Predictions

Wed, Jun 24, 2026

3 days behind — through Aug 13

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Matchup

Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Portland FireAway

91.1

13-209thL10 3-7📺 Rose City SportsNet™ (RCSN)

Chicago SkyHome

91.9

12-2212thL10 4-6📺 The U, WCIU

Total

183.0

Game lines unavailable: No event for PDX @ CHI

Injury report

5 Out applied to these projections.

PDX

Injury impact on predictions18 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
CHI	Rachel Banham	Teammates out: +8.3 min, 7% usage boost	8.3	1.1	5.7	5.9	+3.0%	1.2	1.2	+0.8%	1.4	2.0	+42.7%	10.7	12.2	+14.2%
CHI	Aicha Coulibaly	Teammates out: +8.3 min, 7% usage boost	8.3	1.1	5.2	5.4	+3.0%	2.3	2.3	+0.9%	0.6	0.9	+39.1%	10.8	12.0	+10.9%
CHI	Sydney Taylor	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost	8.0	1.1	19.6	20.3	+3.9%	2.0	2.1	+2.0%	2.3	2.8	+20.1%	28.3	30.2	+6.5%
CHI	Jacy Sheldon	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost	8.0	1.1	6.5	6.7	+3.9%	1.1	1.1	+1.8%	1.3	1.6	+18.9%	12.3	13.3	+7.9%
CHI	Gabriela Jaquez	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost	8.0	1.1	5.3	5.5	+3.9%	2.4	2.4	+1.7%	0.8	1.0	+21.4%	10.6	11.4	+6.8%
CHI	Azura Stevens	Teammates out: +2.8 min, 2% usage boost	2.8	1.0	11.8	12.4	+4.8%	7.5	7.7	+2.7%	2.6	2.5	-3.4%	27.8	28.3	+1.7%
CHI	Elizabeth Williams	Teammates out: +1.9 min, 2% usage boost	1.9	1.0	4.9	5.1	+3.9%	2.9	2.9	+1.7%	1.4	1.4	-3.5%	12.4	12.4	+0.1%
CHI	Kamilla Cardoso	Teammates out: +0.9 min, 1% usage boost	0.9	1.0	15.1	14.6	-3.6%	8.3	8.2	-1.2%	2.1	1.9	-10.2%	31.4	29.9	-4.7%
PDX	Teja Oblak	Teammates out: +3.8 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.8	1.0	7.0	7.3	+4.4%	1.8	1.8	+0.6%	3.2	3.8	+20.8%	15.0	16.7	+11.4%
PDX	Karlie Samuelson	Teammates out: +3.0 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	3.0	1.0	6.2	6.6	+5.3%	1.6	1.6	+1.9%	1.0	1.1	+13.0%	11.2	11.9	+6.5%
PDX	Serah Williams	Teammates out: +1.9 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.9	1.0	6.2	6.5	+4.3%	2.9	2.9	+0.7%	0.8	0.9	+8.6%	12.2	12.8	+4.7%
PDX	Frieda Buhner	Teammates out: +1.5 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.5	1.0	8.1	8.5	+5.3%	3.3	3.3	+1.5%	1.1	1.2	+3.5%	15.0	15.7	+4.2%
PDX	Nyadiew Puoch	Teammates out: +1.5 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.5	1.0	4.0	4.3	+5.4%	1.6	1.6	+1.2%	0.6	0.6	+1.7%	8.9	9.2	+3.6%
PDX	Luisa Geiselsoder	Teammates out: +0.6 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.6	1.0	4.0	4.0	+1.3%	2.5	2.5	+1.6%	1.1	1.1	-2.6%	10.1	10.2	+0.6%
PDX	Bridget Carleton	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	18.2	17.7	-2.5%	5.6	5.6	-0.9%	2.6	2.4	-6.2%	34.3	33.3	-3.0%
PDX	Carla Leite	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	18.6	18.2	-2.5%	2.3	2.3	-0.9%	7.8	7.3	-6.0%	33.0	31.8	-3.9%
PDX	Megan DiLeo	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	18.2	17.7	-2.5%	5.3	5.3	-0.9%	1.4	1.3	-5.9%	30.2	29.4	-2.6%
PDX	Emily Engstler	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	9.8	9.6	-2.5%	5.7	5.6	-0.9%	2.8	2.6	-6.0%	26.8	25.9	-3.3%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Bridget Carleton	starter	32.4	17.7	5.6	2.4	1.4	0.5	1.1	3.4	25.7	33.3	medium	10%	20%
Carla Leite	starter	27.9	18.2	2.3	7.3	0.5	0.0	3.7	0.9	27.8	31.8	medium	10%	30%
Megan DiLeo	rotation	30.9	17.7	5.3	1.3	0.5	0.9	1.0	1.7	24.3	29.4	high	0%	40%
Emily Engstler	rotation	25.6	9.6	5.6	2.6	1.6	1.3	1.8	1.2	17.8	25.9	high	10%	40%
Teja Oblak	bench	13.7	7.3	1.8	3.8	1.0	0.1	2.8	1.0	13.0	16.7	low	10%	30%
Frieda Buhner	bench	18.2	8.5	3.3	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.9	1.1	13.0	15.7	low	20%	20%
Serah Williams	bench	16.4	6.5	2.9	0.9	0.6	0.3	1.2	0.0	10.3	12.8	low	20%	30%
Karlie Samuelson	bench	17.6	6.6	1.6	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.5	1.6	9.3	11.9	low	10%	20%
Luisa Geiselsoder	rotation	13.6	4.0	2.5	1.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.7	7.6	10.2	low	10%	20%
Nyadiew Puoch	rotation	15.4	4.3	1.6	0.6	0.8	0.2	0.3	0.5	6.5	9.2	low	10%	0%
Jordan Harrison	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Holly Winterburn	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	medium	0%	0%
Amy Okonkwo	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Sania Feagin	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Sydney Taylor	rotation	24.8	20.3	2.1	2.8	0.8	0.3	1.6	3.0	25.2	30.2	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Bridget Carleton — 32.42 MIN · 17.74 PTS · 33.30 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.66	20.00	17.10	13.33	16.12	17.74
REB	4.38	7.20	5.90	3.33	5.05	5.57
AST	2.13	1.80	2.50	2.33	2.29	2.40
FG3M	2.84	4.20	3.60	1.67	3.07	3.38
FTM	2.06	1.80	1.30	4.33	2.01	2.19
STL	1.56	1.20	1.40	0.67	1.38	1.42
BLK	0.47	0.60	0.40	0.67	0.48	0.51
TOV	1.25	1.40	0.80	0.67	1.01	1.11
MIN	30.41	30.99	30.38	29.32	30.33	32.42

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.010
Minute scale: 1.069
Def adj (PTS): 1.003
Opp DefRtg: 108.30 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Carla Leite — 27.91 MIN · 18.18 PTS · 31.77 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.53	16.60	16.10	15.33	15.81	18.18
REB	2.23	1.40	1.90	1.67	1.99	2.30
AST	6.23	7.20	7.50	4.33	6.66	7.32
FG3M	0.80	1.00	0.80

Sydney Taylor — 24.80 MIN · 20.33 PTS · 30.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	21.20	19.30	14.33	16.81	20.33
REB	1.57	2.40	2.10	1.33	1.78	2.09
AST	1.68	3.20	2.30	2.33	2.02	2.81
FG3M	2.11	3.40	2.90

Kamilla Cardoso — 23.18 MIN · 14.55 PTS · 29.90 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.55	16.00	15.20	21.67	15.86	14.55
REB	8.61	9.60	8.60	10.00	8.83	8.21
AST	2.45	2.20	2.40	1.67	2.28	1.93
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Megan DiLeo — 30.92 MIN · 17.71 PTS · 29.43 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.84	12.80	14.80	13.33	13.83	17.71
REB	4.03	4.80	4.40	1.33	4.12	5.30
AST	1.00	1.20	0.90	1.67	1.04	1.27
FG3M	1.23	1.00	1.30

Azura Stevens — 25.87 MIN · 12.40 PTS · 28.29 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.04	9.60	11.70	11.50	11.12	12.40
REB	6.68	6.40	7.70	8.50	7.12	7.68
AST	2.32	1.40	2.30	5.50	2.48	2.53
FG3M	0.92	0.60	1.10

Emily Engstler — 25.58 MIN · 9.57 PTS · 25.90 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.03	8.40	8.90	6.00	8.55	9.57
REB	5.27	4.40	4.80	3.67	4.98	5.60
AST	2.06	2.60	3.00	2.33	2.47	2.64
FG3M	1.06	1.40	1.10

Skylar Diggins — 25.92 MIN · 12.24 PTS · 24.17 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.16	10.80	13.20	15.33	13.79	12.24
REB	3.16	2.80	2.40	5.67	3.08	2.78
AST	4.89	5.60	4.90	7.33	5.27	4.35
FG3M	1.37	1.20	1.60

Natasha Cloud — 26.41 MIN · 9.37 PTS · 21.64 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.24	12.20	11.40	5.50	10.61	9.37
REB	3.21	3.60	3.00	2.50	3.05	2.74
AST	5.03	7.40	6.60	4.00	5.83	4.78
FG3M	1.03	0.80	1.10

Teja Oblak — 13.67 MIN · 7.34 PTS · 16.69 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.16	6.80	6.80	4.00	6.43	7.34
REB	1.64	2.20	1.40	1.50	1.67	1.81
AST	3.00	3.60	3.00	0.00	2.93	3.84
FG3M	0.84	0.80	0.90

Frieda Buhner — 18.20 MIN · 8.53 PTS · 15.67 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.33	5.00	7.40	5.33	6.74	8.53
REB	2.23	3.00	2.90	3.67	2.74	3.31
AST	0.77	1.00	1.10	1.33	0.96	1.19
FG3M	0.77	0.80	1.30

Jacy Sheldon — 17.33 MIN · 6.73 PTS · 13.33 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.85	8.60	7.20	12.67	7.75	6.73
REB	1.29	1.00	1.30	2.33	1.37	1.15
AST	1.65	1.60	1.40	2.33	1.59	1.57
FG3M	0.91	1.60	1.00

Serah Williams — 16.43 MIN · 6.50 PTS · 12.82 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.38	4.60	5.70	4.00	4.86	6.50
REB	2.45	1.80	2.40	1.67	2.31	2.94
AST	0.55	0.80	0.70	0.67	0.63	0.88
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Elizabeth Williams — 14.94 MIN · 5.09 PTS · 12.38 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.24	4.20	5.60	6.67	5.29	5.09
REB	3.68	3.00	2.80	2.67	3.14	2.92
AST	1.50	2.00	1.30	2.00	1.56	1.38
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Rachel Banham — 12.01 MIN · 5.87 PTS · 12.25 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.70	8.80	5.50	4.67	5.28	5.87
REB	1.10	2.00	1.30	0.00	1.12	1.21
AST	1.13	1.40	1.60	1.00	1.34	2.04
FG3M	1.07	2.00	1.20

Aicha Coulibaly — 12.81 MIN · 5.41 PTS · 11.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.09	7.20	5.50	5.00	5.49	5.41
REB	2.57	2.00	2.30	2.50	2.40	2.29
AST	0.61	1.00	0.60	1.00	0.67	0.89
FG3M	0.04	0.20	0.10

Karlie Samuelson — 17.55 MIN · 6.56 PTS · 11.88 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.71	7.00	5.90	6.00	5.39	6.56
REB	1.29	2.20	1.30	2.00	1.39	1.61
AST	0.90	1.00	0.90	0.00	0.88	1.13
FG3M	1.10	1.80	1.50

Gabriela Jaquez — 15.05 MIN · 5.54 PTS · 11.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.07	3.00	3.60	8.00	5.92	5.54
REB	3.10	1.00	1.70	4.33	2.69	2.43
AST	0.93	0.60	0.70	2.00	0.94	1.02
FG3M	0.53	0.40	0.50

Luisa Geiselsoder — 13.58 MIN · 4.00 PTS · 10.18 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.48	1.20	3.70	5.00	4.08	4.00
REB	2.62	1.80	2.30	5.00	2.59	2.52
AST	1.29	0.60	0.90	2.50	1.20	1.12
FG3M	0.76	0.20	0.70

Nyadiew Puoch — 15.37 MIN · 4.27 PTS · 9.22 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.00	9.20	4.90	2.33	4.36	4.27
REB	1.72	2.00	2.00	0.67	1.77	1.65
AST	0.66	0.40	0.30	1.67	0.63	0.59
FG3M	0.44	1.20	0.60

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

PDX

CHI

Best value plays

PDX

CHI

Per-player detail