Predictions

Mon, Jun 22, 2026

Data current — through Aug 16

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Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Chicago SkyAway

88.8

Record: 13-22 | 10th in standingsL10 Record: 4-6📺 The U, WCIU

Connecticut SunHome

84.0

Record: 8-25 | 14th in standingsL10 Record: 3-7📺 NBC SPORTS BOSTON

Total

172.8

Game lines unavailable: No event for CHI @ CON

Injury report

5 Out applied to these projections.

CHI

Injury impact on predictions18 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
CHI	Rachel Banham	Teammates out: +10.0 min, 9% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	10.0	1.1	6.3	6.6	+3.9%	1.6	1.6	+1.2%	1.7	2.6	+54.5%	12.7	15.1	+19.3%
CHI	Sydney Taylor	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	19.1	20.1	+4.9%	2.1	2.1	+1.9%	2.4	2.9	+20.3%	27.8	29.9	+7.6%
CHI	Jacy Sheldon	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	5.7	6.0	+4.9%	1.0	1.0	+2.0%	1.2	1.4	+19.5%	10.9	12.0	+9.4%
CHI	Gabriela Jaquez	Teammates out: +8.0 min, 7% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	8.0	1.1	4.9	5.2	+4.9%	2.3	2.4	+2.2%	0.6	0.8	+24.2%	9.7	10.5	+7.9%
CHI	Azura Stevens	Teammates out: +2.9 min, 3% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.9	1.0	11.8	12.5	+5.8%	7.5	7.7	+3.1%	2.5	2.4	-3.2%	27.8	28.5	+2.5%
CHI	Elizabeth Williams	Teammates out: +1.4 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.4	1.0	5.2	5.3	+1.3%	3.1	3.2	+1.9%	1.5	1.4	-5.9%	13.4	13.2	-1.6%
CHI	Kamilla Cardoso	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.0	1.0	16.1	15.6	-3.2%	8.9	8.7	-1.4%	2.1	1.9	-9.8%	33.5	32.1	-4.3%
CHI	Skylar Diggins	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	14.0	12.9	-7.5%	2.8	2.6	-5.0%	5.0	4.3	-13.2%	27.6	24.9	-9.8%
CHI	Natasha Cloud	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	11.7	10.8	-7.6%	3.2	3.0	-5.3%	5.5	4.8	-13.2%	26.4	23.7	-10.3%
CON	Kennedy Burke	Teammates out: +5.5 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	5.5	1.0	10.2	10.6	+4.1%	3.5	3.6	+1.4%	1.5	1.7	+11.9%	21.4	22.6	+6.0%
CON	Charlisse Leger-Walker	Teammates out: +5.5 min, 5% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	5.5	1.0	7.1	7.3	+4.1%	2.4	2.4	+1.3%	4.0	4.5	+12.1%	17.3	18.6	+7.2%
CON	Aaliyah Edwards	Teammates out: +2.8 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.8	1.0	12.6	13.0	+3.2%	5.3	5.3	+0.6%	1.1	1.1	+4.7%	22.4	23.0	+2.7%
CON	Raegan Beers	Teammates out: +2.4 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.4	1.0	3.5	3.5	+2.3%	3.4	3.4	-0.3%	0.8	0.8	+10.5%	9.9	10.3	+3.5%
CON	Nell Angloma	Teammates out: +2.4 min, 2% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	2.4	1.0	4.0	4.0	+2.3%	2.0	2.0	-0.5%	0.8	0.9	+12.2%	9.2	9.6	+4.9%
CON	Diamond Miller	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	1.6	1.0	12.2	12.5	+2.0%	3.4	3.4	+1.5%	2.0	2.0	-3.4%	21.7	21.8	+0.6%
CON	Olivia Nelson-Ododa	Teammates out: +0.9 min, 1% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.9	1.0	14.3	14.1	-1.2%	9.3	9.3	+0.5%	2.0	1.9	-5.6%	32.2	31.7	-1.6%
CON	Brittney Griner	Teammates out: +0.5 min, 0% usage boost · Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.5	1.0	16.3	15.7	-3.6%	7.7	7.6	-1.4%	3.0	2.8	-7.6%	34.8	33.3	-4.2%
CON	Leila Lacan	Opp. weakened: +3% scoring, +2% threes	0.0	1.0	12.9	12.2	-5.9%	2.7	2.6	-3.3%	5.0	4.6	-9.3%	27.6	25.5	-7.6%

Best value plays

Market lines vs model projections · not betting advice

No value plays for this matchup.

No prop lines available for this slate.

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Kamilla Cardoso	starter	24.8	15.6	8.7	1.9	0.6	1.2	1.8	0.0	26.2	32.1	high	20%	20%
Sydney Taylor	bench	25.6	20.1	2.1	2.9	0.9	0.4	1.8	2.8	25.0	29.9	medium	20%	0%
Azura Stevens	rotation	27.3	12.5	7.7	2.4	0.9	0.7	1.9	1.0	22.6	28.5	medium	20%	20%
Skylar Diggins	star	27.8	12.9	2.6	4.3	0.8	0.4	1.8	1.4	19.9	24.9	medium	10%	30%
Natasha Cloud	starter	28.9	10.8	3.0	4.8	1.1	0.2	2.2	0.8	18.6	23.7	medium	20%	20%
Rachel Banham	bench	14.2	6.6	1.6	2.6	0.6	0.6	0.9	1.4	10.8	15.1	low	10%	30%
Elizabeth Williams	rotation	16.5	5.3	3.2	1.4	0.6	0.6	1.1	0.0	9.9	13.2	low	20%	20%
Jacy Sheldon	rotation	17.7	6.0	1.0	1.4	1.0	0.3	0.9	0.9	8.4	12.0	medium	10%	0%
Gabriela Jaquez	starter	14.2	5.2	2.4	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.8	0.4	8.3	10.5	medium	10%	40%
Courtney Vandersloot	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	n/a	0%	0%
DiJonai Carrington	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Aicha Coulibaly	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%
Maddy Westbeld	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Brittney Griner	starter	28.5	15.7	7.6	2.8	0.4	2.1	2.2	0.1	26.1	33.3	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Brittney Griner — 28.48 MIN · 15.69 PTS · 33.31 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.22	12.60	14.50	15.00	13.70	15.69
REB	5.83	6.00	6.90	8.00	6.58	7.61
AST	2.50	2.80	2.50	4.00	2.56	2.79
FG3M	0.06	0.20	0.10	0.00	0.07	0.07
FTM	2.39	2.40	2.60	3.00	2.52	2.83
STL	0.44	0.20	0.30	0.00	0.35	0.38
BLK	1.78	1.80	1.90	3.50	1.97	2.11
TOV	1.78	1.80	1.90	2.50	1.87	2.18
MIN	25.30	24.69	25.46	25.45	25.31	28.48

Factors

Games played: 18
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.125
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Kamilla Cardoso — 24.81 MIN · 15.56 PTS · 32.08 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.76	17.20	16.10	17.33	16.04	15.56
REB	8.71	9.40	8.70	9.33	8.95	8.74
AST	2.44	1.60	2.30	1.33	2.15	1.93
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Olivia Nelson-Ododa — 28.17 MIN · 14.14 PTS · 31.70 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.90	11.00	11.60	9.67	10.73	14.14
REB	6.10	8.00	7.10	9.67	7.05	9.34
AST	1.72	0.60	1.30	1.33	1.49	1.86
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Sydney Taylor — 25.64 MIN · 20.05 PTS · 29.93 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.71	21.20	19.30	9.33	16.25	20.05
REB	1.57	2.40	2.10	1.33	1.78	2.10
AST	1.68	3.20	2.30	2.67	2.03	2.85
FG3M	2.11	3.40	2.90

Azura Stevens — 27.27 MIN · 12.54 PTS · 28.51 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.73	6.20	11.10	12.00	10.49	12.54
REB	6.62	5.60	7.20	6.50	6.70	7.70
AST	2.35	1.80	2.40	1.00	2.22	2.41
FG3M	0.88	0.20	1.00

Leila Lacan — 31.77 MIN · 12.18 PTS · 25.53 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	11.79	8.80	11.00	9.00	10.82	12.18
REB	2.04	2.60	2.50	2.33	2.32	2.65
AST	4.46	4.40	4.20	3.33	4.25	4.58
FG3M	1.08	1.00	0.90

Skylar Diggins — 27.79 MIN · 12.92 PTS · 24.86 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	14.16	10.80	13.20	13.50	13.56	12.92
REB	3.16	2.80	2.40	2.00	2.73	2.64
AST	4.89	5.60	4.90	4.00	4.90	4.35
FG3M	1.37	1.20	1.60

Natasha Cloud — 28.88 MIN · 10.84 PTS · 23.70 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.53	13.60	11.90	9.33	11.44	10.84
REB	3.35	4.20	3.20	0.33	3.15	3.02
AST	4.97	6.60	6.00	3.33	5.37	4.75
FG3M	1.03	0.80	0.90

Aaliyah Edwards — 22.12 MIN · 12.98 PTS · 22.97 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.86	12.40	9.70	11.00	10.06	12.98
REB	4.00	5.40	4.30	5.00	4.30	5.34
AST	0.86	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.87	1.12
FG3M	0.18	0.00	0.10

Kennedy Burke — 24.76 MIN · 10.64 PTS · 22.65 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.28	10.00	9.10	7.50	8.78	10.64
REB	3.19	2.60	3.20	2.00	3.06	3.57
AST	1.44	0.80	1.00	2.50	1.30	1.69
FG3M	1.22	1.40	1.70

Diamond Miller — 26.68 MIN · 12.46 PTS · 21.81 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.30	11.60	11.00	13.00	10.55	12.46
REB	2.61	3.80	3.10	2.33	2.94	3.41
AST	1.42	2.00	1.70	3.33	1.79	1.98
FG3M	1.12	1.80	2.00

Charlisse Leger-Walker — 25.10 MIN · 7.35 PTS · 18.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.70	7.60	5.40	9.00	6.57	7.35
REB	2.09	1.40	2.30	2.67	2.24	2.41
AST	3.36	2.80	4.50	2.67	3.73	4.46
FG3M	0.85	2.00	1.00

Rachel Banham — 14.19 MIN · 6.58 PTS · 15.13 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.71	9.80	5.40	4.50	5.25	6.58
REB	1.19	2.60	1.50	1.00	1.35	1.63
AST	1.13	1.60	1.60	2.00	1.39	2.58
FG3M	1.06	2.20	1.10

Elizabeth Williams — 16.47 MIN · 5.29 PTS · 13.22 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.20	4.00	5.60	5.33	5.10	5.29
REB	3.57	1.80	2.70	3.33	3.11	3.20
AST	1.49	1.80	1.40	1.67	1.50	1.43
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Jacy Sheldon — 17.70 MIN · 5.98 PTS · 11.98 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.74	8.00	6.10	6.00	6.41	5.98
REB	1.29	1.00	1.10	1.00	1.15	1.03
AST	1.63	1.60	1.30	0.67	1.34	1.41
FG3M	0.91	1.80	1.00

Gabriela Jaquez — 14.23 MIN · 5.16 PTS · 10.50 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	6.84	1.20	2.80	5.50	5.29	5.16
REB	3.10	1.40	1.60	3.00	2.50	2.35
AST	0.90	0.40	0.50	0.00	0.68	0.77
FG3M	0.52	0.20	0.30

Raegan Beers — 11.48 MIN · 3.54 PTS · 10.29 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.33	1.40	2.50	4.00	3.02	3.54
REB	2.96	3.80	2.90	2.67	3.03	3.42
AST	0.74	0.60	0.60	0.67	0.67	0.84
FG3M	0.07	0.00	0.10

Nell Angloma — 11.67 MIN · 4.05 PTS · 9.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.72	2.80	3.00	2.33	3.23	4.05
REB	1.55	2.00	1.70	1.00	1.65	1.98
AST	0.62	0.80	0.70	0.67	0.68	0.92
FG3M	0.10	0.20	0.20

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 0.948
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.262
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.30

L50.25

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 28
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.113
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.30

L50.25

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 26
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.069
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 24
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.132
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.30

L50.25

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 19
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 0.975
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.31

L50.26

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 34
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 0.970
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 22
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.183
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Factors

Games played: 32
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.102
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.095
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 33
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.017
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.143
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 35
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 0.969
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 35
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 0.841
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.20

L50.30

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 31
h2h sample: 2 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 0.881
Def adj (PTS): 1.008
Opp DefRtg: 108.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.21

L50.31

L100.26

h2h0.07

def0.15

Factors

Games played: 27
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.084
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.30

L50.25

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.10

Factors

Games played: 29
h2h sample: 3 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.011
Minute scale: 1.159
Def adj (PTS): 0.998
Opp DefRtg: 107.60 vs league 107.80
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.30

L50.25

L100.25

h2h0.10

def0.10