Predictions

Fri, Jul 17, 2026

2 days behind — through Aug 13

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Matchup

Projected box + fantasy points, with confidence and boom/bust for PTS.

Predicted final score

Seattle StormAway

87.9

7-2815thL10 1-9

Indiana FeverHome

95.8

21-125thL10 7-3

Total

183.7

📺 ION

Game lines unavailable: No event for SEA @ IND

Injury report

3 Out applied to these projections.

SEA

Injury impact on predictions13 players moved

Team	Player	Reasons	Minutes Δ	Usage ×	PTS base	PTS adj	PTS Δ%	REB base	REB adj	REB Δ%	AST base	AST adj	AST Δ%	FPTS base	FPTS adj	FPTS Δ%
IND	Monique Billings	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 12% usage boost	1.6	1.1	10.5	11.0	+4.7%	5.7	5.8	+0.5%	1.5	1.6	+2.6%	22.9	23.6	+3.1%
IND	Makayla Timpson	Teammates out: +1.6 min, 12% usage boost	1.6	1.1	6.9	7.2	+4.8%	6.8	6.8	+0.6%	0.7	0.8	+4.1%	19.7	20.3	+3.0%
IND	Sophie Cunningham	Teammates out: +1.0 min, 8% usage boost	1.0	1.1	9.0	9.6	+5.8%	2.6	2.6	+1.6%	1.1	1.1	-0.9%	16.4	17.1	+3.7%
IND	Myisha Hines-Allen	Teammates out: +0.9 min, 7% usage boost	0.9	1.1	3.3	3.4	+3.6%	2.9	2.9	-0.3%	1.4	1.4	+0.7%	10.2	10.4	+1.6%
IND	Lexie Hull	Teammates out: +0.4 min, 3% usage boost	0.4	1.0	5.2	5.3	+2.1%	3.2	3.2	+0.6%	0.8	0.8	-3.6%	12.3	12.4	+0.7%
IND	Tyasha Harris	Teammates out: +0.2 min, 2% usage boost	0.2	1.0	5.7	5.7	-0.2%	1.5	1.5	0.0%	3.3	3.2	-3.6%	13.4	13.2	-1.7%
IND	Raven Johnson	Teammates out: +0.2 min, 2% usage boost	0.2	1.0	3.9	3.9	+0.3%	2.3	2.3	-0.4%	1.4	1.4	-3.5%	9.5	9.4	-1.1%
SEA	Jordan Horston	Teammates out: +5.5 min, 6% usage boost	5.5	1.1	4.5	4.7	+3.5%	2.8	2.8	+0.7%	1.0	1.3	+24.3%	11.2	12.3	+9.3%
SEA	Katie Lou Samuelson	Teammates out: +2.4 min, 3% usage boost	2.4	1.0	5.4	5.6	+3.5%	2.2	2.2	+0.9%	0.6	0.7	+9.8%	10.7	11.1	+4.2%
SEA	Stefanie Dolson	Teammates out: +2.2 min, 3% usage boost	2.2	1.0	2.5	2.6	+3.6%	1.9	1.9	+1.1%	0.8	0.9	+8.5%	7.3	7.7	+4.2%
SEA	Zia Cooke	Teammates out: +2.1 min, 2% usage boost	2.1	1.0	7.1	7.3	+2.7%	1.2	1.2	0.0%	0.7	0.8	+8.1%	10.3	10.6	+3.0%
SEA	Dominique Malonga	Teammates out: +1.8 min, 2% usage boost	1.8	1.0	20.7	21.7	+4.5%	10.2	10.3	+1.7%	1.8	1.9	+1.6%	41.8	43.1	+3.0%
SEA	Jade Melbourne	Teammates out: +1.3 min, 2% usage boost	1.3	1.0	11.4	11.7	+2.5%	2.0	2.0	+1.5%	4.6	4.6	0.0%	22.4	22.8	+1.4%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust
Dominique Malonga	starter	27.1	21.7	10.3	1.9	1.0	1.6	3.0	0.9	33.9	43.1	high	20%	20%
Natisha Hiedeman	starter	33.7	16.9	3.0	5.8	0.9	0.1	2.1	1.9	25.8	31.6	medium	10%	30%
Flau'jae Johnson	starter	29.8	16.1	4.8	3.0	1.8	0.8	2.7	1.1	23.9	30.9	medium	30%	30%
Awa Fam	starter	28.1	10.2	6.4	2.1	0.9	0.9	1.6	1.6	18.7	24.9	medium	10%	30%
Jade Melbourne	rotation	27.0	11.7	2.0	4.6	0.9	0.2	2.0	0.7	18.3	22.8	medium	10%	30%
Jordan Horston	rotation	14.3	4.7	2.8	1.3	0.9	0.4	1.0	0.3	8.8	12.3	low	20%	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	bench	14.8	5.6	2.2	0.7	0.8	0.0	0.5	0.9	8.5	11.1	low	10%	10%
Zia Cooke	bench	12.3	7.3	1.2	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.7	0.9	9.3	10.6	low	20%	0%
Stefanie Dolson	rotation	10.2	2.6	1.9	0.9	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.5	5.4	7.7	low	30%	50%
Ezi Magbegor	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	n/a	0%	0%
Mackenzie Holmes	bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	medium	0%	0%
Taina Mair	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	n/a	0%	0%
Taylor Thierry	deep	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	low	0%	0%

Player	Tier	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	3PM	PRA	FPTS	Conf	Boom	Bust	Out	Pin MIN
Caitlin Clark	starter	28.0	22.2	3.5	7.8	1.1	0.6	4.5	3.0	33.6	41.1	medium

Per-player detail

Season / L5 / L10 / h2h blend, then pace × minutes

Dominique Malonga — 27.09 MIN · 21.68 PTS · 43.07 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	17.42	22.20	20.00	28.00	19.59	21.68
REB	8.73	9.60	10.70	14.00	9.74	10.35
AST	1.58	1.60	1.90	2.00	1.73	1.85
FG3M	0.77	1.40	0.90	1.00	0.86	0.95
FTM	2.73	3.20	2.90	1.00	2.88	3.17
STL	0.92	1.00	1.10	0.00	0.98	1.02
BLK	1.38	1.60	1.70	0.00	1.51	1.57
TOV	2.77	2.20	2.90	6.00	2.87	2.95
MIN	26.28	28.20	27.51	29.32	27.20	27.09

Factors

Games played: 26
h2h sample: 1 game(s)
Pace factor: 1.017
Minute scale: 0.996
Def adj (PTS): 1.001
Opp DefRtg: 108.00 vs league 107.90
Injury status: active

Component weights

season0.32

L50.27

L100.27

h2h0.04

def0.11

Caitlin Clark — 27.96 MIN · 22.21 PTS · 41.07 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	21.66	22.60	24.70	32.67	24.14	22.21
REB	3.93	4.40	3.50	4.33	3.83	3.52
AST	8.21	9.80	9.00	9.00	8.78	7.85
FG3M	2.72	3.00	3.30

Kelsey Mitchell — 35.78 MIN · 29.39 PTS · 39.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	24.33	29.20	28.00	25.00	26.56	29.39
REB	1.70	1.80	1.70	1.00	1.74	1.92
AST	2.73	2.80	2.30	1.33	2.41	2.59
FG3M	2.94	3.80	3.60

Natisha Hiedeman — 33.74 MIN · 16.88 PTS · 31.57 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	15.60	12.40	14.00	22.33	15.23	16.88
REB	2.69	2.60	2.70	3.33	2.71	3.04
AST	4.77	6.00	5.80	4.67	5.36	5.84
FG3M	1.91	0.60	1.20

Flau'jae Johnson — 29.77 MIN · 16.12 PTS · 30.85 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	13.74	13.80	16.10	15.33	14.86	16.12
REB	4.91	2.80	4.00	5.00	4.34	4.76
AST	2.88	2.40	3.00	2.67	2.83	3.02
FG3M	1.21	0.80	1.00

Awa Fam — 28.06 MIN · 10.19 PTS · 24.94 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	10.17	5.60	8.70	13.50	9.50	10.19
REB	5.72	4.80	6.60	7.00	5.88	6.38
AST	1.97	1.40	2.10	3.00	2.03	2.14
FG3M	1.41	1.20	1.50

Monique Billings — 23.73 MIN · 11.04 PTS · 23.59 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.63	10.00	10.00	11.33	9.17	11.04
REB	5.19	3.40	4.90	7.00	5.04	5.75
AST	1.16	1.20	1.50	1.67	1.34	1.57
FG3M	0.16	0.00	0.00

Jade Melbourne — 27.00 MIN · 11.69 PTS · 22.75 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	9.21	11.80	10.20	11.67	10.25	11.69
REB	1.97	1.60	1.80	1.67	1.84	2.05
AST	3.94	4.60	4.40	4.00	4.14	4.58
FG3M	0.62	1.40	0.70

Makayla Timpson — 26.03 MIN · 7.23 PTS · 20.32 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.34	7.80	6.30	6.00	5.33	7.23
REB	4.28	5.80	6.00	6.33	5.28	6.79
AST	0.50	0.60	0.50	1.00	0.57	0.77
FG3M	0.00	0.00	0.00

Sophie Cunningham — 24.30 MIN · 9.56 PTS · 17.05 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	8.97	6.60	7.50	10.00	8.21	9.56
REB	2.28	1.40	2.30	3.33	2.36	2.61
AST	1.25	1.00	1.00	0.67	1.05	1.14
FG3M	1.75	1.60	1.60

Tyasha Harris — 19.12 MIN · 5.70 PTS · 13.21 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.11	0.60	3.60	3.00	3.67	5.70
REB	1.07	0.40	0.70	1.67	0.99	1.52
AST	2.18	1.40	2.30	2.00	2.16	3.22
FG3M	0.50	0.00	0.40

Lexie Hull — 19.49 MIN · 5.35 PTS · 12.38 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	5.48	4.00	4.00	3.67	4.61	5.35
REB	3.15	2.60	2.40	3.00	2.82	3.19
AST	0.76	0.60	0.70	1.00	0.74	0.81
FG3M	0.85	0.80	0.70

Jordan Horston — 14.27 MIN · 4.67 PTS · 12.28 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.83	6.00	5.20	3.67	5.17	4.67
REB	3.47	2.60	3.20	2.67	3.23	2.80
AST	1.30	0.40	0.90	2.00	1.19	1.28
FG3M	0.33	0.80	0.50

Katie Lou Samuelson — 14.82 MIN · 5.62 PTS · 11.12 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	4.52	4.40	5.40	6.50	5.03	5.62
REB	2.11	2.40	1.80	3.00	2.02	2.18
AST	0.74	0.60	0.30	0.50	0.57	0.67
FG3M	0.85	0.60	0.80

Zia Cooke — 12.25 MIN · 7.32 PTS · 10.62 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	7.49	6.60	7.90	9.33	7.99	7.32
REB	1.71	1.20	1.20	1.00	1.39	1.23
AST	0.89	0.60	0.60	1.67	0.84	0.80
FG3M	0.83	0.40	0.90

Myisha Hines-Allen — 11.69 MIN · 3.42 PTS · 10.39 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.83	2.40	2.10	5.00	3.33	3.42
REB	3.03	2.40	2.80	4.33	2.99	2.92
AST	1.52	0.80	0.90	2.33	1.37	1.36
FG3M	0.24	0.40	0.30

Raven Johnson — 12.75 MIN · 3.87 PTS · 9.38 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.50	1.20	2.00	0.00	2.66	3.87
REB	1.97	0.40	1.10	1.50	1.61	2.30
AST	1.37	0.20	0.50	0.50	1.00	1.39
FG3M	0.37	0.00	0.10

Stefanie Dolson — 10.23 MIN · 2.59 PTS · 7.66 FPTS

Ensemble components

Each stat is a weighted blend of season / L5 / L10 / h2h, then multiplied by pace × minute scale.

Stat	Season	L5	L10	h2h	Raw blend	× Pace × Min
PTS	3.60	2.20	2.10	4.33	3.08	2.59
REB	2.40	1.40	2.20	3.67	2.35	1.91
AST	1.14	0.60	1.00	1.00	1.02	0.89
FG3M	0.54	0.60	0.50

Predictions

Predicted final score

Injury report

SEA

IND

Best value plays

SEA

IND

Per-player detail