.9%	1.2	1.5	+20.0%	10.9	11.9	+9.3%
CHI	Gabriela Jaquez	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost	8.0	1.1	5.1	5.3	+4.9%	2.4	2.5	+2.5%	0.7	0.8	+23.5%	10.2	11.0	+7.9%
CHI	Azura Stevens	Teammates out: +2.9 min, 3% usage boost	2.9	1.0	11.6	12.2	+5.8%	7.7	7.9	+3.1%	2.6	2.5	-2.7%	28.1	28.8	+2.6%
CHI	Elizabeth Williams	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 1% usage boost	1.4	1.0	5.4	5.5	+1.3%	3.3	3.3	+2.1%	1.5	1.4	-6.0%	13.6	13.5	-1.0%
CHI	Kamilla Cardoso	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 1% usage boost	1.0	1.0	16.6	16.1	-3.1%	9.2	9.1	-1.3%	2.4	2.2	-9.2%	34.7	33.3	-4.0%
DAL	Aziaha James	Teammates out: +3.9 min, 4% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.9	1.0	6.7	7.0	+4.5%	2.9	2.9	+0.7%	1.1	1.4	+18.3%	13.8	14.8	+7.6%
DAL	Costanza Verona	Teammates out: +3.9 min, 4% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.9	1.0	3.9	4.1	+4.4%	0.0	0.0	0.0%	1.9	2.9	+48.7%	6.8	8.4	+23.4%
DAL	Sug Sutton	Teammates out: +3.9 min, 4% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.9	1.0	2.9	3.0	+4.5%	0.8	0.8	0.0%	2.0	2.4	+20.9%	7.3	8.2	+12.8%
DAL	Maddy Siegrist	Teammates out: +3.5 min, 3% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.5	1.0	5.5	5.7	+4.4%	2.3	2.3	+0.9%	0.8	0.9	+10.6%	11.3	11.8	+5.2%
DAL	Awak Kuier	Teammates out: +3.4 min, 3% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.4	1.0	6.6	7.0	+5.3%	3.6	3.6	+1.7%	1.1	1.1	+7.5%	16.3	17.0	+4.7%
DAL	Alanna Smith	Teammates out: +3.4 min, 3% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.4	1.0	5.5	5.8	+5.5%	3.7	3.8	+1.9%	0.8	0.8	+6.3%	13.3	13.9	+4.7%
DAL	Jessica Shepard	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	13.3	13.0	-2.4%	10.2	10.1	-0.9%	4.9	4.3	-11.4%	35.4	34.0	-3.9%
DAL	Paige Bueckers	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	19.9	19.4	-2.4%	4.0	4.0	-1.0%	5.4	4.8	-11.3%	35.3	33.6	-4.8%
DAL	Arike Ogunbowale	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	16.1	15.7	-2.4%	3.3	3.2	-0.9%	3.3	2.9	-11.5%	27.1	25.9	-4.4%
DAL	Azzi Fudd	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	13.6	13.3	-2.4%	1.8	1.7	-1.1%	2.0	1.8	-11.5%	24.6	23.3	-5.1%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Kamilla Cardoso	starter	25.7	16.1	9.1	2.2	0.6	1.2	1.8	0.0	27.3	33.3	high	20%	20%
Sydney Taylor	bench	25.8	21.0	2.1	2.7	0.9	0.3	1.6	2.9	25.8	30.8	medium	20%	20%
Azura Stevens	rotation	27.1	12.3	7.9	2.5	1.0	0.7	2.0	1.1	22.7	28.8	medium	30%	20%
Skylar Diggins	star	28.1	12.9	2.6	4.4	0.8	0.4	1.9	1.4	19.9	24.9	medium	10%	30%
Natasha Cloud	starter	29.1	11.3	3.5	4.8	1.0	0.2	2.2	0.9	19.6	24.8	medium	20%	20%
Rachel Banham	bench	13.6	6.7	1.5	2.4	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.4	10.7	14.6	low	10%	30%
Elizabeth Williams	rotation	16.7	5.5	3.3	1.4	0.5	0.7	1.0	0.0	10.2	13.5	low	20%	20%
Jacy Sheldon	starter	18.3	5.9	1.1	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.8	0.9	8.5	11.9	medium	10%	0%
Gabriela Jaquez	starter	14.5	5.3	2.5	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.8	0.4	8.7	11.0	medium	10%	40%
Courtney Vandersloot	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	n/a	0%	0%
DiJonai Carrington	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Aicha Coulibaly	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%
Maddy Westbeld	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Jessica Shepard	star	28.4	13.0	10.1	4.3	0.5	0.1	1.6	0.0	27.4	34.0	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Jessica Shepard — 28.39 MIN · 12.97 PTS · 34.03 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.21	10.20	12.80	19.33	13.52	12.97
REB	11.36	7.40	10.60	9.33	10.48	10.09
AST	5.18	3.80	5.10	6.67	5.03	4.35
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
FTM	2.45	1.00	1.80	4.67	2.40	2.31
STL	0.70	0.60	0.60	0.33	0.60	0.53
BLK	0.06	0.40	0.20	0.00	0.10	0.08
TOV	1.85	0.80	1.60	2.00	1.69	1.60
MIN	32.20	24.56	30.82	33.27	30.46	28.39

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.010
Minute scale: 0.932
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Paige Bueckers — 30.71 MIN · 19.40 PTS · 33.57 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.45	21.60	19.90	21.67	20.55	19.40
REB	4.12	3.80	3.90	5.33	4.20	3.97
AST	5.85	5.40	4.90	7.67	5.60	4.77
FG3M	1.76	1.80	1.80

Kamilla Cardoso — 25.66 MIN · 16.10 PTS · 33.27 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.76	17.20	16.10	20.67	16.35	16.10
REB	8.71	9.40	8.70	11.00	9.15	9.07
AST	2.44	1.60	2.30	3.33	2.36	2.16
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Sydney Taylor — 25.80 MIN · 21.01 PTS · 30.75 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	21.20	19.30	19.00	17.15	21.01
REB	1.57	2.40	2.10	1.50	1.81	2.13
AST	1.68	3.20	2.30	1.00	1.90	2.66
FG3M	2.11	3.40	2.90

Azura Stevens — 27.05 MIN · 12.25 PTS · 28.81 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.73	6.20	11.10	13.00	10.55	12.25
REB	6.62	5.60	7.20	12.00	7.09	7.93
AST	2.35	1.80	2.40	3.50	2.40	2.54
FG3M	0.88	0.20	1.00

Arike Ogunbowale — 28.76 MIN · 15.69 PTS · 25.90 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.80	13.20	17.80	17.33	16.26	15.69
REB	3.14	3.00	3.60	2.67	3.36	3.25
AST	3.09	3.20	4.00	2.33	3.37	2.92
FG3M	1.71	0.80	1.50

Skylar Diggins — 28.13 MIN · 12.89 PTS · 24.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.16	10.80	13.20	14.50	13.62	12.89
REB	3.16	2.80	2.40	1.00	2.67	2.56
AST	4.89	5.60	4.90	5.00	4.98	4.41
FG3M	1.37	1.20	1.60

Natasha Cloud — 29.09 MIN · 11.30 PTS · 24.83 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.53	13.60	11.90	15.33	12.03	11.30
REB	3.35	4.20	3.20	5.33	3.67	3.49
AST	4.97	6.60	6.00	4.67	5.52	4.85
FG3M	1.03	0.80	0.90

Azzi Fudd — 33.17 MIN · 13.28 PTS · 23.31 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.10	12.00	12.70	13.67	12.78	13.28
REB	1.73	1.40	1.50	2.00	1.66	1.73
AST	1.83	1.60	2.00	2.00	1.90	1.77
FG3M	2.07	2.40	2.40

Awak Kuier — 17.77 MIN · 6.97 PTS · 17.03 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.63	7.00	5.90	1.00	5.51	6.97
REB	3.09	3.60	3.00	1.00	3.03	3.65
AST	0.94	1.20	0.90	0.00	0.90	1.15
FG3M	0.59	0.80	0.40

Aziaha James — 11.88 MIN · 7.04 PTS · 14.80 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.06	8.60	5.40	2.67	5.73	7.04
REB	2.41	3.00	2.20	2.33	2.46	2.88
AST	1.21	1.20	0.90	0.33	0.98	1.36
FG3M	0.35	0.40	0.20

Rachel Banham — 13.62 MIN · 6.69 PTS · 14.55 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.71	9.80	5.40	6.50	5.38	6.69
REB	1.19	2.60	1.50	0.00	1.29	1.54
AST	1.13	1.60	1.60	1.00	1.33	2.43
FG3M	1.06	2.20	1.10

Alanna Smith — 14.61 MIN · 5.79 PTS · 13.91 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.70	12.80	8.80	4.00	6.66	5.79
REB	4.00	8.60	5.70	2.33	4.55	3.77
AST	1.07	1.40	0.90	0.00	0.96	0.84
FG3M	0.59	1.40	1.00

Elizabeth Williams — 16.73 MIN · 5.48 PTS · 13.51 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.20	4.00	5.60	5.00	5.06	5.48
REB	3.57	1.80	2.70	3.00	3.09	3.33
AST	1.49	1.80	1.40	0.67	1.40	1.40
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Jacy Sheldon — 18.34 MIN · 5.94 PTS · 11.90 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.74	8.00	6.10	2.67	6.07	5.94
REB	1.29	1.00	1.10	0.67	1.12	1.06
AST	1.63	1.60	1.30	0.67	1.35	1.50
FG3M	0.91	1.80	1.00

Maddy Siegrist — 11.03 MIN · 5.73 PTS · 11.84 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.09	5.20	6.50	4.67	6.07	5.73
REB	2.69	2.80	2.60	1.33	2.55	2.30
AST	0.84	1.40	1.20	0.33	0.94	0.94
FG3M	0.78	0.60	1.00

Gabriela Jaquez — 14.53 MIN · 5.35 PTS · 11.01 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.84	1.20	2.80	8.67	5.60	5.35
REB	3.10	1.40	1.60	4.67	2.70	2.49
AST	0.90	0.40	0.50	1.00	0.76	0.84
FG3M	0.52	0.20	0.30

Costanza Verona — 5.35 MIN · 4.07 PTS · 8.38 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	4.00	4.00	0.00	4.00	4.07
REB	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
AST	2.00	2.00	2.00	0.00	2.00	2.87
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Sug Sutton — 9.09 MIN · 3.02 PTS · 8.21 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.55	1.40	1.50	2.00	2.73	3.02
REB	0.85	1.00	0.70	0.00	0.72	0.75
AST	2.20	1.40	1.70	1.00	1.87	2.37
FG3M	0.30	0.20	0.10

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

CHI

DAL

Best value plays

CHI

DAL

Per-player detail