WNBA Predictions

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
LVA	Jewell Loyd	Teammates out: +4.1 min, 8% usage boost	4.1	1.1	7.3	7.8	+6.1%	2.0	2.1	+2.0%	1.3	1.5	+9.8%	14.1	15.1	+6.7%
LVA	Stephanie Talbot	Teammates out: +1.5 min, 3% usage boost	1.5	1.0	3.4	3.5	+5.0%	2.0	2.0	+1.0%	0.8	0.8	+3.7%	8.9	9.3	+3.5%
LVA	NaLyssa Smith	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 2% usage boost	1.2	1.0	12.3	12.9	+4.3%	7.4	7.5	+2.0%	1.2	1.2	0.0%	25.6	26.4	+2.8%
LVA	Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	6.1	6.3	+4.1%	2.9	2.9	+0.3%	0.6	0.6	+3.6%	12.6	13.0	+3.2%
LVA	Brianna Turner	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	2.7	2.8	+4.1%	2.8	2.8	+0.4%	0.4	0.4	+2.3%	8.8	9.0	+2.3%
LVA	Kierstan Bell	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 2% usage boost	1.0	1.0	3.0	3.1	+4.4%	2.2	2.2	+0.5%	0.8	0.8	+3.8%	8.3	8.6	+3.1%
NYL	Marine Johannes	Teammates out: +3.4 min, 0% usage boost	3.4	1.0	8.7	9.2	+5.5%	1.5	1.5	+2.0%	1.8	2.0	+10.1%	15.5	16.6	+6.7%
NYL	Rebekah Gardner	Teammates out: +3.4 min, 0% usage boost	3.4	1.0	4.9	5.1	+5.5%	2.7	2.7	+1.9%	1.1	1.3	+16.1%	11.1	11.9	+7.4%
NYL	Satou Sabally	Teammates out: +2.6 min, 0% usage boost	2.6	1.0	11.6	12.3	+5.5%	3.2	3.2	+1.9%	2.2	2.5	+9.8%	19.4	20.6	+5.9%
NYL	Han Xu	Teammates out: +1.2 min, 0% usage boost	1.2	1.0	6.5	6.8	+4.5%	2.5	2.6	+0.8%	0.5	0.6	+3.7%	12.6	13.0	+3.5%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Breanna Stewart	star	32.5	19.8	7.5	3.4	1.2	1.3	1.9	0.8	30.7	38.6	high	20%	20%
Jonquel Jones	starter	28.6	14.7	9.9	3.2	0.6	0.9	2.1	1.8	27.8	34.8	high	20%	20%
Sabrina Ionescu	starter	30.0	17.2	4.3	4.5	0.7	0.2	3.0	2.1	26.0	30.6	medium	30%	10%
Satou Sabally	rotation	18.2	12.3	3.2	2.5	0.1	0.2	1.9	1.8	18.0	20.6	medium	10%	20%
Leonie Fiebich	starter	27.9	10.2	2.5	1.7	1.2	0.1	1.6	2.0	14.4	18.5	medium	20%	10%
Marine Johannes	starter	16.7	9.2	1.5	2.0	0.8	0.1	1.3	2.4	12.7	16.6	low	20%	20%
Pauline Astier	starter	18.8	7.8	1.7	2.8	0.7	0.1	1.2	0.3	12.4	15.3	medium	10%	10%
Han Xu	bench	13.0	6.8	2.6	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.9	9.9	13.0	low	30%	0%
Rebekah Gardner	bench	12.4	5.1	2.7	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.2	9.2	11.9	low	20%	10%
Marine Fauthoux	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Rebecca Allen	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.2	0.0	0.1	low	0%	0%
Raquel Carrera	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%
Anneli Maley	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
A'ja Wilson	star	32.7	26.0	9.3	3.1	1.4	1.8	2.5	1.0	38.4	47.9	high

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

A'ja Wilson — 32.71 MIN · 25.99 PTS · 47.90 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	26.09	23.00	27.30	24.50	26.17	25.99
REB	9.61	9.40	9.60	9.50	9.35	9.29
AST	3.06	2.20	3.40	5.50	3.28	3.15
FG3M	1.00	0.80	1.00	0.50	0.96	0.96
FTM	6.73	6.20	8.10	6.00	7.15	7.10
STL	1.45	1.20	1.30	2.50	1.41	1.35
BLK	2.03	2.20	2.00	1.00	1.93	1.83
TOV	2.48	3.40	2.60	2.50	2.56	2.53
MIN	32.20	34.63	33.83	35.66	33.41	32.71

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 0.997
Minute scale: 0.979
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Jackie Young — 33.19 MIN · 21.55 PTS · 38.64 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	18.43	22.00	23.40	24.00	21.32	21.55
REB	4.40	2.80	4.70	3.00	4.19	4.24
AST	6.71	6.40	6.50	8.00	6.78	6.63
FG3M	2.23	3.20	2.80

Breanna Stewart — 32.49 MIN · 19.79 PTS · 38.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	20.69	16.60	19.60	20.00	19.41	19.79
REB	8.17	5.80	7.20	7.00	7.35	7.53
AST	3.20	3.60	3.80	3.00	3.45	3.39
FG3M	0.80	0.60	0.80

Jonquel Jones — 28.55 MIN · 14.74 PTS · 34.83 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	15.40	14.40	12.33	14.59	14.74
REB	9.43	12.40	10.00	6.67	9.78	9.93
AST	2.86	3.40	3.70	3.33	3.25	3.16
FG3M	1.83	2.00	1.70

Sabrina Ionescu — 29.99 MIN · 17.23 PTS · 30.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	16.00	15.40	19.60	12.00	17.05	17.23
REB	3.96	3.40	4.30	5.67	4.24	4.30
AST	4.52	4.40	4.90	3.67	4.57	4.46
FG3M	2.09	1.60	2.50

Chelsea Gray — 33.24 MIN · 11.91 PTS · 27.29 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	12.29	9.60	12.20	13.50	11.95	11.91
REB	3.23	2.60	2.20	4.00	2.78	2.77
AST	7.06	6.40	6.20	6.00	6.61	6.38
FG3M	1.86	1.60	1.60

NaLyssa Smith — 27.18 MIN · 12.86 PTS · 26.36 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.97	11.00	11.50	7.00	11.29	12.86
REB	6.46	9.60	7.40	3.67	6.83	7.51
AST	0.94	1.80	1.10	1.67	1.13	1.22
FG3M	0.03	0.00	0.00

Satou Sabally — 18.21 MIN · 12.27 PTS · 20.60 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.38	10.20	10.80	0.00	10.29	12.27
REB	2.77	2.40	3.00	3.00	2.84	3.23
AST	1.92	3.40	2.10	1.00	2.00	2.47
FG3M	1.54	1.60	1.60

Leonie Fiebich — 27.95 MIN · 10.23 PTS · 18.53 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.00	12.60	11.00	12.00	10.52	10.23
REB	2.57	1.60	2.80	1.00	2.56	2.49
AST	1.86	1.80	1.80	1.00	1.83	1.72
FG3M	1.86	2.60	2.20

Marine Johannes — 16.70 MIN · 9.22 PTS · 16.56 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.30	12.40	9.20	11.00	9.87	9.22
REB	2.18	1.40	1.20	1.00	1.69	1.51
AST	2.48	2.20	1.60	2.00	2.04	1.97
FG3M	2.30	3.20	2.40

Pauline Astier — 18.81 MIN · 7.85 PTS · 15.31 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.39	7.00	8.50	10.67	8.85	7.85
REB	2.39	2.00	1.40	1.67	1.93	1.72
AST	3.50	3.60	3.30	2.33	3.27	2.79
FG3M	0.42	0.00	0.20

Jewell Loyd — 24.24 MIN · 7.79 PTS · 15.05 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.06	7.80	7.40	4.67	7.48	7.79
REB	2.32	1.60	2.30	1.00	2.09	2.07
AST	1.44	1.60	1.50	0.33	1.37	1.46
FG3M	1.71	1.40	1.50

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus — 11.84 MIN · 6.32 PTS · 13.02 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.91	3.80	6.00	14.00	5.48	6.32
REB	2.48	2.80	2.60	6.00	2.64	2.90
AST	0.61	0.00	0.40	0.00	0.50	0.57
FG3M	0.17	0.00	0.20

Han Xu — 13.03 MIN · 6.78 PTS · 12.99 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.03	7.60	8.20	9.67	7.39	6.78
REB	2.47	3.20	3.50	2.67	2.94	2.57
AST	0.72	0.80	0.60	0.33	0.62	0.56
FG3M	0.83	0.60	1.20

Rebekah Gardner — 12.42 MIN · 5.14 PTS · 11.88 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.21	5.60	6.10	8.50	5.89	5.14
REB	2.56	3.80	3.60	6.00	3.27	2.72
AST	1.26	1.20	1.50	1.50	1.37	1.30
FG3M	0.26	0.20	0.30

Stephanie Talbot — 14.46 MIN · 3.55 PTS · 9.26 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.36	2.60	2.90	4.33	3.17	3.55
REB	2.50	1.20	1.10	2.00	1.92	2.04
AST	1.00	0.00	0.40	0.67	0.76	0.84
FG3M	0.44	0.40	0.40

Brianna Turner — 19.14 MIN · 2.78 PTS · 9.02 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	1.76	1.60	2.60	4.00	2.18	2.78
REB	2.24	2.00	2.50	3.00	2.35	2.84
AST	0.24	0.40	0.40	1.00	0.36	0.44
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Kierstan Bell — 12.98 MIN · 3.08 PTS · 8.58 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	2.04	1.80	3.20	2.50	2.51	3.08
REB	1.61	2.00	1.80	3.50	1.87	2.19
AST	0.70	0.80	0.50	1.50	0.67	0.81
FG3M	0.43	0.40	0.70

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

NYL

LVA

Best value plays

NYL

LVA

Per-player detail