Predictions

Fri, Jun 19, 2026

Data current — through Aug 16

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Minnesota LynxAway

84.9

Record: 29-7 | 1st in standingsL10 Record: 9-1

Golden State ValkyriesHome

84.7

Record: 24-9 | 2nd in standingsL10 Record: 8-2

Total

169.5

📺 ION

Game lines unavailable: No event for MIN @ GSV

Injury report

4 Out applied to these projections.

MIN

Emma Cechova

Injury impact on predictions18 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
GSV	Cecilia Zandalasini	Teammates out: +2.5 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.5	1.0	9.2	9.7	+5.2%	2.2	2.2	+1.8%	1.8	1.9	+7.9%	17.1	18.1	+6.0%
GSV	Kaitlyn Chen	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.6	1.0	6.3	6.5	+4.2%	0.9	0.9	0.0%	2.4	2.5	+5.4%	11.2	11.7	+4.7%
GSV	Tiffany Hayes	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.3	1.0	9.8	10.3	+5.2%	2.0	2.0	+2.0%	2.9	3.0	+2.7%	18.3	19.1	+4.4%
GSV	Kaila Charles	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.3	1.0	6.3	6.5	+3.8%	3.9	4.0	+1.8%	1.4	1.4	+1.4%	15.7	16.2	+2.9%
GSV	Veronica Burton	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	13.6	13.3	-2.6%	3.9	3.9	-0.8%	6.3	6.0	-4.9%	32.1	31.0	-3.2%
GSV	Gabby Williams	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	14.2	13.8	-2.6%	3.3	3.3	-0.6%	2.2	2.1	-5.0%	25.4	24.7	-2.8%
GSV	Janelle Salaun	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	15.2	14.8	-2.6%	3.8	3.8	-0.8%	1.2	1.2	-4.9%	24.8	24.2	-2.4%
GSV	Kayla Thornton	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	9.5	9.3	-2.5%	5.2	5.2	-0.8%	0.9	0.9	-5.3%	19.6	19.2	-2.2%
GSV	Kiah Stokes	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	4.6	4.4	-2.6%	5.8	5.8	-0.7%	1.2	1.2	-4.8%	18.0	17.7	-2.0%
MIN	Natasha Howard	Teammates out: +5.2 min, 12% usage boost	5.2	1.1	13.8	14.2	+2.8%	8.3	8.4	+1.2%	3.5	3.7	+7.2%	33.1	34.2	+3.4%
MIN	Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	Teammates out: +3.6 min, 8% usage boost	3.6	1.1	5.2	5.2	0.0%	2.7	2.7	-1.5%	0.8	1.0	+21.4%	12.1	12.7	+5.7%
MIN	Nia Coffey	Teammates out: +2.9 min, 7% usage boost	2.9	1.1	6.0	6.2	+2.0%	3.9	3.9	+0.3%	1.7	1.7	+2.4%	16.9	17.1	+1.2%
MIN	Kayla McBride	Teammates out: +1.7 min, 4% usage boost	1.7	1.0	18.3	18.1	-0.8%	2.7	2.7	0.0%	1.7	1.6	-4.1%	29.4	28.9	-1.7%
MIN	Olivia Miles	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 4% usage boost	1.6	1.0	21.1	20.9	-1.1%	4.6	4.6	0.0%	6.7	6.4	-4.2%	39.9	39.0	-2.3%
MIN	Courtney Williams	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 4% usage boost	1.6	1.0	13.2	13.0	-1.1%	4.8	4.8	0.0%	4.0	3.9	-4.2%	27.4	26.9	-2.0%
MIN	Maya Caldwell	Teammates out: +1.1 min, 2% usage boost	1.1	1.0	4.1	4.1	+0.2%	2.6	2.6	-1.1%	1.0	1.0	-1.0%	10.4	10.3	-1.0%
MIN	Antonia Delaere	Teammates out: +1.1 min, 2% usage boost	1.1	1.0	2.9	2.9	0.0%	0.8	0.8	-1.2%	0.9	0.9	0.0%	6.4	6.3	-0.6%
MIN	Eliska Joklova	Teammates out: +1.1 min, 2% usage boost	1.1	1.0	1.9	1.9	0.0%	1.2	1.1	-0.9%	0.9	0.9	+8.0%	5.1	5.2	+2.1%

Best value plays

Market lines vs model projections · not betting advice

No value plays for this matchup.

No prop lines available for this slate.

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Olivia Miles	star	32.4	20.9	4.6	6.4	1.1	0.6	3.3	2.1	31.9	39.0	high	20%	20%
Natasha Howard	starter	29.5	14.2	8.4	3.7	1.7	0.8	2.1	0.1	26.3	34.2	high	10%	30%
Kayla McBride	star	30.9	18.1	2.7	1.6	1.7	0.2	1.0	3.3	22.5	28.9	medium	20%	0%
Courtney Williams	starter	29.9	13.0	4.8	3.9	0.9	0.3	1.6	1.0	21.6	26.9	medium	10%	30%
Nia Coffey	starter	20.6	6.2	3.9	1.7	0.8	0.8	0.7	1.2	11.8	17.1	medium	10%	30%
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	bench	13.6	5.2	2.7	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.9	0.1	8.9	12.7	low	20%	30%
Maya Caldwell	bench	15.0	4.1	2.6	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.9	0.7	7.6	10.3	low	20%	20%
Antonia Delaere	bench	11.4	2.9	0.8	0.9	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.7	4.7	6.3	low	10%	0%
Eliska Joklova	deep	5.3	1.9	1.1	0.9	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.0	4.0	5.2	low	20%	0%
Napheesa Collier	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2	n/a	0%	0%
Chloe Bibby	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Dorka Juhasz	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Liatu King	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	medium	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Veronica Burton	starter	31.6	13.3	3.9	6.0	1.6	0.4	1.5	1.6	23.1	31.0	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Olivia Miles — 32.39 MIN · 20.89 PTS · 39.02 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	19.88	21.00	21.80	17.50	20.45	20.89
REB	4.65	4.40	4.60	4.50	4.51	4.60
AST	6.15	8.00	6.80	5.50	6.53	6.41
FG3M	1.65	3.00	2.30	4.00	2.08	2.14
FTM	4.18	3.20	3.30	3.50	3.61	3.66
STL	1.24	1.00	1.10	1.50	1.12	1.07
BLK	0.65	0.20	0.20	3.00	0.65	0.60
TOV	3.15	4.20	3.10	3.50	3.28	3.29
MIN	31.11	34.28	32.41	30.30	31.94	32.39

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.014
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Natasha Howard — 29.47 MIN · 14.17 PTS · 34.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.11	12.80	11.60	11.00	12.91	14.17
REB	7.83	8.20	7.60	9.00	7.89	8.41
AST	3.25	3.40	3.60	2.00	3.26	3.70
FG3M	0.08	0.20	0.10

Veronica Burton — 31.64 MIN · 13.28 PTS · 31.03 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.33	14.20	13.00	6.50	12.30	13.28
REB	3.48	4.00	3.80	2.00	3.56	3.87
AST	5.55	5.80	6.20	4.00	5.70	5.96
FG3M	1.39	2.00	1.70

Kayla McBride — 30.92 MIN · 18.14 PTS · 28.92 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.22	21.00	19.90	15.50	18.76	18.14
REB	3.19	1.80	1.80	5.50	2.79	2.68
AST	2.08	1.00	1.50	2.00	1.76	1.64
FG3M	2.92	4.40	4.00

Courtney Williams — 29.86 MIN · 13.04 PTS · 26.89 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.58	10.00	11.90	19.00	13.15	13.04
REB	5.08	4.20	4.10	9.50	4.80	4.75
AST	4.17	3.80	4.20	4.00	4.05	3.86
FG3M	1.17	0.60	0.80

Gabby Williams — 24.99 MIN · 13.79 PTS · 24.69 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.65	13.60	11.90	10.00	12.91	13.79
REB	3.23	2.80	2.40	6.50	3.03	3.26
AST	2.16	1.80	1.90	2.00	2.04	2.11
FG3M	1.65	1.00	1.00

Janelle Salaun — 23.31 MIN · 14.81 PTS · 24.17 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.13	15.00	14.90	16.00	13.96	14.81
REB	3.75	2.40	3.40	5.50	3.54	3.77
AST	1.09	1.20	1.20	1.50	1.14	1.17
FG3M	2.50	2.60	2.70

Kayla Thornton — 25.82 MIN · 9.26 PTS · 19.17 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.52	9.60	9.30	6.00	8.71	9.26
REB	5.00	4.20	4.80	5.50	4.86	5.20
AST	0.76	1.00	0.90	1.00	0.87	0.89
FG3M	1.67	1.80	2.00

Tiffany Hayes — 16.90 MIN · 10.32 PTS · 19.14 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.35	14.40	11.20	8.50	9.70	10.32
REB	1.61	3.40	2.30	3.00	2.01	2.04
AST	2.48	3.40	3.20	3.00	2.90	2.99
FG3M	0.52	0.80	0.50

Cecilia Zandalasini — 19.34 MIN · 9.73 PTS · 18.11 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.45	9.00	8.80	20.50	9.61	9.73
REB	2.00	3.40	2.30	3.50	2.31	2.23
AST	1.69	2.60	1.80	2.50	1.85	1.91
FG3M	1.34	2.00	1.60

Kiah Stokes — 22.90 MIN · 4.44 PTS · 17.66 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.97	5.80	4.40	4.50	4.40	4.44
REB	5.34	7.20	5.80	4.50	5.71	5.80
AST	1.25	1.60	1.10	0.50	1.22	1.19
FG3M	0.56	0.60	0.60

Nia Coffey — 20.57 MIN · 6.16 PTS · 17.08 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.75	4.20	3.80	12.50	5.90	6.16
REB	4.61	3.00	2.40	6.00	3.83	3.88
AST	1.89	0.60	1.00	4.00	1.66	1.72
FG3M	1.31	1.00	0.80

Kaila Charles — 20.15 MIN · 6.51 PTS · 16.19 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.15	7.20	6.60	1.00	6.27	6.51
REB	4.45	3.40	3.80	1.50	3.92	3.95
AST	1.36	2.00	1.40	1.00	1.44	1.45
FG3M	0.70	0.80	0.90

Anastasiia Olairi Kosu — 13.57 MIN · 5.15 PTS · 12.74 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	4.00	3.70	6.00	3.97	5.15
REB	2.19	2.00	1.70	5.00	2.14	2.70
AST	0.70	0.40	0.80	0.00	0.66	1.02
FG3M	0.07	0.20	0.10

Kaitlyn Chen — 14.05 MIN · 6.52 PTS · 11.71 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.00	3.60	6.60	6.00	6.38	6.52
REB	1.15	0.80	0.70	0.50	0.92	0.89
AST	2.03	2.60	2.80	3.50	2.49	2.55
FG3M	0.52	0.40	0.40

Maya Caldwell — 15.04 MIN · 4.07 PTS · 10.35 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.03	1.40	3.70	2.50	3.55	4.07
REB	2.19	1.20	2.70	2.00	2.31	2.58
AST	1.06	0.60	0.80	0.50	0.87	0.98
FG3M	0.69	0.20	0.60

Antonia Delaere — 11.45 MIN · 2.93 PTS · 6.35 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.06	0.40	2.60	0.00	2.51	2.93
REB	0.74	0.40	0.90	0.00	0.73	0.83
AST	1.11	0.20	0.60	0.00	0.82	0.95
FG3M	0.71	0.00	0.60

Eliska Joklova — 5.34 MIN · 1.95 PTS · 5.24 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.00	2.20	1.90	0.00	1.86	1.95
REB	1.17	1.60	1.00	0.00	1.11	1.15
AST	1.06	0.80	0.50	0.00	0.83	0.94
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Factors

Games played: 36
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.047
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.088
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 36
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 0.957
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 36
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 0.983
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.076
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.068
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.070
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 0.993
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 0.944
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.016
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 36
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.004
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 0.982
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 27
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.273
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 0.964
Def adj (PTS): 0.959
Opp DefRtg: 103.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 36
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.121
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 35
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.145
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 18
h2h sample: 0 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.975
Minute scale: 1.030
Def adj (PTS): 0.941
Opp DefRtg: 101.40 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.33

L50.28

L100.28

h2h0.00

def0.11